Breakout Blitz

ETHUSDT – Market Update 🔍
📉 Overall Trend: Still bearish
Even on lower timeframes, the trend has *not changed**
*RSI (4H / Daily / Weekly / Monthly)** remains bearish
Monthly lows *not yet swept** → downside still possible
---
### 🔑 Key Levels
Resistance
*3038.20** → First level price must close above
*3304** → Major level
❌ If *4H candle fails to close above 3304**, expect another dump
* ✅ Holding above 3304 changes structure
Support
* Weekly / Monthly support zone still active
* Deeper levels remain open if rejection continues
---
### 📊 Scenarios
🔴 Bearish Continuation (Most Likely)
4H candle *cannot close above 3304**
* Price rejected from resistance
* RSI stays weak
➡️ Expect another dump toward weekly / monthly support, possibly deeper
🟡 Neutral / Range
Price closes above *3038.20** but fails to hold 3304
Choppy price action → *no trade**
🟢 Bullish Reversal (Confirmation Needed)
*Daily & Weekly close above 3304**
Successful *breakout + retest**
* RSI turns bullish
➡️ Target zone: 4158 – 4243
---
### 🧠 Trade Plan
* ❌ No entries before confirmation
✅ Wait for *clear breakout + retest**
⚠️ Until then, bias remains *bearish**
Patience is key — let the market confirm. 🚀

$BTC
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BTCUSDT – Deep Market Thoughts 🧠📊
📉 Higher Timeframe Context
BTC is still trading *below major weekly resistance**
Market structure is *weakened** after rejection from ATH zone
Current move looks more like a *corrective bounce**, not a reversal
---
## Key Structure & Levels
### 🔴 Major Resistance Zones
*99,900 – 101,700** → Retesting / distribution area
*109,000 – 116,800** → Strong weekly resistance
* Previous rejection zones
* Sellers very active here
Unless BTC reclaims and holds above these levels on Weekly, upside remains limited.
---
### 🟢 Support Zones
*87,800 – 83,600** → Weekly support
* Holding this keeps BTC in a range
*73,400 – 72,600** → Major downside target
If weekly support breaks, expect *fast move to this zone**
---
## Market Scenarios
### 🔴 Bearish Continuation (High Probability)
Price fails to reclaim *99k–101k**
* Weekly resistance holds
* RSI on higher TFs remains weak
➡️ Result:
* Breakdown from weekly support
Dump toward *73k area**
* Liquidity grab likely below support
---
### 🟡 Range / Distribution
BTC holds *83k–87k**
Keeps rejecting *99k**
* Choppy price action
➡️ Smart money distributes, retail gets trapped
➡️ No clean trade setups
---
# 🟢 Bullish Case (Confirmation Required)
*Daily + Weekly close above 101k**
Successful *breakout & retest**
* RSI shifts bullish on HTF
➡️ Targets:
*109k**
*116k**
* Only then ATH continuation possible
## Important Notes
* Long-term trendline already tested
Bounce without volume = *dead cat bounce risk**
* RSI not yet showing strong bullish divergence
Market still needs *time + confirmation**
Trade Mindset
* ❌ No FOMO longs below resistance
✅ Wait for *weekly confirmation**
* 🧠 Let BTC show strength first
Patience > Prediction

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