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Gold and silver markets have come into sharp focus this week as major commodity index rebalancing triggered a substantial wave of bullion sales, putting pressure on prices after a historic rally in 2025. Technical adjustments to index weightings have forced funds tracking benchmarks like the Bloomberg Commodity Index and the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index to shed large positions in both metals, leading to heightened volatility in futures and spot markets.
The selling stems from the annual rebalancing process, a rules-based exercise that realigns index components based on liquidity, production and past performance. Because gold and silver had surged dramatically last year—gold rising around 60% and silver more than 150%—their weightings in key indices grew well above target levels, forcing index funds to offload bullion futures to meet new mandates. Estimates suggest billions of dollars’ worth of contracts have been or will be sold as part of this adjustment, especially affecting silver.
Silver appears particularly vulnerable amid this technical selling pressure, with analysts suggesting it could see some of the largest net liquidations relative to market size. The wave of sales has already nudged prices lower in recent sessions, reflecting the heavy participation of passive tracking funds unwinding positions to satisfy index rules rather than a shift in fundamental demand.
Gold, while not as sharply impacted as silver in relative terms, has also backed off from recent highs as the rebalancing flows ripple through the market. Traders note that index-related selling often amplifies short-term price swings, given that forced liquidation is price-insensitive and can overwhelm nearby liquidity.
Despite the immediate pressure, some market participants view this period as a potential buying opportunity, drawing parallels to similar forced selling events in previous years that were followed by renewed accumulation and upward moves. The consensus among several analysts is that this technical adjustment does not necessarily signal a reversal of bullion’s longer-term bullish trend but rather a temporary correction amid structural rebalancing.
Beyond the index effects, broader macro forces remain relevant. Continued central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainties, and expectations of easing monetary policy later in 2026 still underpin the case for precious metals as safe-haven and portfolio diversification assets. These fundamentals could help cushion prices once forced sellers complete their adjustments.
In summary, gold and silver are under scrutiny not because of faltering demand but due to technical selling driven by index rebalancing, which has introduced volatility and near-term price weakness. Savvy investors may interpret the pullback as an opportunity to accumulate bullion at lower levels, while longer-term structural drivers for precious metals remain intact.
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The total above-ground stock of gold stands at 216,265 tonnes, with the largest share found in jewelry.
Below-ground stock is estimated to be 132,110 tonnes as of year-end 2024.

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