魔怔姐
魔怔姐合约亏损20w，进厂还账
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The target for the main index remains unchanged at 4,276 points! Understand the short- and medium-term rhythm, and you won't be confused by 'bullish-bearish switching'.
Many friends are puzzled: why does my outlook shift between bearish and bullish, as if caught in the middle?
If you have this mindset, you're either a beginner just entering the market or a medium-term investor — the logic of short-term and medium-term trading is fundamentally different; never mix them up!
First, let me highlight the key point for medium-term investors: keep an eye on the 10-day moving average of the main index! Currently, the index is still above its 10-day trend. As long as it doesn't break below, there's absolutely no reason to turn bearish; even if it temporarily retraces, as long as it quickly rebounds the next day, it's fine. Only when it fails to reclaim the level should we worry about further declines. Regardless of how much consolidation occurs in between, my target for the main index remains clear — 4,276 points! Of course, this applies only to stocks at monthly lows; ignore those that have surged recently.
Now, let's discuss the short-term: the high-end phase is fading, and the profit-making effect has clearly cooled down. Don't be overly optimistic about the number of stocks rising in the short term — definitely avoid high-priced stocks! The risk hasn't fully been released yet, but I actually expect the main index to close higher tomorrow — the core reason being solid volume support. Whenever the index plunges sharply, funds will step in to absorb the sell-off.
This is what people often refer to as 'light on the index, heavy on individual stocks' — in plain terms, it's a situation where the index rises but most stocks fall, simply because sentiment hasn't bottomed out yet.
Short-term trading is straightforward: move toward lower-priced stocks! Look for individual stocks closely hugging their support lines, and trade them repeatedly through intraday swings — that's the essence of short-term trading. As long as the stock price doesn't break below support, keep rolling the trades; once it breaks, exit immediately — safe and efficient.
Finally, let me emphasize again: if you don't understand the short-term strategy, don't force yourself to hold on — otherwise, you might get misled. Medium-term investors should just firmly watch the 10-day moving average and not worry about short-term fluctuations!
Many friends are puzzled: why does my outlook shift between bearish and bullish, as if caught in the middle?
If you have this mindset, you're either a beginner just entering the market or a medium-term investor — the logic of short-term and medium-term trading is fundamentally different; never mix them up!
First, let me highlight the key point for medium-term investors: keep an eye on the 10-day moving average of the main index! Currently, the index is still above its 10-day trend. As long as it doesn't break below, there's absolutely no reason to turn bearish; even if it temporarily retraces, as long as it quickly rebounds the next day, it's fine. Only when it fails to reclaim the level should we worry about further declines. Regardless of how much consolidation occurs in between, my target for the main index remains clear — 4,276 points! Of course, this applies only to stocks at monthly lows; ignore those that have surged recently.
Now, let's discuss the short-term: the high-end phase is fading, and the profit-making effect has clearly cooled down. Don't be overly optimistic about the number of stocks rising in the short term — definitely avoid high-priced stocks! The risk hasn't fully been released yet, but I actually expect the main index to close higher tomorrow — the core reason being solid volume support. Whenever the index plunges sharply, funds will step in to absorb the sell-off.
This is what people often refer to as 'light on the index, heavy on individual stocks' — in plain terms, it's a situation where the index rises but most stocks fall, simply because sentiment hasn't bottomed out yet.
Short-term trading is straightforward: move toward lower-priced stocks! Look for individual stocks closely hugging their support lines, and trade them repeatedly through intraday swings — that's the essence of short-term trading. As long as the stock price doesn't break below support, keep rolling the trades; once it breaks, exit immediately — safe and efficient.
Finally, let me emphasize again: if you don't understand the short-term strategy, don't force yourself to hold on — otherwise, you might get misled. Medium-term investors should just firmly watch the 10-day moving average and not worry about short-term fluctuations!
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Three Major Themes to Ignite Tomorrow's Market! Industrial AI + New Energy Materials + Rare Earth Sector – Which Will Become the Strongest Growth Driver?
Good evening! On Tuesday, the market ended its 17-day consecutive rally with a correction, finally seeing its first mid-sized negative day after such a long streak. Most investors welcomed this pullback. Otherwise, trading volume wouldn't have hit a historical record high, clearly indicating strong market resilience. The bullish momentum remains intact, local hotspots are still active, and capital is merely rotating between high and low positions—this single mid-sized negative day won't trigger a major sell-off. At this stage, sustained sharp declines are unlikely, but the probability of short-term top formation is increasing. After such a prolonged rally, it's only natural for the market to take a breather. For now, don’t be too eager, and don’t expect an immediate rebound after just one adjustment. Therefore, in trading strategy, firmly avoid chasing high-performing stocks. Besides following hot themes, focus on potential catch-up opportunities in low-position stocks. From a news perspective, the three main themes to watch tomorrow have now become clear. Each combines massive market potential from policy incentives with solid earnings growth expectations—let’s take a detailed look today.
1. Integration of Industrial Internet + AI: 450 Platforms Targeting to Fuel Smart Manufacturing
The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) recently released the 'Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Industrial Internet Platforms (2026–2028)', a major policy move! By 2028, the goal is to cultivate 450 influential platforms, with connected devices exceeding 120 million units and adoption rate surpassing 55%. More importantly, it explicitly proposes the 'Industrial Internet and Artificial Intelligence Convergence Empowerment Action', meaning AI technology will be fully integrated into every stage of industrial processes.
Key Focus Areas: Promote discriminative AI applications in production control and risk identification scenarios; explore generative AI practices in process optimization and design planning. This is not mere concept hype—it’s a concrete industrial upgrade roadmap. Pay attention to two types of companies: industrial internet platform service providers and AI industrial software developers.
Core Stocks: Foxconn Industrial Internet (leader in smart manufacturing platforms, connected over 20 million devices), Baoyin Software (benchmark in steel industry industrial internet, leading in AI process optimization), Yonyou Network (market leader in enterprise-level industrial internet solutions). These are all industry leaders with solid fundamentals—huge profit potential under policy tailwinds.
2. Super Orders in Lithium Iron Phosphate: 120 Billion Yuan Agreement Revives New Energy Materials Supply Chain
After market close, Rongbai Technology announced a blockbuster deal! It signed a 3.05 million-ton lithium iron phosphate cathode material contract with CATL, worth over 120 billion yuan, spanning from 2026 to 2031. What does this mean? It equates to stable annual revenue of around 20 billion yuan for the next six years. For Rongbai Technology, whose annual revenue has just exceeded 1 billion yuan, this is like a pie falling from the sky.
Supply Chain Transmission Logic: This order benefits Rongbai Technology directly, but also boosts the entire lithium iron phosphate supply chain. Rongbai Technology itself stated that the surge in overseas EV and energy storage markets will continue to drive demand. Moving upstream from cathode materials, suppliers of raw materials and equipment manufacturers for lithium iron phosphate will also benefit.
Key Investment Combination: Rongbai Technology (direct beneficiary of the order, strong technical reserves), Longpan Technology (emerging player in lithium iron phosphate cathode materials, rapidly expanding capacity), Hézòng Technology (supplier of lithium iron phosphate raw materials, partnered with multiple top-tier battery manufacturers). Special reminder: focus on actual earnings delivery—prioritize companies with stable customers and guaranteed production capacity.
3. Rare Earth Permanent Magnets: Strategic Resource Revaluation Amid Global Supply Chain Rivalry
The G7 finance ministers called for reducing reliance on China’s rare earths, but China’s Foreign Ministry clearly stated, 'All parties have a responsibility to maintain supply chain stability.' The underlying signal is clear: the strategic importance of rare earths will only grow. We hold over 90% of global rare earth processing capacity—this core competitiveness cannot be easily replaced.
Investment Logic: Demand for rare earth permanent magnet materials is growing rigidly due to booming downstream industries: new energy vehicles, wind power, and industrial robotics. In the short term, G7’s so-called 'reducing dependency' will actually stimulate other countries to increase strategic reserves. In the medium term, China’s technological edge and complete industrial chain in rare earths remain unmatched.
Key Stocks: Northern Rare Earth (world’s largest rare earth producer, holding 60% of national quotas), Zhongke Sanhuan (leading high-end NdFeB magnet manufacturer, supplier to Tesla), Xiamen Tungsten (leader in heavy rare earth separation technology, continuously expanding magnetic material capacity). This sector is suitable for long-term positioning—geopolitical tensions intensify, the strategic value of these resources becomes even more evident.
Risk Warnings & Trading Strategy
Be especially alert to two key risks at tomorrow’s opening: first, the potential pullback in AI-related stocks. Companies like Zhenwen Interlink and People's Daily have already clarified they are not involved in GEO business or have not yet generated revenue—take profits promptly on previously hyped stocks. Second, the suspension of Fenglong Shares for investigation may trigger cooling in theme-based stocks—exercise caution when chasing high-position, consecutive涨停 stocks.
