strategictrading

When discussing "" it is important to clarify that there are two prominent projects currently using this ticker: #XPL #StrategicTrading Plasma (XPL), a stablecoin-focused Layer 1, and the recently rebranded CONX (formerly XPLA), a cultural fintech blockchain.
Depending on which one you are tracking, the strategic outlook for 2026 differs significantly.
1. Plasma (XPL): Stablecoin Infrastructure
Plasma is a Layer 1 blockchain specifically built to facilitate high-volume, zero-fee stablecoin (USDT) transfers.
Current Strategy & 2026 Outlook
* Infrastructure Pivot: Rather than a general-purpose chain, Plasma’s strategy is to become the "global settlement layer" for digital dollars.
* Key Product (Plasma One): Launching in Q1 2026, this is a stablecoin-native "neobank" and card. It allows users to spend stablecoins directly, earn yield, and send money globally with zero fees.
* Risk Management: A massive unlock of 2.5 billion XPL (25% of supply) is scheduled for July 2026. Investors should watch for potential sell pressure around this date.
* Strategic Indicator: Success depends on the adoption of the Plasma card and whether its USDT transaction volume can compete with networks like Tron.
2. CONX (formerly XPLA): Cultural Fintech
Originally the XPLA blockchain (associated with Com2uS), this project rebranded to CONX in late 2025 to reflect a shift toward "Cultural Fintech"—merging IP, AI, and finance.
Current Strategy & 2026 Outlook
* The Rebrand: The ticker change from XPLA to CONX (active on major exchanges like Bithumb) signals a move toward tokenizing Real World Assets (RWA) and Intellectual Property (IP).
* DAO Governance: The DAO Forum is slated to launch in Q1 2026, giving the community more power over resource allocation and ecosystem direction.
* IP Tokenization: In 2026, the Artue x CONX competition will allow creators to tokenize digital art and cultural assets directly on the chain.
* Technical Integration: The strategy involves a "multi-chain" approach, integrating with Ethereum (via zkXPLA) and Ripple to act as a hub for digital media.
Summary of Market Sentiment (Jan 2026)
| Feature | Plasma (XPL) | CONX (XPLA) |
|---|---|---|
| Core Focus | Stablecoin payments & Neobanking | IP, Gaming, & RWA Tokenization |
| Major 2026 Event | Plasma One Card launch (Q1) | DAO Forum launch & IP Competition |
| Supply Risk | 2.5B token unlock in July 2026 | Periodic unlocks (already in progress) |
| Market Outlook | Neutral-to-Bullish on utility | Bearish on price action; Bullish on tech |
> Note: Both coins are currently navigating volatile price cycles. Plasma (XPL) is facing a "tug-of-war" between high utility growth and upcoming supply inflation, while CONX (XPLA) is in an accumulation phase following its rebrand.
>
Which of these two projects are you most interested in? I can help you analyze the tokenomics of a specific one or look up the latest technical chart patterns.
#strk

