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Sellers are getting trapped as price refuses to give back any gains despite the heavy overhead. The constant pressure against the ceiling shows clear buyer dominance and a lack of real selling interest at these levels. Full exposure is justified here as the tape shows massive buy orders filling into every micro-dip. Momentum is building for a vertical expansion once the final resistance thins out. A clean breakdown below the local base invalidates the strength. Exit immediately if we see a heavy rejection with high volume. Ready for the break.
$72K feels like it’s coming next for $BTC, then a slow grind toward $76K — that’s my take.
But everything hinges on $70K. That level has to hold on the retest. Lose it, and the whole rally structure starts to look shaky. Hold it cleanly, and the path higher stays intact. Simple as that. $BTC
Sellers are getting trapped as price refuses to give back any gains despite the heavy overhead. The constant pressure against the ceiling shows clear buyer dominance and a lack of real selling interest at these levels. Full exposure is justified here as the tape shows massive buy orders filling into every micro-dip. Momentum is building for a vertical expansion once the final resistance thins out. A clean breakdown below the local base invalidates the strength. Exit immediately if we see a heavy rejection with high volume. Ready for the break.
Closed the trades that went the wrong way — $ZEC , $BIRD, and $BCH . No point forcing it.
Today’s market feels slow and thin. Choppy, low liquidity, lots of fake moves. Not my favorite environment to push size.
For now, I’m narrowing focus back to $BTC and $ETH. Cleaner structure, better liquidity, fewer surprises. Sometimes the best trade is just simplifying and waiting for the market to speak first.
James - Pump Trading
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Bearish
$BIRB stalling against the yellow EMA as supply thins out.
Recent upward pushes are losing steam and getting absorbed right into the resistance zone. Lower highs are stacking as momentum bleeds out, and the tape feels heavy with trapped bids near the local top. Full exposure now as price compresses toward the breakdown point. Looking for a fast flush once the immediate support base loses its grip. A clean reclaim of the moving average invalidates this. One strong impulsive candle back into the range and I'm out.
$ASTER just hit full TP perfectly — a textbook trade from entry to exit.
That said, if you took profits early, don’t beat yourself up. Taking profits is never wrong in this market — sometimes locking in wins is the smartest move.
James - Pump Trading
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Bullish
$ASTER Bids holding. Price is stubbornly anchoring at the edge as every minor dip gets bought up instantly.
The lower wicks are stacking aggressively, showing a clear refusal to let price slide further. Supply is thinning out against the EMA as the range tightens to a fraction of its previous volatility. Holding full exposure while the tape remains heavy with buy-side absorption. Every attempt to break the floor is met with a swift reclaim, trapping late sellers. A direct loss of this tight base invalidates the setup immediately. The pressure is building for an imminent release.
$ASTER just nailed a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders and bounced with a sharp V-reversal back above $0.60.
That’s a nice +50% run from the lows — textbook move. $0.60 now acts as local support, but the real “line in the sand” for this uptrend sits a bit lower around $0.56. Hold above that and continuation looks solid.
Everyone seems obsessed with using linear scale on weekly $BTC charts. Sure, it looks cool, but it’s not the best for spotting macro bottoms or long-term trend support. Here’s the deal: linear charts treat price like straight-up dollar moves. That’s fine for small swings, but for an asset that grows exponentially across cycles? Early cycles get squished, recent moves look huge, and suddenly projected bottoms look way lower than they really are. For real macro trend lines and weekly cycle work, log scale is the smarter play. It respects percentage growth, keeps cycles proportional, and actually shows the structure as it is. Linear is fine for short-term stuff. Log is the tool for multi-year trends and bottom analysis. It’s one of those subtle things that can make your charting look slick but totally mislead if you don’t pay attention.
$ETH is holding up nicely, and you could take profits early here.
The messy move already happened during the sweep. Since then, selling has thinned out, and every dip into the base is being absorbed immediately. No strong follow-through from sellers — just calm absorption as price clings to the range edge.
James - Pump Trading
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Bullish
$ETH reclaiming the range edge as bids absorb the recent exhaustion.
Momentum is holding firm after a liquidity sweep, with lower wicks stacking against the local demand zone. Recent selling pushes thin out rapidly, showing clear absorption as buyers reclaim the immediate shelf. Full exposure is active while the volume confirms a lack of follow-through from the asks. This setup stays valid as long as we hold this base; any sharp rejection without continuation back into the range would force an immediate exit. A clean break below the recent swing low kills the thesis. Expansion looks natural.