Good evening! On Tuesday, the market ended its 17-day consecutive rally with a correction, finally seeing its first mid-sized negative day after such a long streak. Most investors welcomed this pullback. Otherwise, trading volume wouldn't have hit a historical record high, clearly indicating strong market resilience. The bullish momentum remains intact, local hotspots are still active, and capital is merely rotating between high and low positions—this single mid-sized negative day won't trigger a major sell-off. At this stage, sustained sharp declines are unlikely, but the probability of short-term top formation is increasing. After such a prolonged rally, it's only natural for the market to take a breather. For now, don’t be too eager, and don’t expect an immediate rebound after just one adjustment. Therefore, in trading strategy, firmly avoid chasing high-performing stocks. Besides following hot themes, focus on potential catch-up opportunities in low-position stocks. From a news perspective, the three main themes to watch tomorrow have now become clear. Each combines massive market potential from policy incentives with solid earnings growth expectations—let’s take a detailed look today.
1. Integration of Industrial Internet + AI: 450 Platforms Targeting to Fuel Smart Manufacturing
The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) recently released the 'Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Industrial Internet Platforms (2026–2028)', a major policy move! By 2028, the goal is to cultivate 450 influential platforms, with connected devices exceeding 120 million units and adoption rate surpassing 55%. More importantly, it explicitly proposes the 'Industrial Internet and Artificial Intelligence Convergence Empowerment Action', meaning AI technology will be fully integrated into every stage of industrial processes.
Key Focus Areas: Promote discriminative AI applications in production control and risk identification scenarios; explore generative AI practices in process optimization and design planning. This is not mere concept hype—it’s a concrete industrial upgrade roadmap. Pay attention to two types of companies: industrial internet platform service providers and AI industrial software developers.
Core Stocks: Foxconn Industrial Internet (leader in smart manufacturing platforms, connected over 20 million devices), Baoyin Software (benchmark in steel industry industrial internet, leading in AI process optimization), Yonyou Network (market leader in enterprise-level industrial internet solutions). These are all industry leaders with solid fundamentals—huge profit potential under policy tailwinds.
2. Super Orders in Lithium Iron Phosphate: 120 Billion Yuan Agreement Revives New Energy Materials Supply Chain
After market close, Rongbai Technology announced a blockbuster deal! It signed a 3.05 million-ton lithium iron phosphate cathode material contract with CATL, worth over 120 billion yuan, spanning from 2026 to 2031. What does this mean? It equates to stable annual revenue of around 20 billion yuan for the next six years. For Rongbai Technology, whose annual revenue has just exceeded 1 billion yuan, this is like a pie falling from the sky.
Supply Chain Transmission Logic: This order benefits Rongbai Technology directly, but also boosts the entire lithium iron phosphate supply chain. Rongbai Technology itself stated that the surge in overseas EV and energy storage markets will continue to drive demand. Moving upstream from cathode materials, suppliers of raw materials and equipment manufacturers for lithium iron phosphate will also benefit.
Key Investment Combination: Rongbai Technology (direct beneficiary of the order, strong technical reserves), Longpan Technology (emerging player in lithium iron phosphate cathode materials, rapidly expanding capacity), Hézòng Technology (supplier of lithium iron phosphate raw materials, partnered with multiple top-tier battery manufacturers). Special reminder: focus on actual earnings delivery—prioritize companies with stable customers and guaranteed production capacity.
3. Rare Earth Permanent Magnets: Strategic Resource Revaluation Amid Global Supply Chain Rivalry
The G7 finance ministers called for reducing reliance on China’s rare earths, but China’s Foreign Ministry clearly stated, 'All parties have a responsibility to maintain supply chain stability.' The underlying signal is clear: the strategic importance of rare earths will only grow. We hold over 90% of global rare earth processing capacity—this core competitiveness cannot be easily replaced.
Investment Logic: Demand for rare earth permanent magnet materials is growing rigidly due to booming downstream industries: new energy vehicles, wind power, and industrial robotics. In the short term, G7’s so-called 'reducing dependency' will actually stimulate other countries to increase strategic reserves. In the medium term, China’s technological edge and complete industrial chain in rare earths remain unmatched.
Key Stocks: Northern Rare Earth (world’s largest rare earth producer, holding 60% of national quotas), Zhongke Sanhuan (leading high-end NdFeB magnet manufacturer, supplier to Tesla), Xiamen Tungsten (leader in heavy rare earth separation technology, continuously expanding magnetic material capacity). This sector is suitable for long-term positioning—geopolitical tensions intensify, the strategic value of these resources becomes even more evident.
Risk Warnings & Trading Strategy
Be especially alert to two key risks at tomorrow’s opening: first, the potential pullback in AI-related stocks. Companies like Zhenwen Interlink and People's Daily have already clarified they are not involved in GEO business or have not yet generated revenue—take profits promptly on previously hyped stocks. Second, the suspension of Fenglong Shares for investigation may trigger cooling in theme-based stocks—exercise caution when chasing high-position, consecutive涨停 stocks.
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In the environment of high cutting and low, the low valuation power sector is performing again.
Previously, the long-term agreement power price suppressed the sector. Now, annual long-term agreement power prices are gradually being implemented across provinces, and stock prices have already reflected expectations for different regional power prices. Jingneng Power has once again reached a recent high today.
Looking ahead to the annual report and first-quarter report, long-term agreement power prices are approaching their lower limit, and both power volume and price are expected to bottom out. The increase in coal-fired power capacity pricing could bring about a near 2 cents per kWh increase. The pre-announcement trend of leading stocks in the annual report is worth watching.
Thermal power is transitioning toward a new value model centered on capacity and auxiliary services. Absolute dividend commitments from companies like Guodian Power have further strengthened confidence in thermal power dividends. If profits remain stable and dividends increase, thermal power may achieve a public utility-like status.
In the fourth quarter, power generation volumes for Changjiang Power and Guide Power increased significantly, with high reservoir capacity ensuring power supply during dry seasons. Additionally, Guide Power announced plans to acquire its group's Tibet subsidiary, which opens up both short-term performance exceeding expectations and long-term growth potential.
Current public fund holdings in the public utilities sector are at the second-lowest level in ten years. With rising demand for incremental capital allocation, there is room for valuation improvement and promising earnings, making the sector both offensive and defensive.
Previously, the long-term agreement power price suppressed the sector. Now, annual long-term agreement power prices are gradually being implemented across provinces, and stock prices have already reflected expectations for different regional power prices. Jingneng Power has once again reached a recent high today.
Looking ahead to the annual report and first-quarter report, long-term agreement power prices are approaching their lower limit, and both power volume and price are expected to bottom out. The increase in coal-fired power capacity pricing could bring about a near 2 cents per kWh increase. The pre-announcement trend of leading stocks in the annual report is worth watching.
Thermal power is transitioning toward a new value model centered on capacity and auxiliary services. Absolute dividend commitments from companies like Guodian Power have further strengthened confidence in thermal power dividends. If profits remain stable and dividends increase, thermal power may achieve a public utility-like status.
In the fourth quarter, power generation volumes for Changjiang Power and Guide Power increased significantly, with high reservoir capacity ensuring power supply during dry seasons. Additionally, Guide Power announced plans to acquire its group's Tibet subsidiary, which opens up both short-term performance exceeding expectations and long-term growth potential.
Current public fund holdings in the public utilities sector are at the second-lowest level in ten years. With rising demand for incremental capital allocation, there is room for valuation improvement and promising earnings, making the sector both offensive and defensive.
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Retaliation without delay, after imposing 25% tariffs on China, China releases the 3rd announcement: imposing tariffs of 113% on imports from the U.S. and South Korea.
On January 12th, U.S. time, Trump signed a presidential order stating that anyone daring to do business with Iran would be subject to an additional 25% tariff, and he specifically emphasized that the decision would take immediate effect and could not be altered. Upon the announcement, the world was stunned. Indeed, Trump is once again waving the tariff weapon recklessly.
On January 13th, in response to the U.S. tariff announcement, China's Foreign Ministry responded, stating China's position on tariffs is clear: there are no winners in tariffs, and China will firmly safeguard its legitimate rights and interests. Clearly, China's stance is open to dialogue, but ready to respond with equal force.
Then came an unexpected turn: the Ministry of Commerce issued the 3rd notice, deciding to impose anti-dumping duties on imported solar-grade polysilicon originating from the United States and South Korea, with the maximum rate reaching 113%, effective for five years.
So, how do we view this matter? First, timing-wise, China is no longer taking a slow approach as before, waiting for some time before taking countermeasures. Now, whenever the U.S. or Japan cross China's red lines, countermeasures follow immediately.
Second, in tone, China makes clear a fact: no matter what, China's interests come first, and to protect China's interests, China's methods are constantly evolving and strengthening.
