Holds the 21 Day MA cleanly. Multiple tests, each one defended as support. Structure is clear with higher lows and higher highs printing consistently.
This is exactly what strength looks like after a consolidation.
Momentum is building, sellers are getting absorbed, and the market is starting to accept higher prices. When that happens, dips stop being a threat and start becoming opportunities.
As long as BTC stays above this key moving average, the path of least resistance is up. A move toward $100K over the coming week looks increasingly likely if this structure holds.
The bull market didn’t disappear. It was just resetting sentiment.
The best advice I can give you in this space is simple: rely on yourself.
Learn how to manage risk first. Without that, nothing else matters. Learn how to wallet track. Follow smart money, not loud opinions. Learn how to read onchain data. Price moves for reasons long before Twitter notices. Learn how to spot narratives early, before they turn into crowded trades. Learn to recognize patterns and market behavior, not just indicators.
The end goal is full independence.
You want to reach a point where you can open the charts, check the data, form a thesis, and execute with confidence. No signals. No gurus. No copying trades.
If you can trade calmly and consistently on your own, you have already won in this market.
The higher lows are getting louder here. Structure is tightening, downside momentum is fading, and it looks like one of those spots where patience starts to get rewarded. Not chasing it, but definitely paying attention.
To be clear, I own zero $LIT and zero $HYPE right now. No bags to defend. Just reading what the chart is saying.
Both coins fall into the category of quality projects that have been beaten down, consolidated for a while, and are starting to show early signs of life. That’s usually where the best asymmetric opportunities form, before the crowd notices.
Doesn’t mean they rip tomorrow. Could still take time. But from a risk reward perspective, these are the kinds of names you want on your watchlist, not after they’re up 2x.
And honestly, most Altcoins are starting to look constructive.
The reason is simple. We finally got a clean break above the 21 Day MA, and now price is coming back to test it as support. That’s exactly what you want to see after a trend shift. Break, hold, then expand.
So far, the market is behaving well. Pullbacks are shallow, bids are showing up quickly, and there’s no aggressive selling pressure. That tells me this move has legs.
If the 21 Day MA continues to hold across the board, the probability of a new leg higher increases meaningfully. This is usually how momentum rebuilds, quietly, before people start paying attention again.
$SEI is one of the positions I’m most comfortable holding here. Relative strength has been solid, structure looks clean, and it’s respecting key levels.
No need to force anything. Let the market do the work.
Crypto YouTube viewership just dropped to 5 year lows after three straight months of decline.
That’s not noise. That’s a signal.
Retail interest has quietly left the room. No hype, no urgency, no dopamine. And historically, that’s exactly how bear market conditions express themselves, not through panic, but through apathy.
People don’t leave because price is low. They leave because nothing is happening.
This is usually the phase where attention disappears, creators pivot, and only the people with real conviction remain. The crowd checks out right before conditions start changing.
Low engagement doesn’t mean the market is dead. It means it’s boring. And boring markets are where positioning happens, not chasing.
Monero just pushed to nearly $600, cleanly breaking above the May 2021 high at $517.
That’s not random.
We’re seeing a clear rotation inside the privacy sector. As uncertainty and debate around Zcash increases, capital is moving toward the asset with the strongest and most proven privacy guarantees.
This is how sector rotations usually play out. Money doesn’t leave the theme. It moves to the strongest horse.
XMR has always been the pure privacy bet. No narratives needed. No marketing. Just consistent demand when privacy actually matters.
Breaking an ATH while the broader market is still hesitant says a lot. Strength like this usually isn’t a one day event. It’s positioning.
Privacy trades are waking up. Monero is leading the way.
$ETH is being called dead because it’s been trending down against Bitcoin for years.
That’s the easy narrative.
Yes, on the ETH/BTC pair it has been in a downtrend for roughly four years. That’s exactly why sentiment is where it is today. Disbelief, boredom, frustration.
But since April ’25, that trend has changed.
ETH/BTC has put in a clear bottom, and the structure since then looks like accumulation, not distribution. Relative strength has quietly started to shift, even while most people are still anchored to the old chart.
This is how Ethereum markets start.
Not with hype. Not with headlines. With apathy.
It’s very similar to 2019. ETH was written off back then too, underperformed for years, and then slowly began to outperform while most weren’t paying attention.
By the time the narrative flips, the move is already well underway.
