For-Exx Kripto
Cryptocurrency Analysis, Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis
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Nasdaq is down about 1% today, just like yesterday, but $BTC is rising. There's been no correlation between them for the past two days. If Bitcoin closes above 94652 today, the upward movement could extend to 101000.
$LUNC continues its movements within the wedge, the wedge price range will narrow day by day, and as it narrows, the breakout will be more violent. As I said, I think they will keep tightening it at least until June, unless there is a big surprise...
$BONK should be trading within the 897-1365 range I indicated. A move above 1365 would be positive, but it seems like it will likely sideways between the levels I've mentioned.
XRP managed to break through and close above an intermediate resistance level yesterday. We'll know more clearly at the end of the day whether the upward movement late yesterday was a short clearing operation or the first step towards an uptrend. There's a very important US Supreme Court decision on tariffs today.
$XRP
$XRP
What Should Be Prioritized for Luna Classic (LUNC) to Have a Positive Future?
What Should Be Prioritized for Luna Classic (LUNC) to Have a Positive Future?
For Luna Classic ( $LUNC ), the actions that can truly create positive sentiment and sustainable price impact must be clearly separated from steps that only sound good in theory but have little real effect. Below is a realistic, priority-based breakdown:
1️⃣ Real On-Chain Utility (The Most Critical Factor)
LUNC’s biggest problem today:
→ The blockchain exists, but there is no real economic activity on it.
What would create a positive impact:
Even simple but working dApps (DEXs, launchpads, NFT marketplaces, in-game payment systems)
Mandatory gas fees paid in LUNC
Genuine on-chain transaction volume
📌 Burning can move price short term; real usage creates long-term trends.
2️⃣ USTC Must Be Clearly Resolved (Uncertainty Is the Biggest Enemy)
Currently, LUNC carries a constant overhang: USTC.
Positive outcomes would include:
Full isolation of USTC from LUNC
Or a controlled and clearly defined restructuring plan
An official end to the narrative of “USTC will one day return to its old peg”
📌 Markets hate uncertainty. Serious capital will not enter until USTC is resolved.
3️⃣ Burning Must Become an Economic Mechanism, Not PR
The current issue:
Burns exist, but their price impact is limited
Mostly psychological, not economic
For burns to be truly positive:
Burns tied directly to on-chain revenue
Automatic burns from dApp-generated income
A sustainable, non-speculative burn model
📌 “We burned X trillion” matters less than “we burn this much every month.”
4️⃣ Developer Incentives (Chains With Builders Win)
Reality check:
No developers = no ecosystem
PR alone does not build blockchains
What’s needed:
Grant programs
Transparent and sustainable incentive funds
Concrete “Build on LUNC” initiatives
📌 Ethereum didn’t win because of price — it won because of developers.
5️⃣ Ending Governance Chaos
Current state:
Too many proposals
Too little strategy
A divided community
What would help:
A single, long-term strategic roadmap
More discipline in proposal creation
Governance votes tied directly to strategy
📌 Chaos repels investors; clarity attracts them.
6️⃣ Major Exchange / Institutional Integrations (This Comes Last)
Common misconception:
“Binance burns LUNC, price will explode.”
Reality:
Exchanges don’t provide serious support without usage and volume
Positive, but:
Without the steps above, the effect will be temporary
Realistic Conclusion:
👉 LUNC’s future will not be saved by burn tweets, but by real on-chain economics.
👉 Without real usage, price movements will remain purely speculative and short-lived.
For Luna Classic ( $LUNC ), the actions that can truly create positive sentiment and sustainable price impact must be clearly separated from steps that only sound good in theory but have little real effect. Below is a realistic, priority-based breakdown:
1️⃣ Real On-Chain Utility (The Most Critical Factor)
LUNC’s biggest problem today:
→ The blockchain exists, but there is no real economic activity on it.
What would create a positive impact:
Even simple but working dApps (DEXs, launchpads, NFT marketplaces, in-game payment systems)
Mandatory gas fees paid in LUNC
Genuine on-chain transaction volume
📌 Burning can move price short term; real usage creates long-term trends.