On January 12th, U.S. time, Trump signed a presidential order stating that anyone daring to do business with Iran would be subject to an additional 25% tariff, and he specifically emphasized that the decision would take immediate effect and could not be altered. Upon the announcement, the world was stunned. Indeed, Trump is once again waving the tariff weapon recklessly.
On January 13th, in response to the U.S. tariff announcement, China's Foreign Ministry responded, stating China's position on tariffs is clear: there are no winners in tariffs, and China will firmly safeguard its legitimate rights and interests. Clearly, China's stance is open to dialogue, but ready to respond with equal force.
Then came an unexpected turn: the Ministry of Commerce issued the 3rd notice, deciding to impose anti-dumping duties on imported solar-grade polysilicon originating from the United States and South Korea, with the maximum rate reaching 113%, effective for five years.
So, how do we view this matter? First, timing-wise, China is no longer taking a slow approach as before, waiting for some time before taking countermeasures. Now, whenever the U.S. or Japan cross China's red lines, countermeasures follow immediately.
Second, in tone, China makes clear a fact: no matter what, China's interests come first, and to protect China's interests, China's methods are constantly evolving and strengthening.
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This time, the United States might be taking major actions.
According to CCTV, the U.S. State Department has issued a notice urging U.S. citizens to immediately leave Iran! France has also evacuated non-essential personnel from its embassy. This is truly a major development.
At the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, just 200 kilometers from the Iranian border, U.S. B-52 strategic bombers and KC-135R aerial refueling aircraft have been frequently taking off recently.
All these signs suggest that Iran's time may be running out. According to the latest information, Trump has reviewed a military plan presented by the military, clearly related to Iran.
Following Syria and Venezuela, the pace of civilizational progress seems to be accelerating. This is good!
According to CCTV, the U.S. State Department has issued a notice urging U.S. citizens to immediately leave Iran! France has also evacuated non-essential personnel from its embassy. This is truly a major development.
At the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, just 200 kilometers from the Iranian border, U.S. B-52 strategic bombers and KC-135R aerial refueling aircraft have been frequently taking off recently.
All these signs suggest that Iran's time may be running out. According to the latest information, Trump has reviewed a military plan presented by the military, clearly related to Iran.
Following Syria and Venezuela, the pace of civilizational progress seems to be accelerating. This is good!
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Zelenskyy on Iran:
"Every decent person on this planet truly hopes that the Iranian people will eventually be liberated from the current regime, which has brought so much evil to Ukraine and other countries.
It is crucial that the world does not miss this moment when change becomes possible."
Comments: Zelenskyy's remarks on Iran are essentially driven by multiple practical interests and strategic calculations: due to Iran's military cooperation with Russia directly affecting the battlefield dynamics of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, he first uses rhetoric about 'human rights' and 'change' to recklessly interfere in Iran's internal affairs, labeling the regime as 'evil,' in fact aiming to stir external pressure and intensify sanctions against Iran, thereby cutting off Russia's military support at its source; simultaneously, he aligns with the hardline stance of the US and Europe toward Iran, demonstrating loyalty through ideological alignment to alleviate Western fatigue and divisions regarding aid to Ukraine, thus securing more military assistance and political support; additionally, he attempts to link the Ukraine conflict with Middle Eastern developments, disrupting the strategic alliance between Iran and Russia, and diverting international attention from Ukraine's battlefield difficulties.
"Every decent person on this planet truly hopes that the Iranian people will eventually be liberated from the current regime, which has brought so much evil to Ukraine and other countries.
It is crucial that the world does not miss this moment when change becomes possible."
Comments: Zelenskyy's remarks on Iran are essentially driven by multiple practical interests and strategic calculations: due to Iran's military cooperation with Russia directly affecting the battlefield dynamics of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, he first uses rhetoric about 'human rights' and 'change' to recklessly interfere in Iran's internal affairs, labeling the regime as 'evil,' in fact aiming to stir external pressure and intensify sanctions against Iran, thereby cutting off Russia's military support at its source; simultaneously, he aligns with the hardline stance of the US and Europe toward Iran, demonstrating loyalty through ideological alignment to alleviate Western fatigue and divisions regarding aid to Ukraine, thus securing more military assistance and political support; additionally, he attempts to link the Ukraine conflict with Middle Eastern developments, disrupting the strategic alliance between Iran and Russia, and diverting international attention from Ukraine's battlefield difficulties.
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Li Zaiming is determined to eliminate all opposition; South Korea's prosecutors have requested the death penalty for former President Yee Seok-yeol!
Yonhap News Agency, January 13 report: South Korea's prosecution has requested the court to sentence former President Yee Seok-yeol to death, an extremely rare move!
Indeed, Yee Seok-yeol is the first former president in South Korean history to be sentenced to death, and in the context of global standards today, this is an exceptionally severe punishment.
This clearly illustrates how intense political struggles have always been within South Korea. Besides former President Moon Jae-in, all other former presidents have ended up behind bars!
Yonhap News Agency, January 13 report: South Korea's prosecution has requested the court to sentence former President Yee Seok-yeol to death, an extremely rare move!
Indeed, Yee Seok-yeol is the first former president in South Korean history to be sentenced to death, and in the context of global standards today, this is an exceptionally severe punishment.
This clearly illustrates how intense political struggles have always been within South Korea. Besides former President Moon Jae-in, all other former presidents have ended up behind bars!
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Could there be a major shift in the world? Indonesia is set to purchase 40 JF-17 Thunder fighters, Bangladesh is planning to acquire 48 JF-17 Thunder fighters, and Saudi Arabia, Azerbaijan, Sudan, and Iraq are all placing orders for the JF-17 Thunder fighters!
In just one year, the JF-17 Thunder fighter has been exported to six countries, with at least a dozen JF-17 BLOCK3 fighters per country, and some orders reaching as high as 40 or 48 JF-17 BLOCK3 fighters.
The JF-17 BLOCK3 fighters are now fully replacing and phasing out positions previously held by MiG-29 fighters, F-16AB fighters, Su-25 attack aircraft, and even F-16Q fighters.
At this pace, from Southeast Asia, through Central Asia, to the Middle East, and even North Africa and West and East Africa, the future will undoubtedly belong to Chinese fighters—including the China-Pakistan joint-developed JF-17 Thunder fighters!
Once a country buys these fighters, it establishes a stable relationship with China for at least several decades. After all, fighter jets require long-term support, real-time software updates, electronic warfare signal upgrades, weapons and ammunition supply, maintenance, and ongoing aircraft upgrades. These countries will essentially become de facto allies or close friends.
In just one year, the JF-17 Thunder fighter has been exported to six countries, with at least a dozen JF-17 BLOCK3 fighters per country, and some orders reaching as high as 40 or 48 JF-17 BLOCK3 fighters.
The JF-17 BLOCK3 fighters are now fully replacing and phasing out positions previously held by MiG-29 fighters, F-16AB fighters, Su-25 attack aircraft, and even F-16Q fighters.
At this pace, from Southeast Asia, through Central Asia, to the Middle East, and even North Africa and West and East Africa, the future will undoubtedly belong to Chinese fighters—including the China-Pakistan joint-developed JF-17 Thunder fighters!
Once a country buys these fighters, it establishes a stable relationship with China for at least several decades. After all, fighter jets require long-term support, real-time software updates, electronic warfare signal upgrades, weapons and ammunition supply, maintenance, and ongoing aircraft upgrades. These countries will essentially become de facto allies or close friends.
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The US strikes Iran, and besides Russia, it's highly unlikely that any other country will help Iran, as Iran has alienated almost everyone! In 2014, Iran betrayed our telecom company to curry favor with the United States.
After signing a $400 billion cooperation agreement with us in 2021, Iran began shifting its allegiance toward India. Iran and India are growing increasingly close. In fact, Iran even handed over the operating rights of the Chabahar Port—upgraded by our investment—to India, directly threatening our key strategic pivot point—Gwadar Port!
In 2023, the historic rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Iran was going well. But Iran then announced that if it were attacked, its missiles would indiscriminately strike the entire Gulf region.
Even during the 5.7 War, Iran and India were on the same side. That's why you've seen a steady decline in investments in Iran and a significant increase in investments in Saudi Arabia in recent years.
Now, Iran has nearly sold out its resistance alliance. Its only remaining weapon is the large-scale ballistic missile force it has spent heavily to develop and produce.
But missiles alone cannot solve the real problems—especially the severe issue of over 100-fold currency devaluation in the past decade! Another major problem in Iran is that many powerful and influential individuals have secretly transferred their assets to the West!
After signing a $400 billion cooperation agreement with us in 2021, Iran began shifting its allegiance toward India. Iran and India are growing increasingly close. In fact, Iran even handed over the operating rights of the Chabahar Port—upgraded by our investment—to India, directly threatening our key strategic pivot point—Gwadar Port!
In 2023, the historic rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Iran was going well. But Iran then announced that if it were attacked, its missiles would indiscriminately strike the entire Gulf region.
