comodities

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IBKR · Market Insights
🔹 Core judgment
• The current market has entered a stage of structural differentiation
• AI repricing is spreading from the tech sector to wider industries
• European economy maintains moderate expansion, but momentum is limited
🔹 Market trend
• Short-term range operation of the index
• Banks and defense remain relatively safe assets
• The software sector faces dual pressures of valuation and profit model
• Both gold and US dollar sentiment are close to phased extremes
🔹 Risk Factors
• PCE data for the week
• Results of US-Iran negotiations
• AI capital expenditure and profit realization rhythm
• Duration of European industrial weakness