2️⃣ USTC Must Be Clearly Resolved (Uncertainty Is the Biggest Enemy)
Currently, LUNC carries a constant overhang: USTC.
Positive outcomes would include:
Full isolation of USTC from LUNC
Or a controlled and clearly defined restructuring plan
An official end to the narrative of “USTC will one day return to its old peg”
📌 Markets hate uncertainty. Serious capital will not enter until USTC is resolved.
3️⃣ Burning Must Become an Economic Mechanism, Not PR
The current issue:
Burns exist, but their price impact is limited
Mostly psychological, not economic
For burns to be truly positive:
Burns tied directly to on-chain revenue
Automatic burns from dApp-generated income
A sustainable, non-speculative burn model
📌 “We burned X trillion” matters less than “we burn this much every month.”
4️⃣ Developer Incentives (Chains With Builders Win)
Reality check:
No developers = no ecosystem
PR alone does not build blockchains
What’s needed:
Grant programs
Transparent and sustainable incentive funds
Concrete “Build on LUNC” initiatives
📌 Ethereum didn’t win because of price — it won because of developers.
5️⃣ Ending Governance Chaos
Current state:
Too many proposals
Too little strategy
A divided community
What would help:
A single, long-term strategic roadmap
More discipline in proposal creation
Governance votes tied directly to strategy
📌 Chaos repels investors; clarity attracts them.
6️⃣ Major Exchange / Institutional Integrations (This Comes Last)
Common misconception:
“Binance burns LUNC, price will explode.”
Reality:
Exchanges don’t provide serious support without usage and volume
Positive, but:
Without the steps above, the effect will be temporary
Realistic Conclusion:
👉 LUNC’s future will not be saved by burn tweets, but by real on-chain economics.
👉 Without real usage, price movements will remain purely speculative and short-lived.
$SHIB continues its movement within the wedge, showing a tendency to ease after touching the upper line of the channel, but this is purely a technical situation; it continues to move within the channel.
Ethereum continues its small movements within the triangle. We need to monitor which direction this triangle will break, or if it will break at all, depending on the news coming from the US.
$ETH
$ETH
Ethereum touched the upper line of the triangle I mentioned 2 days ago and eased; now it's targeting the lower line. We should monitor which direction this triangle will break, or if it will break at all, depending on the news coming from the US tomorrow.
$ETH
$ETH
$XRP continues to weaken, closing in negative territory on the daily chart for the past 7 days. Tomorrow is the CPI release, and on Wednesday, if it's not postponed again, the US Supreme Court's tariff decision is expected to have a significant impact.
$XTZ coin broke below its potential trend support point; pay attention to the entry, stop, and profit-taking levels I mentioned in the article.
Entry: 0.5623
Stop: 0.6080
Tp: %5 %6
Click here to open a leveraged trade on this coin:
Entry: 0.5623
Stop: 0.6080
Tp: %5 %6
Click here to open a leveraged trade on this coin:
The situation is different with $LUNA 2.0; it has broken below the double bottom level, a significant formation, and seems to be signaling further declines. If it doesn't break above 0.0886 soon, things could get ugly.
The situation is not much different with $USTC ; like $LUNC , it's stuck in a sideways trend. I wouldn't mind if it continues in the 718-672 range for a while and then bottoms out, as long as it doesn't break the support.
The $LUNC has been moving sideways between 4171 and 4412 for some time. Frankly, as long as it doesn't fall below 4171, I wouldn't mind it continuing trading within this range for a while. As long as it doesn't drop to a lower support level, global issues, especially those stemming from Trump, have strained all markets from A to Z.
$Zbt ➕ 15% ✅
Zbt coin broke the 0.1356 level, experiencing a drop of approximately 15%, resulting in profit, and is now out of our tracking.
Zbt coin broke the 0.1356 level, experiencing a drop of approximately 15%, resulting in profit, and is now out of our tracking.
$ZBT coin broke below its potential trend support point; pay attention to the entry, stop, and profit-taking levels I mentioned in the article.
