This isn't a prediction market—it's a private ATM for White House connections. Recently, the massive event of U.S. military forces entering Venezuela was artificially declared 'did not happen' on a so-called 'decentralized' betting platform through semantic manipulation, solely to allow certain individuals to withdraw huge sums.
来pu,ppi,es直 ,播 ,间,聊Here's how absurd it got: pre-event odds were just 2%, surged to 80% immediately after the first shots were fired. Once global news outlets reported the incident, large funds suddenly bet 'no,' crashing the probability back down to single digits. Even more shocking, the platform swiftly changed its rules, claiming 'the U.S. military action wasn't intended to permanently control the territory, thus not constituting an invasion.'
This isn't an isolated case. When the U.S. was previously exposed for destroying Venezuelan facilities, the platform quickly added: 'It was done by the CIA, not a military operation.'—rules that seem to be made of putty, tailor-made for certain accounts.
On-chain data revealed a mysterious account: three hours before the event, it placed a precise $30,000 bet on 'Maduro's ousting,' which grew to $400,000 within hours, followed by a quick withdrawal and disappearance. The funds were traced to the domain 'stevencharles.soi,' and the individual's full name is Steven Witkoff—Trump's 40-year friend and major campaign donor.
Meanwhile, in August of last year, Trump's eldest son invested in Polymarket and joined its advisory board; shortly thereafter, the platform obtained a U.S. regulatory license. Could all this really be coincidence?
When rules can be arbitrarily rewritten by those with inside information and power, and when 'decentralization' becomes a veil for insiders to profit, what exactly are these 'predictions' betting on—the event itself, or who has stronger connections?
Can you still believe such platforms are fair? Share your thoughts.
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