Here's my plan for now. There are both positive and negative news that can greatly affect my plan, so take it with a grain of salt and use it mostly as food for thought.
War News: - US involvement, check ✅️ - Bomb nuclear facilities, check ✅️ - Close Hormuz strait, almost a check ☑️ - Hit on US bases, not priced-in, could happen (negative 👎) - War escalation, not priced-in, could happen (negative 👎) - Iran leadership capitulation or regime change, not priced-in, could happen (positive 👍)
Macro news: - 2x FED members open to change of monetary policy and/or rate cuts. Nothing official yet, just comments. - One BBB Act likely to pass. It includes spending and tax cuts.
TA/Charts: - Weekly closed below previous Weekly Close ATH (bearish 🐻) - Daily closed confirming a lower-low in daily structure (bearish 🐻) - LTF; 98-100 local support. 102.7 local resistance. Below 98 -> 93s-95s. Above 102.7 -> Short Squeeze towards 104.7-106.5
Plan: - For now, slowly build some spot positions around the lows. Sell the bearish retest at 104.7-106.5. - If situation is still shitty then expect new lows (93-95), buy them and sell into the next short Squeeze. Repeat until end of summer. It will look something like that; 98->105, 93->101, then a slow reversal. - If situation resolves positively, then 102.8 should become our new support for a time-based bottom. Once the time-based bottom is in, we'll move towards 112k+
Hope this helps you build some kind of Thesis and Perspective. 🙏
Based on everything you're looking at - Charts (TA), Macro, Geopolitics, Market Liquidity, Seasonality etc - Where do you think we're heading next week? $BTC
Ich sehe zu viele Leute, die ihre Meinung ändern, und deren Portfolio seit zwei Wochen in Stücke gerissen wird. Einige Konten versuchen aktiv, dich davon zu überzeugen, dass sie täglich 7-stellige SPOT-Positionen eingehen und verlassen. Ignoriere sie. Sie nutzen DICH aus. Mach einen Plan. Führe ihn aus.
You think alts are pumping because $ETH woke up out of nowhere. What if I told you this move has little to nothing to do with ETH and it's definitely NOT random but rather a shift in risk appetite that we've seen before?
- Gainzy threw a tantrum on ETH at the bottom - Value Extractors are back at shilling their Cabal coins - Larps who were 100% in stables two days ago are posting "i told you so" & green PNLs out of nowhere
Diesen Donnerstag werde ich von @teohaik, Teamleiter Engineering bei @Mysten_Labs, zu einem exklusiven Interview über das SUI-Ökosystem begleitet! Donnerstag - 8. Mai - 20 Uhr EET - YouTube
SUI, bis dann!👇 https://youtube.com/live/1un94QEX1Kc?feature=share
[Weekly Community Post 🫂] Every now and then, I'm sharing my friends' work to help more people discover it. - This Friday (May 9) my friends at @bitgetglobal (@effiekav / @andr_vlachos) and @AvaxTeam1 (@Oxydo11) are hosting a meetup in Athens. I don't think I'll make it but feel free to check it out!
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