Even during the 5.7 War, Iran and India were on the same side. That's why you've seen a steady decline in investments in Iran and a significant increase in investments in Saudi Arabia in recent years.
Now, Iran has nearly sold out its resistance alliance. Its only remaining weapon is the large-scale ballistic missile force it has spent heavily to develop and produce.
But missiles alone cannot solve the real problems—especially the severe issue of over 100-fold currency devaluation in the past decade! Another major problem in Iran is that many powerful and influential individuals have secretly transferred their assets to the West!
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Comprehensive Overview of the Industrial Internet Concept
1. Industrial Internet Platforms
Cross-industry and cross-domain platform leader: Inspur Yunzhou
Steel industry platform leader: Baosight Software
Home appliance/consumer manufacturing platform leader: Haier Smart Home (C-A-O-S)
Construction machinery platform leader: SANY Heavy Industry (Root互联), XCMG Machinery (HanYun)
General manufacturing platform leader: Yonyou Network (Jingzhi), Orient Communication (Cl-o-u-d-i-ip)
2. Industrial AI and Large Models
Industrial large model platform leader: Inspur Information
Industrial visual quality inspection leader: CloudWalk Technology
Equipment predictive maintenance leader: Rongzhi Rixin
Industrial knowledge graph leader: TopThink
Operation intelligent agent leader: Sino-Thai Yue
3. Industrial Automation and Control
Servo systems/PLC leader: Inovance Technology
Industrial robot main body leader: Estun Automation
DCS control system leader: Zhongkong Technology
Intelligent production line integration leader: Tianyong Intelligent, Kela Electric
4. Industrial Software
Manufacturing ERP leader: Digiwin Software
Domestic CAD leader: ZWSOFT
Digital twin simulation leader: Nenko Technology
5. Industrial Communication and Edge Computing
Industrial switch/TSN communication leader: Sanwang Communication, Eastone Technology
Edge gateway leader: Minghantong
Industrial PON network leader: FiberHome Communications
5G+ industrial private network leader: ZTE Corporation
6. Computing Infrastructure (Cloud, Edge, and Endpoint)
AI server leader: Foxconn Industrial Internet, Inspur Information
Liquid cooling solution leader: Yingweike
Optical module leader: Zhongji Xuchuang
Edge computing controller leader: Haidi Control
7. Industry Applications and Services
Lighthouse factory empowerment leader: Foxconn Industrial Internet
C2M flexible customization leader: Haier Smart Home
Intelligent power plant solution leader: Keyuan Wisdom
IT services and industrial cloud management leader: Huasheng Tiancheng
1. Industrial Internet Platforms
Cross-industry and cross-domain platform leader: Inspur Yunzhou
Steel industry platform leader: Baosight Software
Home appliance/consumer manufacturing platform leader: Haier Smart Home (C-A-O-S)
Construction machinery platform leader: SANY Heavy Industry (Root互联), XCMG Machinery (HanYun)
General manufacturing platform leader: Yonyou Network (Jingzhi), Orient Communication (Cl-o-u-d-i-ip)
2. Industrial AI and Large Models
Industrial large model platform leader: Inspur Information
Industrial visual quality inspection leader: CloudWalk Technology
Equipment predictive maintenance leader: Rongzhi Rixin
Industrial knowledge graph leader: TopThink
Operation intelligent agent leader: Sino-Thai Yue
3. Industrial Automation and Control
Servo systems/PLC leader: Inovance Technology
Industrial robot main body leader: Estun Automation
DCS control system leader: Zhongkong Technology
Intelligent production line integration leader: Tianyong Intelligent, Kela Electric
4. Industrial Software
Manufacturing ERP leader: Digiwin Software
Domestic CAD leader: ZWSOFT
Digital twin simulation leader: Nenko Technology
5. Industrial Communication and Edge Computing
Industrial switch/TSN communication leader: Sanwang Communication, Eastone Technology
Edge gateway leader: Minghantong
Industrial PON network leader: FiberHome Communications
5G+ industrial private network leader: ZTE Corporation
6. Computing Infrastructure (Cloud, Edge, and Endpoint)
AI server leader: Foxconn Industrial Internet, Inspur Information
Liquid cooling solution leader: Yingweike
Optical module leader: Zhongji Xuchuang
Edge computing controller leader: Haidi Control
7. Industry Applications and Services
Lighthouse factory empowerment leader: Foxconn Industrial Internet
C2M flexible customization leader: Haier Smart Home
Intelligent power plant solution leader: Keyuan Wisdom
IT services and industrial cloud management leader: Huasheng Tiancheng
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A-share Alert! Starting tomorrow, once the consolidation is complete, the main players could launch the second wave of upward momentum at any moment.
First, let's highlight the core viewpoint: the previous resistance zone of 4,098-4,083 points is an excellent opportunity for a second rebound trade.
The logic is simple: whether it's the index, sectors, or individual stocks, after breaking through the previous resistance and entering an accelerated rally, this previous resistance zone essentially represents the main players' cost basis. After the first wave of rapid ascent, when the price retests the previous resistance zone, the main players are ready to initiate the second wave of attack at any time.
Looking back, I had accurately signaled the bottom on June 22, August 1, September 4, and November 3 of last year, all in advance.
Now, reviewing the past three months, the 'Dragon Return' cases shared every Saturday have mostly surged strongly into a second wave after retracing near the previous resistance zone.
As for the height of the second wave, it mainly depends on the previous high point: if the previous high is broken and not retested, a major upward trend is likely to unfold; otherwise, a double-top structure may form.
First, let's highlight the core viewpoint: the previous resistance zone of 4,098-4,083 points is an excellent opportunity for a second rebound trade.
The logic is simple: whether it's the index, sectors, or individual stocks, after breaking through the previous resistance and entering an accelerated rally, this previous resistance zone essentially represents the main players' cost basis. After the first wave of rapid ascent, when the price retests the previous resistance zone, the main players are ready to initiate the second wave of attack at any time.
Looking back, I had accurately signaled the bottom on June 22, August 1, September 4, and November 3 of last year, all in advance.
Now, reviewing the past three months, the 'Dragon Return' cases shared every Saturday have mostly surged strongly into a second wave after retracing near the previous resistance zone.
As for the height of the second wave, it mainly depends on the previous high point: if the previous high is broken and not retested, a major upward trend is likely to unfold; otherwise, a double-top structure may form.
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A week ago, I accurately predicted that the main index would reach around 4200 points, peaking shortly before January 14th, then turning downward—today's market movement has fully validated this forecast!
Predicting the market trend a week in advance, this move absolutely deserves applause! I will continue to serve as your leading indicator in the stock market, consistently analyzing and forecasting the main index's movements.
Looking at today's market, there's a significant disparity between rising and falling stocks, with over 3,500 stocks closing lower, and the main index recording its first bearish candle since recent highs.
So, what is the target of this correction?
First, the first target level is around 4080 points—the area has experienced several days of consolidation, offering strong support.
If the market drops sharply tomorrow or gaps down significantly, a rebound could begin as early as tomorrow afternoon, at the latest by the day after.
Don't panic—this first wave of correction is unlikely to break through the support level. The real concern lies in the second wave of decline expected around January 26th!
Predicting the market trend a week in advance, this move absolutely deserves applause! I will continue to serve as your leading indicator in the stock market, consistently analyzing and forecasting the main index's movements.
Looking at today's market, there's a significant disparity between rising and falling stocks, with over 3,500 stocks closing lower, and the main index recording its first bearish candle since recent highs.
So, what is the target of this correction?
First, the first target level is around 4080 points—the area has experienced several days of consolidation, offering strong support.
If the market drops sharply tomorrow or gaps down significantly, a rebound could begin as early as tomorrow afternoon, at the latest by the day after.
Don't panic—this first wave of correction is unlikely to break through the support level. The real concern lies in the second wave of decline expected around January 26th!
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Today's market volume increased and closed lower, ending the 17 consecutive up days that started from 3815. The Fibonacci sequence reached its high point today at 7. Structurally, the upward move starting from 3815 has already formed two centers. After leaving the center, it's evident that the bullish strength has been gradually weakening, making it prone to divergence and a pullback to retest the center, leading to consolidation. Currently, a short-term consolidation pattern is highly likely. Even if the market makes a new high by just a few points, it will still be insufficient and easily pulled back. Therefore, treat this as a consolidation phase. Strategically, pay attention to position management, and adjust your rhythm accordingly—don't be overly aggressive when going up, and don't worry excessively when going down. Any pullback can be seen as a retest to confirm the 4034 level. Just track the market movement step by step!
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After 17 consecutive green days, the first red day has appeared, somewhat resembling the 'Dark Cloud Cover' pattern. Will there be a significant drop tomorrow?
