🚨 BREAKING: Polymarket is pricing a 76% chance that Trump’s tariffs are ruled illegal.

The Supreme Court decision is expected Friday.

If the Court strikes down the tariffs, two major consequences stand out:

1ļøāƒ£ Refunds

Tariffs already collected could be refunded to importers, pulling cash out of circulation and further straining government finances.

2ļøāƒ£ Budget Deficit Impact

These tariffs were expected to cut the U.S. deficit by nearly $3 trillion over the next decade. A negative ruling would wipe out that projected reduction.

Importantly, a loss in court does not permanently ban tariffs — it only invalidates the current legal framework being used.

The President would still have alternative ways to impose tariffs, but they would be:

• Slower to implement

• More restrictive

• Less effective than the existing mechanism

This sets up short-term uncertainty across markets.

Trump has consistently claimed tariffs strengthen the economy and support equities. A ruling against them would challenge that narrative.

šŸ“‰ Longer-term effects of tariff removal:

• Lower government revenue

• Reduced inflation pressure

• Higher odds of future rate cuts

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