HinaGoswami

$BTC Aktueller Kryptowährungsmarkt - „Bärmarkt“ mit Schwankungen und Erholungen
Anfang 2026 befindet sich der Kryptowährungsmarkt weiterhin in einem Zustand extrem hoher Volatilität. Nach einer Phase des anhaltenden Rückgangs seit Oktober 2025 sehen sich die Hauptdigitalanlagen heftigen Schwankungen und vorübergehenden Erholungen gegenüber. Der Bitcoin-Preis fiel zeitweise auf etwa 61000 Dollar und durchbrach den Großteil der Gewinne seit 2024, was Panik und intensive Liquidationen auf dem Markt auslöste. (Reuters)
In den letzten Tagen hat BTC eine technische Erholung gezeigt und ist von den Tiefstständen auf etwa 70000 Dollar gestiegen, was die allgemeine Marktstimmung etwas verbessert hat. Marktdaten zeigen, dass kurzfristige Risikofonds und Liquiditätsfonds in den Markt eingetreten sind, was das Handelsvolumen erhöht hat, aber die allgemeine Stimmung bleibt vorsichtig. (CoinDesk)

ETH is still in a macro downtrend
Price is below EMA 20, 50, and far below EMA 200EMA(20): ~2063EMA(50): ~2252EMA(200): ~2725
➡️ This means bears still control the bigger picture

2️⃣ Recent candle behavior (very important)
ETH dumped hard from ~2396 → 1747After that dump, price formed:Strong bounce candleThen small-bodied candles around 2000–2050
This is called a bear-market consolidation, not a breakout yet.
📌 Translation:
Selling pressure paused, but buyers are not strong enough yet.

3️⃣ Support & resistance from candles
Support zone
1950–1980 (local support)Major support: 1750–1800
If 1950 breaks on a strong red 4H close → expect another leg down.
Resistance zone
2050–2100 (current fight zone)Strong resistance: 2200–2250 (EMA 50)
ETH must close multiple 4H candles above 2100 to look bullish short-term.

4️⃣ Indicators confirmation
RSI (≈51)
NeutralNo overbought, no oversold
➡️ Market is waiting for direction
MACD
Histogram turning greenLines trying to cross up
➡️ Short-term relief bounce possible, but still weak
Williams %R (-82 → rising)
Coming out of oversold
➡️ Bounce already happened, momentum slowing now

Forecast based on THIS chart
🔵 Most likely scenario (50–55%)
Sideways → slight pullback
ETH ranges between 1950–2100Wicks both sidesTraps late longs & shorts
This is accumulation / distribution behavior.

🟢 Bullish scenario (25–30%)
Strong 4H close above 2100Volume expansionNext target: 2200–2250
Only valid if candles close strong, not wick rejection.

🔴 Bearish scenario (20–25%)
4H close below 1950Red expansion candleFast move toward 1800 zone
This happens if BTC turns weak suddenly.

How to trade this (if you trade)
❌ Don’t long into resistance (2050–2100)✅ Best longs = near support with confirmation❌ Don’t overleverage — this is a trap zone✅ Wait for break & close, not wicks

Bottom line
📉 Trend: still bearish
⏸️ Short-term: consolidation
⚠️ Big move coming, direction not confirmed yet
If you want, I can:
Mark exact entry / SL / TPRead BTC correlationAnalyze 1H or Daily next
Just tell me 👀📊
##ETHUSDTANALYSIS $ETH $ETH

🚨 THIS IS WHY BITCOIN IS DUMPING EVERY SINGLE DAY
This is not retail.
This is not sentiment.
If you still think BTC trades on simple supply and demand,
you’re looking at a market that no longer exists.
Let me put it plainly.
Bitcoin price is no longer set on-chain.
It’s set in derivatives.
That’s the whole game.
BTC was built on:
21 million supply
No rehypothecation
Then Wall Street layered on:
Perps
Options
ETFs
Lending
Wrapped BTC
Swaps
Same structure.
Same outcome.
This is the exact break that already happened to:
Gold.
Silver.
Oil.
Stocks.
“Paper BTC” exploded.
And once synthetic supply overwhelms real supply, price stops responding to demand.
It responds to:
Positioning
Hedging flows
Liquidations
That’s why the playbook is always the same:
→ Sell into every pump
→ Force liquidations
→ Cover lower
→ Repeat
This isn’t a free market.
It’s a fractional-reserve price system wearing a Bitcoin mask.
Ignore it if you want —
just understand why every bounce fails.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow. Turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning before it hits the headlines.#MarketRally $BTC

🫨 Analyst Who Predicted $XRP ’s 600% Rally Forecasts The Bottom And A Target Of $10
XRP’s current pullback has diverted attention away from short-term volatility and back toward the bigger picture on the chart. The cryptocurrency is now down by over 60% from its July all-time high, and the decline is showing signs of more downside.
🔸 Analyst Points To A New Accumulation Phase
XRP’s recent price action has seen many analysts projecting a bottom where the decline might end. However, a technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X, frames the current XRP price action as an entry into an accumulation zone.
According to the analysis, XRP has now corrected roughly 58% from its recent peak, placing it directly inside what he calls the first accumulation zone between $1.50 and $1.30. The outlook by Crypto Patel is that this area is not about catching an exact bottom but about building exposure gradually as the price stabilizes. Based on this, the analyst predicted that XRP’s decline will bottom somewhere between $1.5 and $1.3, and this is a great time to start buying slowly at these levels.
However, Patel’s outlook also accounts for a deeper drawdown scenario. Should XRP lose the $1.30 region, then the next focus is in a secondary accumulation band between $0.90 and $0.70. Nonetheless, a move into that lower range would still not invalidate the bullish thesis.
🔸 The $10 Target Is Still In Play
$XRP’s current price action is a far stretch from reaching $10, and that target seems out of reach at the moment. However, despite adopting a near-term caution, many analysts have not changed their long-term projections.
Patel, for example, noted that his long-term target is $10. Although the $10 target remains the same, the analyst noted that buying at $3 or $2 is not ideal since there are opportunities for entries at $1.50-$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns.
#XRP | #Ripple | $XRP