Muhammad Ali bukhari

Dear Traders,
Tomorrow’s Japanese interest rate decision is on the radar. I’ve studied past market reactions, especially periods when rates were hiked by 25 bps.
The key difference this time: expectation vs surprise.
Last year’s unexpected hike triggered a sharp BTC drop from 62,000 → 49,590. That move happened because the market was unprepared.
This time, the news is already priced in. Most traders are positioned short, and liquidity is building on that side.
From my analysis, the downside looks limited.
Maximum drawdown I expect is around 5% — $BTC testing 80,200, possibly 78,500, and in an extreme case 74,500. After that, a strong recovery toward 89,500 is likely.
Looking ahead, next week’s structure points toward the 101,500 zone.
@Crypto_LUX focuses on impact, positioning, and liquidity — not headlines.
Direction matters more than fear.
For any questions, comment below.

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Odemčení likvidity Fedu: Velká rotace krypta čeká v roce 2026?
Ahoj krypto týme! 🌟 Začínáme 1. prosince 2025, den, kdy Fed oficiálně ukončí QT, zmrazí svou bilanci na $6.57T po odčerpání $2.39T od roku 2022. Tento posun, podpořený zápisy FOMC ukazujícími širokou podporu, nastavuje scénu pro poslední fázi snížení sazeb: projekce ukazují na pokles sazeb na 3.25-3.50% do konce roku 2026, s dalšími dvěma sníženími v roce 2025 a jedním v '26. Výnosy? Ty mají klesnout, jak se likvidita vrací, odrážející pauzu QT z roku 2019, která vyvolala krypto rally.