Price refuses to give back ground while supply thins out into this tight cluster. Every dip gets bought instantly, leaving a trail of absorption that points toward an imminent liquidity grab higher. Heavy exposure now as the squeeze feels primed and the downside look exhausted. Momentum is holding the line. If the floor drops and price accepts lower, the trade is dead. Watching for the breakout candle to confirm the shift.
Recent upward pushes are losing steam and getting absorbed right into the resistance zone. Lower highs are stacking as momentum bleeds out, and the tape feels heavy with trapped bids near the local top. Full exposure now as price compresses toward the breakdown point. Looking for a fast flush once the immediate support base loses its grip. A clean reclaim of the moving average invalidates this. One strong impulsive candle back into the range and I'm out.
Funding rates are still deeply negative, and I don’t want to bleed fees every hour for no good reason. The trade did its job — no need to overstay and let funding eat into it.
All other positions are still being held.
Sometimes the best move isn’t being right on direction — it’s cutting the unnecessary friction and protecting the PnL. Been there too many times to ignore that.
James - Pump Trading
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Bearish
$LA Supply thinning into a flush as momentum holds the downside.
Price behavior shows clear rejection at the upper edge with trapped stops now fueling the expansion lower. Adding to the exposure as recent small bounces thin out instantly upon hitting the EMA. Momentum is holding steady while bids get absorbed without any meaningful reclaim of lost ground. The liquidity sweep above was decisive. Looking for a fast continuation toward the base. A clean reclaim of the dynamic ceiling invalidates the thesis. Immediate exit if volume spikes on a sharp reversal wick.
Momentum is holding firm after a liquidity sweep, with lower wicks stacking against the local demand zone. Recent selling pushes thin out rapidly, showing clear absorption as buyers reclaim the immediate shelf. Full exposure is active while the volume confirms a lack of follow-through from the asks. This setup stays valid as long as we hold this base; any sharp rejection without continuation back into the range would force an immediate exit. A clean break below the recent swing low kills the thesis. Expansion looks natural.
Bids are actively absorbing the overhead pressure, forcing a slow grind back into the previous range. Recent selling pushes thin out instantly upon hitting the new floor, leaving trapped stops behind as momentum holds. Scaled-in exposure feels right here while the volume confirms buyers stepping in to defend the sweep. A sudden lack of follow-through at the edge would be the first warning. Total invalidation on a clean acceptance back below the recent wick lows. Expansion feels imminent as compression tightens.
Bears are leaning into the recent failed push, absorbing the minor bids that attempt to reclaim the mid-range. Recent momentum is heavy; lower wicks are nonexistent as the candle bodies flatten against support, signaling trapped stops just below the current floor. Full exposure is set as the reclaim attempt thins out and volume confirms the lack of buying interest. We are looking for the clean slip once this compression breaks. A firm close back inside the upper supply zone kills the thesis. Losing this local edge triggers the acceleration.
Price behavior shows clear rejection at the upper edge with trapped stops now fueling the expansion lower. Adding to the exposure as recent small bounces thin out instantly upon hitting the EMA. Momentum is holding steady while bids get absorbed without any meaningful reclaim of lost ground. The liquidity sweep above was decisive. Looking for a fast continuation toward the base. A clean reclaim of the dynamic ceiling invalidates the thesis. Immediate exit if volume spikes on a sharp reversal wick.
Momentum is clearly losing ground after the failed push higher, with recent candles stacking upper wicks against the overhead resistance. Selling pressure remains dominant as the bounce is getting absorbed quickly, showing a lack of follow-through from buyers at these levels. Scaled-in heavily here because the structure feels heavy and ready to roll over. Trapped longs are likely under pressure as the base starts to give way. Losing the immediate shelf confirms the flush. Sudden aggressive absorption of the bid side triggers the exit.
Price is stalling against local resistance after a failed push to sustain the high. Recent buying momentum is thinning out as supply starts absorbing the bids at the range edge. Holding full exposure while price compresses against the EMA, signaling a lack of follow-through from the bulls. Trapped stops above the recent rejection are the target if this structure holds. Any clean reclaim and acceptance above the current resistance shuts this down instantly. Waiting for the floor to give.
Price is stalling against local resistance after a failed push to sustain the high. Recent buying momentum is thinning out as supply starts absorbing the bids at the range edge. Holding full exposure while price compresses against the EMA, signaling a lack of follow-through from the bulls. Trapped stops above the recent rejection are the target if this structure holds. Any clean reclaim and acceptance above the current resistance shuts this down instantly. Waiting for the floor to give.