Today, the main market continued to see increased volume, surged higher before reversing downward, and plunged sharply at the close, forming the first medium-sized red candlestick after 17 consecutive green days. The candlestick pattern somewhat resembles the 'Dark Cloud Cover,' and the decline exceeded my expectations. That's how the market works—after a prolonged rise, a drop is inevitable. Any minor negative news triggers panic selling. It should have dropped by now; otherwise, it wouldn't be the A-share market.
So, will there be a major drop tomorrow?
I don't think so. The index is likely to retest around the 5-day moving average before bouncing back, with a high probability of closing with a green candlestick.
Why do I say this?
1. Historically, after a series of consecutive green days followed by the first red day, the next day usually sees a rise—the so-called 'First Red Day Strategy' originates from this pattern.
2. Although the main index closed with its first red candlestick, the overall market trend remains in a bullish phase, and the confidence to buy remains strong.
Therefore, bulls will continue fighting upward tomorrow. In the coming several trading sessions, the index may still see new highs amid consolidation, possibly reaching a peak before undergoing a minor correction. What do you think?
Today, the main market continued to see increased volume, surged higher before reversing downward, and plunged sharply at the close, forming the first medium-sized red candlestick after 17 consecutive green days. The candlestick pattern somewhat resembles the 'Dark Cloud Cover,' and the decline exceeded my expectations. That's how the market works—after a prolonged rise, a drop is inevitable. Any minor negative news triggers panic selling. It should have dropped by now; otherwise, it wouldn't be the A-share market.
So, will there be a major drop tomorrow?
I don't think so. The index is likely to retest around the 5-day moving average before bouncing back, with a high probability of closing with a green candlestick.
Why do I say this?
1. Historically, after a series of consecutive green days followed by the first red day, the next day usually sees a rise—the so-called 'First Red Day Strategy' originates from this pattern.
2. Although the main index closed with its first red candlestick, the overall market trend remains in a bullish phase, and the confidence to buy remains strong.
Therefore, bulls will continue fighting upward tomorrow. In the coming several trading sessions, the index may still see new highs amid consolidation, possibly reaching a peak before undergoing a minor correction. What do you think?
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Massive Downturn in Commercial Space Industry! Is It a Retreat or Just a Divergence? Full Analysis of Strategies for Retail Investors + New Opportunities
Today's market showed a key signal — the commercial space sector opened with a mass limit down. Many retail investors panicked: Is this a retreat of the theme, or just normal market divergence? Are there still opportunities ahead? How should one act? Don't worry — here's the core conclusion directly!
1. Mass Limit Down in Commercial Space: Divergence, Not Retreat!
Facing this collective selloff, there's no need for excessive panic. Longtime followers know that main trend rallies rarely end due to a single divergence; instead, they often end in 'overheating.' Appropriate divergence doesn't kill the trend — it actually prolongs the theme's life. This kind of divergence typically sees funds returning by midday or the close, or at the latest, the next day. Therefore, the current divergence is actually an ideal time to accumulate quality positions at lower prices.
2. Retail Investor Strategy: Cut Weak, Hold Strong — Focus on Resilient Leaders!
In a broad market rally, buying blindly can yield profits; but in a divergence phase, it's the true test of a stock's strength. At this stage, retail investors should cut weak holdings and hold strong ones, focusing on the most resilient stocks within the sector. Remember, when the market rebounds, funds will first target these strong stocks that have withstood the selling pressure.
3. Other Market Opportunities Worth Watching!
While the commercial space sector experienced a divergence today, the 'Big Three of Finance' — securities, banking, and insurance — stepped in again to stabilize the market. However, such stabilizing plays usually only activate during market corrections and generally lack lasting momentum.
The core opportunities remain in two directions: First, commercial space — the divergence isn't the end. Pay close attention to low-risk accumulation opportunities in resilient stocks. Second, AI applications — a main theme for 2026. Whether it's AI hardware or application segments, these are high-quality sectors worth positioning ahead of the Spring Festival.
In summary, after multiple consecutive days of index gains, a divergence is entirely expected. As long as trading volume remains, this is merely a shift in market rhythm, not the end of the trend. For the commercial space sector, today's deep divergence and capital exchange are actually beneficial. After a few more days of consolidation, the capital structure will become healthier. So there's no need to panic — taking advantage of the divergence to accumulate quality stocks is the optimal strategy right now!
Today's market showed a key signal — the commercial space sector opened with a mass limit down. Many retail investors panicked: Is this a retreat of the theme, or just normal market divergence? Are there still opportunities ahead? How should one act? Don't worry — here's the core conclusion directly!
1. Mass Limit Down in Commercial Space: Divergence, Not Retreat!
Facing this collective selloff, there's no need for excessive panic. Longtime followers know that main trend rallies rarely end due to a single divergence; instead, they often end in 'overheating.' Appropriate divergence doesn't kill the trend — it actually prolongs the theme's life. This kind of divergence typically sees funds returning by midday or the close, or at the latest, the next day. Therefore, the current divergence is actually an ideal time to accumulate quality positions at lower prices.
2. Retail Investor Strategy: Cut Weak, Hold Strong — Focus on Resilient Leaders!
In a broad market rally, buying blindly can yield profits; but in a divergence phase, it's the true test of a stock's strength. At this stage, retail investors should cut weak holdings and hold strong ones, focusing on the most resilient stocks within the sector. Remember, when the market rebounds, funds will first target these strong stocks that have withstood the selling pressure.
3. Other Market Opportunities Worth Watching!
While the commercial space sector experienced a divergence today, the 'Big Three of Finance' — securities, banking, and insurance — stepped in again to stabilize the market. However, such stabilizing plays usually only activate during market corrections and generally lack lasting momentum.
The core opportunities remain in two directions: First, commercial space — the divergence isn't the end. Pay close attention to low-risk accumulation opportunities in resilient stocks. Second, AI applications — a main theme for 2026. Whether it's AI hardware or application segments, these are high-quality sectors worth positioning ahead of the Spring Festival.
In summary, after multiple consecutive days of index gains, a divergence is entirely expected. As long as trading volume remains, this is merely a shift in market rhythm, not the end of the trend. For the commercial space sector, today's deep divergence and capital exchange are actually beneficial. After a few more days of consolidation, the capital structure will become healthier. So there's no need to panic — taking advantage of the divergence to accumulate quality stocks is the optimal strategy right now!
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After the sharp decline in the commercial aerospace sector, capital flows have become clear! Two new main themes have emerged.
Following the significant correction in the commercial aerospace theme, the market quickly saw capital分流, with clearer differentiation among sectors. Previously popular areas such as big technology, including semiconductor leaders and CPO leaders, experienced notable declines, while capital is accelerating into two new directions—AI applications and Hong Kong-listed innovative drugs.
Signs of capital inflow into the AI application sector are particularly evident, with Alibaba in Hong Kong continuing its strong performance and rising further; meanwhile, the Hong Kong-listed innovative drug sector has emerged unexpectedly as a new market hotspot.
Behind this capital reallocation lies the market's structural shift logic: themes that previously saw substantial gains are facing profit-taking pressure, prompting capital to move toward newly stabilized hotspots, thus maintaining the market's bullish sentiment.
Based on this trend, I have decisively positioned myself in the media sector of the AI application theme today, while increasing exposure to Hong Kong-listed innovative drugs. I particularly favor the potential of Hong Kong-listed innovative drugs, which combine solid fundamentals in innovative drugs with growth logic from AI applications. With dual drivers, this sector is poised to become the leading theme in the coming period.
Following the significant correction in the commercial aerospace theme, the market quickly saw capital分流, with clearer differentiation among sectors. Previously popular areas such as big technology, including semiconductor leaders and CPO leaders, experienced notable declines, while capital is accelerating into two new directions—AI applications and Hong Kong-listed innovative drugs.
Signs of capital inflow into the AI application sector are particularly evident, with Alibaba in Hong Kong continuing its strong performance and rising further; meanwhile, the Hong Kong-listed innovative drug sector has emerged unexpectedly as a new market hotspot.
Behind this capital reallocation lies the market's structural shift logic: themes that previously saw substantial gains are facing profit-taking pressure, prompting capital to move toward newly stabilized hotspots, thus maintaining the market's bullish sentiment.
Based on this trend, I have decisively positioned myself in the media sector of the AI application theme today, while increasing exposure to Hong Kong-listed innovative drugs. I particularly favor the potential of Hong Kong-listed innovative drugs, which combine solid fundamentals in innovative drugs with growth logic from AI applications. With dual drivers, this sector is poised to become the leading theme in the coming period.
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The major index rose from 3,815 points to 4,179 points, increasing by 364 points with consecutive gains, and today marked the first clear cooling-off after the streak of gains. The impact is only limited to themes that have risen too much, and it won't lead to the end of the market trend.
