The Idea: Think of SUI as Bitcoin-style value, but without the huge energy waste. That’s the core vision behind it.
Long-Term View: No, it won’t replace $BTC — and it doesn’t need to. SUI is easily a top 5–10 quality project in crypto. Long term, this is not one to ignore. It’s likely to be a major large-cap holding for me in the next cycle.
📊 High Timeframe (HTF) Outlook
I still expect one last move up in the market, with altcoins making strong moves
MACD is close to flipping bullish 📈
Trend structure is improving
Yes, it looks a bit like a bear flag, but I’m not worried about it
My Expectation: We push to a shallow ATH, possibly tagging the trendline. After that (maybe with a small retest), a pullback should happen.
📉 Pullback Targets
I don’t expect any deep crash here.
Main zone: $0.80
Extreme case: $0.60
A new all-time low is very unlikely. Strong projects usually hold up well.
⏱ 4H Timeframe – Short-Term View
Possible small dip to grab liquidity near the double bottom / late-2025 lows
Watch for RSI divergence during that dip 👀
After liquidity is taken → strong bounce expected
🏁 Final Take
SUI is a high-quality, large-cap project and one of my top picks going forward.
🚀 The fastest altcoin pump ever is coming in 2026. I don’t make the rules.
From Feb 17, 2026, the market shifts into a high-volatility phase after the big 2024–2025 run.
What to expect: • Fast rallies that fail quickly • Sharp drops that bounce back • More quick rotations, fewer long altcoin runs
Altcoins won’t move together like before. Instead, money will jump in and out fast.
⚠️ Altseason is likely: • Early in the year, or • In short bursts, not a smooth ride The real bull energy shows up as a late, aggressive speculative spike. A violent, short altseason… followed by an equally violent pullback.
In the future, Bitcoin could become the base layer of the internet. As AI floods the web with unlimited spam, fake content, and code at almost zero cost, people will use Bitcoin to store important information they don’t want to get lost or buried.
$AXS and $DUSK are moving opposite to the overall market right now. When the market looks weak, these coins are actually performing better. The same thing is happening with $RIVER , but #RİVER is clearly a scam coin — and coins like this often pump the most when the market is fragile.
$WLD was trading around $2.20 just 4 months ago. Today, it’s sitting near $0.47. That’s crypto for you. Need another example? $TRU was around $0.24 about 1.7 years back. Now it’s trading near $0.009. Projects rise, projects fade. Most don’t last forever. Don’t get emotionally or financially over-attached to a single coin ($BTC being the exception). Use crypto to build capital. Once you have size, rotate into stocks and indexes to protect and grow it. Crypto is a phase — don’t make it a lifetime stop.
I’m seeing a lot of mixed opinions here, so this might trigger some people 😅 But in my view, the bear market hasn’t started yet.
Here’s why 👇
1️⃣ Rising 10Y yields For me, higher yields don’t mean the cycle is over. They suggest the cycle is being extended. We’re also seeing volatility in the S&P 500, which usually means liquidity still has time to flow into risk assets. I believe one more rally is still left.
2️⃣ Fear & Greed Market cycles usually end in extreme greed or extreme fear. Instead, $BTC has been ranging for a long time — that looks more like a sentiment reset, not a final top. Markets love to trap the majority. Make everyone believe one thing… then do the opposite. Yes, the structure can look similar to 2021, but to me this feels like a pause before the last leg up.
3️⃣ Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Historically, cycles end when BTC dominance drops hard. That hasn’t happened yet. If you zoom out, the current BTC.D structure actually matches past cycles. Even the July 2025 drop looks similar to the small “fake dips” we saw before the real moves in 2017 and 2021.
Conclusion Right now, the chance of $BTC being in a bear market is about the same as it being in a super cycle. I’m open to being wrong — and I’ll update my view if the data changes. But for now, this is where my analysis stands.
After the rally driven by the DUSK EVM news, on-chain data shows clear distribution near the top.
🔍 What happened? • A whale deposited the entire 10M $DUSK (~$2.7M) into Binance • The wallet had been inactive for 8 months before this move • Funds were sent to a CEX right after the major catalyst and near a local top 📉 This behavior strongly points to “sell the news” activity. Price reacted quickly after the deposit and pulled back from the highs. 👀 Worth watching closely to see if this move continues or stabilizes.
Ever checked the S&P 500 chart before 2000? 📉 Most people don’t. It looks boring. But there’s a pattern most ignore. Big Picture Idea Markets don’t move randomly. They move in long cycles of 40–60 years. Each cycle has: Long bull markets (strong growth, quick recoveries) Long bear markets (big crashes, slow healing) To end a real bear market, you always need a GAME CHANGER.
A Simple Walk Through History 1913–1929: Easy Money Era The Federal Reserve kept money cheap. Innovation + cheap money = strong market growth. 1930s: The Crash Banks failed. People couldn’t withdraw money. The system broke. 👉Game Changer #1 (1940s) During World War II, the government printed money aggressively to fund the war. Growth returned. 👉1971: Game Changer#2 The US stopped backing the dollar with gold. The world moved to fiat money. 1980s–1990s: The 401(k) Shift Retirement risk moved from companies to individuals. People were forced to invest in markets every month. This steady buying fueled a massive bull run. Then came: 1987 crash 2000 dot-com bubble burst 👉2008: Game Changer #3 (QE) Banks collapsed. Interest rates hit zero. So the Fed created digital money and bought bad debt. This was called Quantitative Easing (QE). 2012: QE Without Limits The Fed said: “We’ll print and buy assets every month until things improve.” Markets broke out again. Where Are We Now?🤔 We are still in a secular bull market. 2020 crash: fast drop, fast recovery The next crash (maybe around 2026) could look similar But to exit the next real bear market, we’ll need a new game changer. What will it be? No one knows.🤷🏻 Why This Matters for Crypto Bitcoin was born in 2009 — right after QE began. Limited supply Fully digital No central control Bitcoin is to digital money what gold was to physical money. $BTC is still much smaller than gold. Standards have changed before — they can change again. Final Thought Crypto isn’t a trend. It’s a response to how money now works. If you read till the end, drop a like and follow for more life changing simple crypto insights. $ETH $BNB #StrategyBTCPurchase #MacroAnalysis
The market is trading lower today, with most major coins under pressure. BTC dominance stands at 58.61%, while the total market cap is $3.16T. Price Snapshot $BTC : $92,622 (-2.62%) $ETH: $3,207 (-3.22%) $BNB: $923 (-2.81%) $SOL : $133 (-6.24%) Outperformer $RIVER : $26.84 (+38.42%)
Overall sentiment remains cautious, though a few selective tokens are showing strong relative strength.
I keep seeing the same mistake again and again — people think markets move just because of a few lines on a chart. Look at what’s happening around the world: tariffs, EU tensions, Greenland talks, Middle East issues… did anyone really expect markets to just pump? Markets move on sentiment, not drawings. And sentiment is shaped by macro news, micro events, and fundamentals. With Trump back in power, volatility is normal. This isn’t complicated — it’s how markets work.
The crypto market fell today as investors became cautious due to global economic and political concerns. News around tariffs and geopolitics made traders move away from risky assets, causing heavy selling and many long positions to get liquidated.
$BTC and most major altcoins dropped along with stock markets. Overall sentiment is weak, with no strong positive news to support prices.
Market mood: Bearish — traders are being careful, selling pressure is high, and prices are reacting to global uncertainty.