#StrategicTrading #CPIWatch
$VET
VET/USDT Market Context (January 13, 2026)
​The market sentiment for VeChain is currently Neutral-to-Bullish. After a significant rally in late 2025, VET has entered a consolidation phase. A major catalyst occurred on January 7, 2026, when Kraken officially listed VET, injecting fresh liquidity and driving a brief 9% surge to $0.013 before the price retraced to current levels.
​Technical Analysis
​VET is currently trading near $0.0116, caught between local support and a heavy overhead resistance zone.
​1. Support and Resistance Levels
​Primary Resistance ($0.0125 - $0.0130): This zone acted as the peak of the recent "Kraken bounce." Bulls must clear $0.013 with high volume to confirm a breakout toward $0.023.
​Key Support ($0.0110 - $0.0114): This is a critical "floor." If the price drops below $0.0110, it risks a further decline toward the secondary support at $0.0095.
​2. Indicators & Moving Averages
​Moving Averages: The price is hovering around its 7-day SMA ($0.0121). A sustained close above this line would signal a short-term trend reversal. The 200-day MA is currently sloping downward, suggesting the long-term trend still faces bearish pressure.
​RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently sitting at 53.3, the RSI is neutral. This indicates that VET is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for a move in either direction.
​Volume: Trading volume has stabilized around $16M - $25M daily. Analysts are looking for a spike above $25M to confirm a genuine trend change.
​Fundamental Drivers
​The "Hayabusa" Upgrade: The December 2025 upgrade shifted VET to a staking-based reward model. With over 7.1 billion VET now staked, circulating supply inflation has slowed, which may act as a catalyst for price appreciation if demand remains steady.
​Enterprise Adoption: Continued partnerships with Walmart China and BMW, alongside new pilot programs in the EU for carbon tracking, provide a "utility floor" for the token.
​Market Rotation: As Bitcoin dominance fluctuates near 58%, capital is beginning to rotate into "utility-focused" alts like VET, which are perceived as safer bets compared to speculative meme coins.
​Short-Term Outlook
​Bullish Case: If VET holds the $0.0114 support and Bitcoin retests $95k, VET could rally to $0.0135 by the end of the week.
​Bearish Case: A breakdown below $0.0110 would likely see a retest of the $0.0095 level as traders de-risk.$XRP

Bitcoin (BTC), aset kripto terbesar di dunia, terus menjadi sorotan para investor di tengah volatilitas pasar yang tinggi. Pada 12 Januari 2026, harga Bitcoin berada di kisaran $91,579.58 USD, dengan kenaikan sekitar 0.82% dalam 24 jam terakhir. Meskipun mengalami koreksi signifikan dari puncak tertinggi sepanjang masa (ATH) di $126,198.07 pada Oktober 2025, Bitcoin menunjukkan tanda-tanda stabilisasi yang bisa menjadi awal dari fase akumulasi baru. Dalam artikel ini, kita akan mengupas analisa teknis, fundamental, serta outlook jangka pendek hingga menengah untuk BTC, berdasarkan data terkini dari pasar.

Kondisi Pasar Saat Ini
Harga Bitcoin saat ini mengalami fluktuasi ringan, dengan rentang terendah 24 jam di $90,055.02 dan tertinggi di $92,395.53. Kapitalisasi pasar mencapai $1.82 triliun, sementara volume perdagangan 24 jam melonjak hingga $36.05 miliar, menandakan peningkatan aktivitas yang signifikan (naik 161.74% dari hari sebelumnya).
Ini menunjukkan bahwa meskipun harga sedang konsolidasi, minat investor tetap tinggi, terutama dari kalangan institusional.
Bitcoin telah turun sekitar 27.33% dari ATH-nya, tetapi pola ini mirip dengan fase konsolidasi sebelumnya, seperti yang terjadi pada April 2025 sebelum rally besar menuju $126.000. Saat ini, BTC berada dalam fase "coil" ketat di area $90.000-$92.000, di mana volume perdagangan relatif rendah namun inflow dana institusional mulai terlihat positif.
Analisa Teknis: Support dan Resistance Kunci
Dari perspektif teknis, Bitcoin sedang menguji level-level penting yang bisa menentukan arah selanjutnya:
- Support Utama: Area $90.000-$91.200 telah berhasil direbut kembali sebagai support setelah sebelumnya berfungsi sebagai resistance. Jika BTC bertahan di atas $91.200, ini bisa menjadi sinyal bullish untuk naik menuju $94.000.
- Resistance Utama: Level $92.900 bertindak sebagai "guardian" pertama, diikuti oleh $94.000-$95.000. Jika berhasil menembus $93.000-$94.000, potensi short squeeze bisa mendorong harga ke $99.000 atau lebih tinggi.
- Indikator Teknis: Relative Strength Index (RSI) menunjukkan hidden bullish divergence, menandakan momentum beli yang tersembunyi. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mulai pulih meskipun masih netral. Namun, adanya Death Cross (50-EMA melintasi di bawah 200-EMA) sejak akhir 2025 tetap menjadi perhatian, meskipun sedang diuji untuk potensi "escape" – jika BTC bertahan di atas 200-EMA selama beberapa hari, ini bisa menjadi sinyal bullish kuat.
- Pola Grafik: Pola konsolidasi ketat ini mengingatkan pada setup sebelum surge besar tahun lalu, dengan volume rendah yang menunjukkan akumulasi diam-diam oleh pemain besar.
Investor disarankan untuk memantau $91.200 sebagai pivot utama. Jika gagal bertahan, risiko pullback lebih dalam meningkat.

