Garrett Jin (BitcoinOG1011short) has started buying back $ETH 👀 He just withdrew 80,000 $ETH (~$167.8M) from Binance. Is this the bottom signal? Watch the price reaction closely.
📌 **Macro Range (Most Realistic):** **$55K – $200K** for this cycle
**Current Phase (Confirmation Zone):** • BTC is in a **slow uptrend with pullbacks** • Strong support holding above **$65K** • High-probability range: **$85K – $105K**
**What’s next? 🚀** As liquidity improves and rate-cut expectations grow, BTC is setting up for a **strong expansion phase**.
🎯 **Bull Market Target (Most Likely):** **$160K – $180K** Balanced upside — not hype, aligned with macro + liquidity models.
⚠️ **Stay alert near the top:** When macro data peaks & retail hype explodes, volatility wi ll spike.
🚨 **MARKET MOVING ALERT: Trump to Address QE & Interest Rates Today** 🚨
$SUI $XRP
🇺🇸 Former President **Donald Trump** is set to deliver an **unexpected economic address at 4:00 PM ET**, immediately putting **global markets on high alert**.
Sources suggest the focus will be on **Quantitative Easing (QE)** and **interest rate policy** — a potential attempt to **calm rising market volatility**.
⚠️ **Why This Matters:**
Changes in QE and interest rates don’t just affect bonds.
They **directly impact liquidity**, influencing **stocks, forex, commodities, and crypto** in real time.
📊 **What Markets May See:**
• Headline-driven sharp moves
• Volatility spikes across risk assets
• Whipsaws during the first hour
🧠 **Smart Trading Approach:**
• Don’t chase the first reaction
• Let price action confirm direction
• Risk management > prediction
🎯 The intent may be **stability**, but history shows the **initial reaction is often turbulence**.
Geopolitical tensions in the Gulf have taken an unexpected turn. Reports indicate that Iran has signaled a ceasefire stance, while the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier has pulled back from the immediate Iranian waters.
🌍 This development comes amid growing diplomatic signals between the U.S. and Iran, suggesting efforts to de-escalate the situation rather than move toward direct confrontation. Although no official ceasefire has been formally announced, the withdrawal of a major U.S. naval presence is seen by analysts as a positive sign for regional stability.
🕊️ Key Takeaways: • Reduced short-term risk of military escalation • Diplomatic channels appear to be opening • Markets may react positively to easing geopolitical pressure
⚠️ However, tensions remain fragile. Any miscalculation could quickly reverse this calm, so global markets and investors are staying alert. This moment could prove historical, reminding us that diplomacy can still prevail over conflict.
🚨 $BTC Officially Enters a Downtrend? Bitcoin has shown clear signs of trend reversal after topping near $126K.
In my opinion, the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is still valid and repeating once again.
📉 Current Price: $76,509 (-2.91%) 🔁 Why the 4-Year Cycle Still Matters:
Bitcoin’s cycle is driven by the Halving event, which reduces new supply and creates scarcity. History shows a clear pattern: • 2012 Halving → 2013 Peak → 2014 Downtrend • 2016 Halving → 2017 Peak → 2018 Downtrend • 2020 Halving → 2021 Peak → 2022 Downtrend
📌 Now: • 2024 Halving → 2025 Peak at ~$126K • 2026: BTC has broken its previous uptrend and is declining strongly Many believe ETFs have invalidated the 4-year cycle, but I disagree. The cycle may not crash as hard as previous ones, but the downtrend phase still exists.
⚠️ My View:
The downtrend seems confirmed in 2026, something I had already anticipated by the end of 2025. This is not the time to chase buys during short-term recoveries — price may still move much lower before proper accumulation for the next cycle.
🤔 What’s your take?
Has Bitcoin already entered a long-term downtrend? Drop your thoughts below 👇