From the index perspective, the market has risen over 300 points in less than a month, so it needs to slow down the pace of upward movement, as the goal remains a steady 'bull market';
From the sentiment perspective, with increasing trading volume, the market has accumulated substantial profits. These profit-taking funds need time to digest. Although there are still many investors who missed the opportunity, those inside the market—especially quant traders, speculative funds, and retail investors—have already made significant gains, making it natural for some to take profits;
Therefore, for retail investors, the following strategy is recommended:
1. Today, the major index peaked at 4,179 points before retreating. The intraday chart shows clear up-and-down volatility. Although the daily chart remains above the 5-day moving average, it's no longer showing the previous single-directional, steady upward momentum.
This suggests that the index is likely to experience high-level consolidation in the short term. After rising hundreds of points, a moderate short-term adjustment should be acceptable for most investors.
After the New Year, I mentioned that the first target for the major index was around 4,200 points. Since the index hasn't reached that target yet and we're now seeing cooling in certain themes, the pace of index growth will be affected.
In my view, this is understandable—we're not bullish just because the market is rising, nor do we turn bearish simply because it drops. We always focus on the trend.
If your mood depends solely on consecutive green candles and panic arises at the first red candle, this reflects not only a lack of understanding of the trend but also disrespect for the market itself.
Therefore, now everyone should calm down and reflect: Are you willing to accept short-term high-level consolidation? Can you tolerate a moderate pullback? Of course, any comments predicting the index could drop to 4,000, 3,900, or even lower can be safely ignored.
Don't blindly lower your expectations just because the market dips, nor should you blindly raise your targets just because it rises. Note that financial sectors are still maintaining control over the index, indicating that the current adjustment is just a moderate slowdown, not a reversal.
Slowing down the index's rise is due to the pace being too rapid recently, not because the target has been reached and now we're being suppressed. This distinction is crucial.
2. Unless unexpected, the first red candle after a streak of green candles will likely shift market sentiment again. I can already imagine the panic and concern some people will feel.
In reality, most panic stems either from chasing gains or from missing out. Investors who are holding positions with a clear strategy tend to remain relatively rational.
For those who chased gains, being trapped at a high price creates extreme inner instability. Without a first-mover advantage or sufficient profit cushion to hedge risk, anxiety naturally follows.
For those who missed the opportunity, seeing a market drop may lead some to go against the trend and enter, while most others still believe it will fall further, even hoping for a deeper drop, so they can re-enter at their original low price.
These are all human behaviors in the stock market. But one thing must be clear: Is this adjustment signaling the end of the spring rally, or is it just a correction after a sharp rise?
If you believe it's the end of the spring rally, then sit out and stay out of the market. If you believe it's just a correction after a strong run, then simply reduce your position or lock in part of your profits, wait until the market drops to a level you're comfortable with, then add back in.
3. As for my view, I clearly stated it last night: if the index continues to rise, it's due to momentum; if it pulls back, it's just a correction after a strong rise. A continuous sharp drop is unlikely. More likely, the adjustment will happen through consolidation and accumulation.
With today's index rising and then retreating, the major index is likely to trade above the 10-day moving average for the second half of this week, with sector rotation expected in the market.
Today's main losers were in the commercial aerospace sector. While this cooling has some short-term emotional impact, it's unlikely to continue with consecutive losses. After a day or two of divergence, localized rebounds are expected.
This is the rhythm of the main theme: after the leading sectors rise too much and experience broad declines, there will be localized rebounds, followed by some stocks making new highs.
For AI applications and other concepts, there are still opportunities for premium gains. Even if trading volume doesn't break new highs, it's still around 3 trillion yuan, which is sufficient to sustain current market theme activity.
4. For retail investors, I recommend focusing on timing and rhythm. The consensus among most investors now is clear: the market does face pressure. Therefore, early-positioned funds will take some profits, and those with heavy positions will use this chance to reduce exposure;
But from a trend perspective, once the pullback occurs, we believe there will still be funds stepping in to absorb the sell-off and accumulate at lower prices. People may differ in their approach, but the core intention remains the same—to stay involved in the market.
Every market correction is a good time to ask yourself: Do you still believe in the trend? Do you still believe in the main theme?
If not, there's no point continuing. If yes, then you should focus on finding repeated opportunities after a pullback or broad decline—that's the rhythm.
Of course, I don’t expect everyone to agree with my view. In the stock market, the most important thing is ultimately convincing yourself. Otherwise, holding stocks won’t bring peace of mind, and staying out won’t either. You must know your own purpose.
From the index perspective, the market has risen over 300 points in less than a month, so it needs to slow down the pace of upward movement, as the goal remains a steady 'bull market';
From the sentiment perspective, with increasing trading volume, the market has accumulated substantial profits. These profit-taking funds need time to digest. Although there are still many investors who missed the opportunity, those inside the market—especially quant traders, speculative funds, and retail investors—have already made significant gains, making it natural for some to take profits;
Therefore, for retail investors, the following strategy is recommended:
1. Today, the major index peaked at 4,179 points before retreating. The intraday chart shows clear up-and-down volatility. Although the daily chart remains above the 5-day moving average, it's no longer showing the previous single-directional, steady upward momentum.
This suggests that the index is likely to experience high-level consolidation in the short term. After rising hundreds of points, a moderate short-term adjustment should be acceptable for most investors.
After the New Year, I mentioned that the first target for the major index was around 4,200 points. Since the index hasn't reached that target yet and we're now seeing cooling in certain themes, the pace of index growth will be affected.
In my view, this is understandable—we're not bullish just because the market is rising, nor do we turn bearish simply because it drops. We always focus on the trend.
If your mood depends solely on consecutive green candles and panic arises at the first red candle, this reflects not only a lack of understanding of the trend but also disrespect for the market itself.
Therefore, now everyone should calm down and reflect: Are you willing to accept short-term high-level consolidation? Can you tolerate a moderate pullback? Of course, any comments predicting the index could drop to 4,000, 3,900, or even lower can be safely ignored.
Don't blindly lower your expectations just because the market dips, nor should you blindly raise your targets just because it rises. Note that financial sectors are still maintaining control over the index, indicating that the current adjustment is just a moderate slowdown, not a reversal.
Slowing down the index's rise is due to the pace being too rapid recently, not because the target has been reached and now we're being suppressed. This distinction is crucial.
2. Unless unexpected, the first red candle after a streak of green candles will likely shift market sentiment again. I can already imagine the panic and concern some people will feel.
In reality, most panic stems either from chasing gains or from missing out. Investors who are holding positions with a clear strategy tend to remain relatively rational.
For those who chased gains, being trapped at a high price creates extreme inner instability. Without a first-mover advantage or sufficient profit cushion to hedge risk, anxiety naturally follows.
For those who missed the opportunity, seeing a market drop may lead some to go against the trend and enter, while most others still believe it will fall further, even hoping for a deeper drop, so they can re-enter at their original low price.
These are all human behaviors in the stock market. But one thing must be clear: Is this adjustment signaling the end of the spring rally, or is it just a correction after a sharp rise?
If you believe it's the end of the spring rally, then sit out and stay out of the market. If you believe it's just a correction after a strong run, then simply reduce your position or lock in part of your profits, wait until the market drops to a level you're comfortable with, then add back in.
3. As for my view, I clearly stated it last night: if the index continues to rise, it's due to momentum; if it pulls back, it's just a correction after a strong rise. A continuous sharp drop is unlikely. More likely, the adjustment will happen through consolidation and accumulation.
With today's index rising and then retreating, the major index is likely to trade above the 10-day moving average for the second half of this week, with sector rotation expected in the market.
Today's main losers were in the commercial aerospace sector. While this cooling has some short-term emotional impact, it's unlikely to continue with consecutive losses. After a day or two of divergence, localized rebounds are expected.
This is the rhythm of the main theme: after the leading sectors rise too much and experience broad declines, there will be localized rebounds, followed by some stocks making new highs.
For AI applications and other concepts, there are still opportunities for premium gains. Even if trading volume doesn't break new highs, it's still around 3 trillion yuan, which is sufficient to sustain current market theme activity.
4. For retail investors, I recommend focusing on timing and rhythm. The consensus among most investors now is clear: the market does face pressure. Therefore, early-positioned funds will take some profits, and those with heavy positions will use this chance to reduce exposure;
But from a trend perspective, once the pullback occurs, we believe there will still be funds stepping in to absorb the sell-off and accumulate at lower prices. People may differ in their approach, but the core intention remains the same—to stay involved in the market.
Every market correction is a good time to ask yourself: Do you still believe in the trend? Do you still believe in the main theme?
If not, there's no point continuing. If yes, then you should focus on finding repeated opportunities after a pullback or broad decline—that's the rhythm.
Of course, I don’t expect everyone to agree with my view. In the stock market, the most important thing is ultimately convincing yourself. Otherwise, holding stocks won’t bring peace of mind, and staying out won’t either. You must know your own purpose.
See original
A massive trading volume of 3.6 trillion has ignited the entire market! The dual main themes of commercial space and AI applications are surging, triggering a wave of涨停 (limit-up) across both markets, with speculative trading entering a frenzy.