Faktor Fundamental: Dorongan dari Institusi dan Makroekonomi
Fundamental Bitcoin tetap solid, didukung oleh adopsi institusional yang berkelanjutan:
- Aktivitas Institusional: Perusahaan seperti MicroStrategy terus melakukan akumulasi besar-besaran. Outflow dari ETF Bitcoin baru-baru ini (sekitar $600-900 juta minggu lalu) lebih disebabkan oleh profit-taking daripada penarikan total. Institusi seperti Morgan Stanley bahkan mengajukan ETF baru, menandakan kepercayaan jangka panjang.
- Faktor Makro: Penguatan dolar AS (indeks DXY tinggi) dan ekspektasi kebijakan hawkish dari Federal Reserve (Fed) menekan aset berisiko seperti BTC. Isu tarif perdagangan di era Trump dan penyelidikan terhadap Ketua Fed Jerome Powell bisa menambah volatilitas. Namun, narasi "debasement trade" – di mana kebijakan Trump mendorong pelemahan dolar – justru bullish untuk Bitcoin sebagai lindung nilai inflasi.
- Regulasi: Voting atas CLARITY Act di Senat AS pada sekitar 15 Januari menjadi catalyst potensial. Jika disahkan, regulasi crypto yang lebih jelas bisa memicu rally 5-15%, membuka pintu bagi lebih banyak investor institusional.
Selain itu, data circulating supply BTC mencapai 19.97 juta dari maksimal 21 juta, dengan fully diluted valuation (FDV) di $1.92 triliun, memperkuat narasi kelangkaan aset ini.
Sentimen Pasar dan Prediksi
Sentimen di platform X (sebelumnya Twitter) campur aduk, tetapi banyak analis melihat fase ini sebagai "coil" sebelum breakout. Prediksi dari platform seperti Polymarket memberikan probabilitas sekitar 38% bahwa BTC mencapai $100.000 pada akhir Januari 2026. Konsensus analis secara keseluruhan bullish untuk tahun 2026, dengan target rata-rata $110.000-$150.000, meskipun ada prediksi ekstrem dari $75.000 hingga $225.000.

Outlook Jangka Pendek hingga Menengah
- Skenario Bullish (Probabilitas 65%): Jika BTC bertahan di atas $91.000, ditambah data CPI (Consumer Price Index) pada 13 Januari menunjukkan inflasi dingin dan CLARITY Act lolos, relief rally bisa mendorong harga ke $99.000-$110.000. Potensi tes ulang $120.000 jika Fed kembali dovish.
- Skenario Bearish (Probabilitas 30-35%): Gagal bertahan di $91.000, ditambah CPI panas atau penguatan dolar, bisa memicu pullback ke $85.000-$88.000, bahkan $74.000 jika terjadi cascade likuidasi.
- Keseluruhan 2026: Tahun ini diproyeksikan bullish, didorong oleh halving effect pasca-2024 dan adopsi global.
Bitcoin saat ini berada di persimpangan penting: fase akumulasi yang menunggu catalyst. Bagi trader dan investor, ini adalah momen untuk DYOR (Do Your Own Research) dan mengelola risiko dengan baik. Apakah ini awal dari rally baru, atau koreksi lebih dalam? Pasar akan segera menjawab. Pantau perkembangan terbaru, dan ingat, investasi kripto melibatkan risiko tinggi. 🚀$BTC #USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrendingTopic #TrendingPredictions #StrategicTrading