KING—TRADER

Der Wochenend-Rückgang von Bitcoin auf 75.500 $ hat offiziell das massive Treasury von MicroStrategy ($MSTR) in die roten Zahlen gedrückt. Zum ersten Mal seit über zwei Jahren ist der größte Unternehmens-Bitcoin-Halter der Welt technisch "unter Wasser", da der Marktpreis unter ihren durchschnittlichen Kostenbasis gefallen ist.

Hier ist die Aufschlüsselung der Situation und warum das Gerede über "Liquidation" voreilig sein könnte.

📊 Die Daten: Wo die Strategie steht

• Gesamtholdings: 713.502 BTC (nach einem frischen Kauf von 855 BTC in dieser Woche).

• Durchschnittskosten: 76.052 $ pro Bitcoin.

The $BTC Bitcoin halving cycle is one of the most debated "laws" in finance. Critics often claim that as the market matures, the four-year cycle will eventually dampen or disappear. However, a decade of price action suggests otherwise. The rhythm hasn't just survived; it has consistently aligned with a specific mathematical heartbeat: Fibonacci Time Zones.

When we map major market pivots over the last ten years, they don't appear random. They respect these time windows with a precision that is becoming harder to dismiss as mere coincidence.

### The Roadmap: Projections for 2026–2029

According to the current Fibonacci-aligned model, we are entering a phase that could redefine long-term portfolios. If the historical structure holds, here is how the next few years may unfold:

• Nov 2026 – Jan 2027: The Cycle Low Cluster Rather than a final top, the model suggests we may see a "cycle low" or a major reset during this window. This would be the final flush-out for weak hands before the next massive leg up.

• Mid-2027: The Early Peak A recovery phase leading into a secondary "early peak," often characterized by renewed retail interest and the first wave of FOMO in the new cycle.

• 2028: The Expansion Phase This is where the supply shock from the 2028 halving begins to manifest. We typically see a sustained move higher as institutional accumulation meets a thinning exchange supply.

• Late 2029: The Major Cycle Peak The projected "grand finale" of this decade’s rhythm. This aligns with the blow-off top phases seen in previous cycles (2013, 2017, 2021).

### Structure Over Exact Dates

The most important takeaway isn't a specific day on the calendar; it’s the repetition of the time structure. Every cycle has its own "flavor"—different macro-economic conditions, different regulatory hurdles, and different levels of institutional adoption. Yet, the timing rhythm has remained remarkably consistent.

If this rhythm holds, the current market isn't at a final top. We are likely in a mid-cycle phase, navigating the "noise" before the structural expansion toward 2029.
The Big Question:

Is the halving cycle still in total control, or will the 2026–2029 period be the first time in history that Bitcoin breaks its decade-long pattern?
The chart speaks for itself. Look at the timing. Feel the rhythm.

#BTC #Altcoins #SmartMoney #CryptoMarketMoves #Profit #BinanceSquare

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry high risk.  Always do your own research (DYOR) before trading.

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