At the opening, commercial space experienced a brief divergence but quickly reignited a surge. Any stock related to the concept could immediately enter a strong upward trend. Meanwhile, the AI application sector is flourishing across the board—AI large models, AI agents, and AI+ various industries are all rising sharply. Any stock tagged with 'AI application' has become a hot favorite for fund inflows.
This is clearly a bull market atmosphere! Local profit opportunities are fully unleashed, sparking intense enthusiasm among both on- and off-market funds. Various funds are rushing into ETFs, causing ETFs to surge on high volume, creating a positive feedback loop at the capital level—this is the core logic behind the current strong market rally.
Notably, traditional sectors such as consumption, resources, insurance, oil, and banking are simultaneously acting as pressure, effectively preventing the index from rising too quickly. This rhythm is undoubtedly healthy and sustainable.
So, how should we respond going forward?
Focus on the essence of the current market: pure speculative trading dominates, driven by news and concepts, while fundamentals and technical analysis are secondary. The market has shifted from institutional-led to short-term sentiment-driven, where sentiment is the primary force. In an environment of extremely ample liquidity, any high-visibility, popular stock can experience non-stop price increases.
A large influx of new capital only follows news and chases hot themes, which keeps speculative activity at peak levels. The rotation within the market is clear—once one theme fades, liquidity quickly shifts to another, maintaining continuous bullish sentiment. In addition, technology sectors such as domestic substitution, domestic computing power, and semiconductor supply chains have clear growth logic and remain highly attractive to funds. They can be gradually accumulated at lower prices, awaiting further fund exploration.
In one sentence: As long as trading volume remains strong, buying momentum will not stop!
II. Breakdown of Sector Rhythms
1. AI Application Sector
Our long-monitored stocks have all surged: HanDe Information and DingJie Software in the AI agent segment; Kunlun Wanwei and WanXing Technology in the AI large model segment; Yonyou Network and NengKe Technology in the AI+ industry segment—all have hit the daily limit-up! We reviewed these stocks in last night's analysis—please go back and check. The follow-up strategy is simple: hold and wait. With the support of a 3 trillion trading volume, these stocks have a high chance of replicating the strong performance seen in commercial space.
2. Domestic Computing Power & Domestic Substitution Semiconductors
We continue to favor high-end equipment and storage sectors—just hold. Today, funds have already actively absorbed positions at lower levels. The computing power leasing segment, which we highlighted last night, also performed exceptionally well—Runze Technology hit the daily limit-up, while Daweitech and Guanghuan Xinwang rose sharply. This niche sector deserves continued attention.
3. Brain-Computer Interface, Controlled Nuclear Fusion, Space-Based Solar Power
Pure speculative themes driven by news. We previously only mentioned Yongding Stock, but it has now developed a sustained upward trend—clearly demonstrating the current feverish level of speculative trading.
4. Light-related Concepts
This is an old but familiar theme, with no fundamental change in its core logic. The current lack of news catalysts is simply due to the fact that funds tend to prefer novelty. Attention is now focused on commercial space and AI applications. However, in reality, demand remains tight in areas such as optical chips and isolators. If major overseas players like Google and NVIDIA mention new technologies in their upcoming earnings reports, it will likely provide strong catalysts for the light-related theme.
At the opening, commercial space experienced a brief divergence but quickly reignited a surge. Any stock related to the concept could immediately enter a strong upward trend. Meanwhile, the AI application sector is flourishing across the board—AI large models, AI agents, and AI+ various industries are all rising sharply. Any stock tagged with 'AI application' has become a hot favorite for fund inflows.
This is clearly a bull market atmosphere! Local profit opportunities are fully unleashed, sparking intense enthusiasm among both on- and off-market funds. Various funds are rushing into ETFs, causing ETFs to surge on high volume, creating a positive feedback loop at the capital level—this is the core logic behind the current strong market rally.
Notably, traditional sectors such as consumption, resources, insurance, oil, and banking are simultaneously acting as pressure, effectively preventing the index from rising too quickly. This rhythm is undoubtedly healthy and sustainable.
So, how should we respond going forward?
Focus on the essence of the current market: pure speculative trading dominates, driven by news and concepts, while fundamentals and technical analysis are secondary. The market has shifted from institutional-led to short-term sentiment-driven, where sentiment is the primary force. In an environment of extremely ample liquidity, any high-visibility, popular stock can experience non-stop price increases.
A large influx of new capital only follows news and chases hot themes, which keeps speculative activity at peak levels. The rotation within the market is clear—once one theme fades, liquidity quickly shifts to another, maintaining continuous bullish sentiment. In addition, technology sectors such as domestic substitution, domestic computing power, and semiconductor supply chains have clear growth logic and remain highly attractive to funds. They can be gradually accumulated at lower prices, awaiting further fund exploration.
In one sentence: As long as trading volume remains strong, buying momentum will not stop!
II. Breakdown of Sector Rhythms
1. AI Application Sector
Our long-monitored stocks have all surged: HanDe Information and DingJie Software in the AI agent segment; Kunlun Wanwei and WanXing Technology in the AI large model segment; Yonyou Network and NengKe Technology in the AI+ industry segment—all have hit the daily limit-up! We reviewed these stocks in last night's analysis—please go back and check. The follow-up strategy is simple: hold and wait. With the support of a 3 trillion trading volume, these stocks have a high chance of replicating the strong performance seen in commercial space.
2. Domestic Computing Power & Domestic Substitution Semiconductors
We continue to favor high-end equipment and storage sectors—just hold. Today, funds have already actively absorbed positions at lower levels. The computing power leasing segment, which we highlighted last night, also performed exceptionally well—Runze Technology hit the daily limit-up, while Daweitech and Guanghuan Xinwang rose sharply. This niche sector deserves continued attention.
3. Brain-Computer Interface, Controlled Nuclear Fusion, Space-Based Solar Power
Pure speculative themes driven by news. We previously only mentioned Yongding Stock, but it has now developed a sustained upward trend—clearly demonstrating the current feverish level of speculative trading.
4. Light-related Concepts
This is an old but familiar theme, with no fundamental change in its core logic. The current lack of news catalysts is simply due to the fact that funds tend to prefer novelty. Attention is now focused on commercial space and AI applications. However, in reality, demand remains tight in areas such as optical chips and isolators. If major overseas players like Google and NVIDIA mention new technologies in their upcoming earnings reports, it will likely provide strong catalysts for the light-related theme.
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Tonight, there was a concentrated response from stocks related to commercial spaceflight regarding their business situations, with some leading companies suspending trading for investigation and others seeing major shareholders collectively reducing their holdings. Can the sentiment in China's A-share market continue to intensify on Tuesday? Let's highlight a few points:
1. Today, both AI applications and commercial spaceflight themes continued to surge. However, tonight, some signals emerged from these two sectors:
- Zhitexincai suspended trading for investigation. As the first stock this year to double in value, it has risen 20% for six consecutive days. Its suspension has drawn significant market attention.
- Zhitexincai's concept is AI4S, a term that may be unfamiliar to many. It can be understood as part of the AI application ecosystem.
- Tonight, multiple companies within the commercial spaceflight sector issued statements about their related businesses. For example, Aerospace Power, Hengbo Co., North Navigation, Aerospace Engineering, Starry Ring Tech, and Aerospace Changfeng explicitly stated that their core operations do not involve commercial spaceflight.
- On the other hand, companies like Shaanxi Huada, AVIC Electronics, Zhimingda, Haoneng Co., and Huaqin Tech clearly confirmed they have relevant business revenue.
This shows that after today's surge in the commercial spaceflight sector, as its popularity continued to rise, some companies may have proactively responded to regulatory concerns by clarifying their business exposure.
- Aerospace Development announced that its first and fourth largest shareholders sold shares during abnormal stock price movements.
- Xinxwei Communication released a减持公告 (share reduction announcement), stating that its actual controller plans to reduce holdings by no more than 1% in the future.
These developments are all related to AI applications and commercial spaceflight. Do they signal a cooling trend?
In my view, they can be seen as short-term cooling signals, especially the wave of commercial spaceflight companies clarifying their businesses. Although these actions appear to be voluntary, they are essentially risk warnings—mainly due to the recent significant price increases.
For these two themes, I believe the main trend has already taken shape. Short-term fluctuations won't change the long-term direction, as the potential for both areas in this year and beyond is clearly defined.
Any trend, once it rises significantly, will inevitably see deliberate cooling signals. But fundamentally, this isn't about discouraging capital participation—it's a reminder for investors to remain rational.
2. Regarding the commercial spaceflight sector, the speculative path can still be compared to last year's CPO optical module group trade. Once a main trend forms, it will face various doubts and disagreements along the way, but the industry's momentum remains unchanged.
After rising significantly, the stock may either experience high-level consolidation and then break new highs, or undergo a moderate pullback before resuming upward momentum and achieving stronger trend expansion.