We’re already in an Ethereum market. Most just haven’t realized it yet.
Bitcoin is holding the 21-Day MA into the weekend.
That’s the key level I care about right now.
Monday will matter. Things are still a bit shaky with geopolitical noise in the background, and that can easily cause some intraday volatility. Headlines can move price fast in thin conditions.
That said, price is still holding above former resistance, now acting as support. As long as that structure remains intact, my base case doesn’t change.
I’m leaning toward a slow grind higher rather than an immediate impulse move. If this level continues to hold, pressure builds, and that usually resolves to the upside.
A clean breakout above $94K would be the confirmation. If that happens, I think $100K becomes a very realistic target within the next 1–2 weeks.
Patience here. The level matters more than the noise.
That last step matters more than most people realize.
Knowledge hoarded dies with you. Knowledge shared multiplies. When you help others level up, you’re not losing edge, you’re expanding impact. You create alignment, trust, and a network that grows with you instead of against you.
Money is a tool, not the finish line. What you do with it once you have it is what defines the outcome. Turning profit into purpose is what separates short-term winners from people who actually build something meaningful.
Blessing others doesn’t weaken you. It compounds your position in ways charts can’t measure. And that’s usually when doors start opening that logic alone can’t explain.
I’ve mentioned $NEAR plenty of times already, and it’s starting to get interesting again.
Price is sitting right at a crucial resistance zone while beginning to form a fresh uptrend. This is usually where things either completely fail or start to accelerate, so it’s an important area to pay attention to.
For me, the key level is the 21 Day MA. As long as $NEAR can hold above it, the structure stays constructive and the odds favor continuation rather than rejection.
If that support holds, I don’t see much standing in the way of a clean break above the $1.95 resistance. Once that level is gone, momentum should pick up quickly.
From there, the next logical target becomes the pre 10/10 price area around $3. That would also line up with a broader recovery across alts if Bitcoin remains stable.
$BTC is holding above the 21 Day MA and now the main task is getting through the weekend without losing it. That level matters more than most people realize.
If we manage to hold here and Monday opens green, the odds increase significantly for a continuation move toward the $100K area. Momentum would likely accelerate fast once that scenario starts playing out.
What I like seeing is that Bitcoin is also holding former resistance as support. That is usually how healthy breakouts behave, not straight up, but controlled and constructive.
Altcoins are not doing anything exciting yet, but that is fine. They are slowly stabilizing and starting to crawl higher instead of bleeding out. That is usually how recoveries begin, quietly and without hype.
No need to rush anything here. Structure is improving, levels are respected, and patience still pays.
A lot of people get stuck waiting for “alt season” and in the process miss entire cycles of opportunity elsewhere. Years pass, capital stays idle, and conviction slowly turns into frustration.
Markets don’t owe anyone validation. They reward adaptability.
It’s completely fine to rotate into other asset classes when conditions make more sense. Equities, commodities, bonds, even cash all have their moments. There’s no rule saying your portfolio must always be max risk just to prove belief.
Being flexible doesn’t mean you’ve given up on crypto. It means you understand opportunity cost. Capital should work, not wait for a narrative to come true.
High-risk investments have their place, but they shouldn’t be the only place. Balance is underrated, especially during long periods of chop and underperformance.
The goal isn’t to be right about one thesis forever. The goal is to grow over time.
Sometimes the smartest move isn’t waiting longer, it’s moving smarter.
If it looks like a downtrend Trades like a downtrend Then it probably is a downtrend.
No need to overcomplicate it.
That doesn’t mean I’m bearish forever. It just means timing matters. Allocating into strength is very different from catching a falling knife.
I’ll likely allocate a position at some point, but not by guessing the bottom.
How?
Read the second screenshot.
Liquidity first. Structure second. Confirmation last.
Trying to be early usually just means being wrong for longer. $XPL dip buyers already know how painful it is to be on the wrong side of a market that’s clearly trending against you.
Patience here isn’t passive. It’s protective.
Let the market prove it’s done going down before stepping in.
This is not the kind of price action you want to see.
Slow, efficient selling. Very clean. Very controlled. Doesn’t look organic at all.
When markets move like this, there’s no urgency to be involved. I’d rather see some mess first. Smaller wicks on lower timeframes, failed pushes lower, signs that sellers are actually getting absorbed.
Until that happens, patience is the trade.
I’m still interested in both, just observing for now. No need to force anything.