Entry: 0.1356
Stop: 0.1761
Tp: 0.1101
Click here to open a leveraged trade on this coin:
{future}(ZBTUSDT)
Entry: 0.1356
Stop: 0.1761
Tp: 0.1101
Click here to open a leveraged trade on this coin:
{future}(ZBTUSDT)
$DOGE continues its decline, heading towards the 0.13080 level, and will reach the target unless there is a major surprise.
$DOGE is advancing towards the 0.13080 support level.
{future}(DOGEUSDT)
{future}(DOGEUSDT)
Bitcoin has been stuck in a very narrow range of 0.58% since the start of Saturday, perhaps investors are unwilling to take risks due to possible developments in Iran. There is also important US CPI data on Tuesday.
$BTC
$BTC
$LUNA 2.0 continues its movement above the double bottom level I showed you yesterday; it shouldn't be surprising if it accelerates towards the 0.0985 level, as the double bottom is an important formation.
$LUNC has settled into a very sideways trend; according to the falling wedge pattern I showed you earlier, it seems likely to remain sideways for a while. I think it needs time for a breakout to occur.
Bitcoin maintains its negative outlook, appearing to be targeting the 86903 level. When I did this analysis, it was at 90175, let this be a note for the coming days.
$BTC
$BTC
$LUNA is attempting to form a double bottom at the 0.0885 level; if it can gain momentum from here, it could test the 0.0985 level.
December non-farm payrolls by the numbers. Finally past the shutdown fog
The pre-non-farm payrolls data points to a surprise
What's expected:
Consensus estimate +60K (range +19K to +155K)November +64KPrivate consensus estimate +64KUnemployment rate consensus estimate: 4.5% vs 4.6% priorParticipation rate consensus 62.5% priorPrior underemployment U6 prior 8.7%Avg hourly earnings y/y exp +3.6% y/y vs +3.5% priorAvg hourly earnings m/m exp +0.3% vs +0.1% priorAvg weekly hours exp 34.3 vs 34.3 prior
December jobs so far:
ADP report +41K vs +50K expected and -29KISM services employment 52.0 vs 49.0 prior -- 10 month highISM manufacturing employment 44.9 vs 44.0 priorChallenger Job Cuts 35,553 y/y vs 71,321 -- 17 month lowPhilly employment +12.9 vs +6.0 priorEmpire employment 7.3 vs 6.6 priorInitial jobless claims survey week 224K vs 225K expected
Looking through these numbers, there are plenty of reasons to see upsides to +60K and potentially in a big way. A reading close to 100 would end the slim hopes of a January cut and deeply slash the 43% chance of a March cut that's currently priced in.
Seasonally, there is a minuscule drag on non-farm payrolls in December, according to BMO with the report missing 52% of the time and beating 48% of the time.
#usnfp #NFP
The pre-non-farm payrolls data points to a surprise
What's expected:
Consensus estimate +60K (range +19K to +155K)November +64KPrivate consensus estimate +64KUnemployment rate consensus estimate: 4.5% vs 4.6% priorParticipation rate consensus 62.5% priorPrior underemployment U6 prior 8.7%Avg hourly earnings y/y exp +3.6% y/y vs +3.5% priorAvg hourly earnings m/m exp +0.3% vs +0.1% priorAvg weekly hours exp 34.3 vs 34.3 prior
December jobs so far:
ADP report +41K vs +50K expected and -29KISM services employment 52.0 vs 49.0 prior -- 10 month highISM manufacturing employment 44.9 vs 44.0 priorChallenger Job Cuts 35,553 y/y vs 71,321 -- 17 month lowPhilly employment +12.9 vs +6.0 priorEmpire employment 7.3 vs 6.6 priorInitial jobless claims survey week 224K vs 225K expected
Looking through these numbers, there are plenty of reasons to see upsides to +60K and potentially in a big way. A reading close to 100 would end the slim hopes of a January cut and deeply slash the 43% chance of a March cut that's currently priced in.
Seasonally, there is a minuscule drag on non-farm payrolls in December, according to BMO with the report missing 52% of the time and beating 48% of the time.
#usnfp #NFP
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