Today, the trading volume of the commercial spaceflight concept reached over 50 billion yuan, indicating that this sector has become one of the most popular destinations for concentrated capital in today's A-share market. The former king of group trading, the CPO concept, currently has trading volume of only around 15 billion yuan within its sector.
By comparing trading volumes across concepts, it's clear which sector is hottest and thus the strongest trend. This reflects the changing cycle of market group trading behavior.
Last year's group surge doesn't guarantee it will be the absolute leader this year. Similarly, this year's hot group may not be the focus next year. Therefore, investors should closely follow capital flow and trend shifts, avoiding outdated strategies and buying at peak prices after the group has already formed.
As for AI applications, although today's surge was strong, the market's recognition of AI applications is now clearly evident. A key logic is that during the Spring Festival, domestic large models centered on Deepseek and Doubao will undergo iterative upgrades.
This year is the beginning of the AI application era. It's too early to say this direction has ended. The current stage of AI applications isn't yet a climax—it's just gradually attracting capital attention.
Therefore, for both AI applications and commercial spaceflight, short-term price increases will naturally trigger cooling signals. But this isn't a reason to be bearish. The reason a theme is a 'main trend' is not because it hasn't risen too high—it's because it represents future development direction, deep capital involvement, and its ability to drive overall market sentiment.
3. For tomorrow's A-share market on Tuesday, will the index continue to rise? Can sentiment further intensify?
More and more people are beginning to feel fear as prices rise. I believe we should stay calm. This calmness isn't about being fearful of high prices, but rather avoiding overthinking—just follow the trend.
Many people worry because they see so many 'stock geniuses' around, everyone discussing the market's profitability, and they feel compelled to add positions.
Seeing the index rise consecutively and trading volume expand rapidly, some fear a market correction. I believe we should maintain a steady mindset. Here’s how I see the index:
The index has now hit 17 consecutive gains. If it adjusts next, some may argue it's due to excessive gains—this would be a rhythmic pullback, not the end of the trend.
If the index continues rising, it’s just an extension of the existing trend, meaning the trend is strengthening.
Thus, at this stage, detailed analysis of the index's direction is less meaningful. It's already risen so much—can we accept a minor pullback? Yes, we should.
Does continued rise mean higher risk? Not necessarily. The trend is still strong.
So whether the index rises or falls, both are reasonable. The key point is that the trend remains strong, and healthy price-volume synergy indicates a solid market structure. At this point, my instinct tells me not to be actively bearish.
Therefore, the index is likely to continue rising tomorrow, and new highs may be reached.
The key tomorrow will be whether trading volume continues to break records. If the index rises but volume doesn't follow, it could lead to a short-term price-volume divergence.
After a prolonged surge, such divergence may trigger short-term disagreement between bulls and bears—potentially leading to high-level consolidation or a moderate correction, followed by renewed upward momentum.
So for now, don't rush. A trend won't end just because of a short-term adjustment signal. When real risks emerge, there will still be time to act. For now, just continue participating according to your own strategy.
1. Today, both AI applications and commercial spaceflight themes continued to surge. However, tonight, some signals emerged from these two sectors:
- Zhitexincai suspended trading for investigation. As the first stock this year to double in value, it has risen 20% for six consecutive days. Its suspension has drawn significant market attention.
- Zhitexincai's concept is AI4S, a term that may be unfamiliar to many. It can be understood as part of the AI application ecosystem.
- Tonight, multiple companies within the commercial spaceflight sector issued statements about their related businesses. For example, Aerospace Power, Hengbo Co., North Navigation, Aerospace Engineering, Starry Ring Tech, and Aerospace Changfeng explicitly stated that their core operations do not involve commercial spaceflight.
- On the other hand, companies like Shaanxi Huada, AVIC Electronics, Zhimingda, Haoneng Co., and Huaqin Tech clearly confirmed they have relevant business revenue.
This shows that after today's surge in the commercial spaceflight sector, as its popularity continued to rise, some companies may have proactively responded to regulatory concerns by clarifying their business exposure.
- Aerospace Development announced that its first and fourth largest shareholders sold shares during abnormal stock price movements.
- Xinxwei Communication released a减持公告 (share reduction announcement), stating that its actual controller plans to reduce holdings by no more than 1% in the future.
These developments are all related to AI applications and commercial spaceflight. Do they signal a cooling trend?
In my view, they can be seen as short-term cooling signals, especially the wave of commercial spaceflight companies clarifying their businesses. Although these actions appear to be voluntary, they are essentially risk warnings—mainly due to the recent significant price increases.
For these two themes, I believe the main trend has already taken shape. Short-term fluctuations won't change the long-term direction, as the potential for both areas in this year and beyond is clearly defined.
Any trend, once it rises significantly, will inevitably see deliberate cooling signals. But fundamentally, this isn't about discouraging capital participation—it's a reminder for investors to remain rational.
2. Regarding the commercial spaceflight sector, the speculative path can still be compared to last year's CPO optical module group trade. Once a main trend forms, it will face various doubts and disagreements along the way, but the industry's momentum remains unchanged.
After rising significantly, the stock may either experience high-level consolidation and then break new highs, or undergo a moderate pullback before resuming upward momentum and achieving stronger trend expansion.
Today, the trading volume of the commercial spaceflight concept reached over 50 billion yuan, indicating that this sector has become one of the most popular destinations for concentrated capital in today's A-share market. The former king of group trading, the CPO concept, currently has trading volume of only around 15 billion yuan within its sector.
By comparing trading volumes across concepts, it's clear which sector is hottest and thus the strongest trend. This reflects the changing cycle of market group trading behavior.
Last year's group surge doesn't guarantee it will be the absolute leader this year. Similarly, this year's hot group may not be the focus next year. Therefore, investors should closely follow capital flow and trend shifts, avoiding outdated strategies and buying at peak prices after the group has already formed.
As for AI applications, although today's surge was strong, the market's recognition of AI applications is now clearly evident. A key logic is that during the Spring Festival, domestic large models centered on Deepseek and Doubao will undergo iterative upgrades.
This year is the beginning of the AI application era. It's too early to say this direction has ended. The current stage of AI applications isn't yet a climax—it's just gradually attracting capital attention.
Therefore, for both AI applications and commercial spaceflight, short-term price increases will naturally trigger cooling signals. But this isn't a reason to be bearish. The reason a theme is a 'main trend' is not because it hasn't risen too high—it's because it represents future development direction, deep capital involvement, and its ability to drive overall market sentiment.
3. For tomorrow's A-share market on Tuesday, will the index continue to rise? Can sentiment further intensify?
More and more people are beginning to feel fear as prices rise. I believe we should stay calm. This calmness isn't about being fearful of high prices, but rather avoiding overthinking—just follow the trend.
Many people worry because they see so many 'stock geniuses' around, everyone discussing the market's profitability, and they feel compelled to add positions.
Seeing the index rise consecutively and trading volume expand rapidly, some fear a market correction. I believe we should maintain a steady mindset. Here’s how I see the index:
The index has now hit 17 consecutive gains. If it adjusts next, some may argue it's due to excessive gains—this would be a rhythmic pullback, not the end of the trend.
If the index continues rising, it’s just an extension of the existing trend, meaning the trend is strengthening.
Thus, at this stage, detailed analysis of the index's direction is less meaningful. It's already risen so much—can we accept a minor pullback? Yes, we should.
Does continued rise mean higher risk? Not necessarily. The trend is still strong.
So whether the index rises or falls, both are reasonable. The key point is that the trend remains strong, and healthy price-volume synergy indicates a solid market structure. At this point, my instinct tells me not to be actively bearish.
Therefore, the index is likely to continue rising tomorrow, and new highs may be reached.
The key tomorrow will be whether trading volume continues to break records. If the index rises but volume doesn't follow, it could lead to a short-term price-volume divergence.
After a prolonged surge, such divergence may trigger short-term disagreement between bulls and bears—potentially leading to high-level consolidation or a moderate correction, followed by renewed upward momentum.
So for now, don't rush. A trend won't end just because of a short-term adjustment signal. When real risks emerge, there will still be time to act. For now, just continue participating according to your own strategy.
See original
"A speculator must know what to do and must act quickly." That's absolutely true.
It's not about missing the limit-up, but by the time you realize it, the opportunity has already passed.
The chart below breaks down the pattern of a hot stock. Point B is the best opportunity, truly validating the sentiment of the master, Jesse Livermore.
Another point: It's not always best to sell at the peak. The best trade is to sell when it's time to sell, without hesitation.
It's not about missing the limit-up, but by the time you realize it, the opportunity has already passed.
The chart below breaks down the pattern of a hot stock. Point B is the best opportunity, truly validating the sentiment of the master, Jesse Livermore.
Another point: It's not always best to sell at the peak. The best trade is to sell when it's time to sell, without hesitation.
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