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Bitcoin Whales Quietly Accumulate as BTC Slides Toward $78,000: Glassnode
Large Bitcoin holders — commonly referred to as “whales” — are currently the only investor cohort actively accumulating BTC, even as the price continues to decline. According to on-chain data from Glassnode, all other investor groups are showing net selling behavior.
This divergence highlights a growing gap between large-scale investors and retail participants, as Bitcoin trades near $78,000 amid ongoing market uncertainty.
Accumulation Trend Score Reveals Sharp Investor Divergence
The trend is clearly reflected in Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score, broken down by wallet size. The metric measures the relative accumulation behavior of different investor cohorts based on changes in their Bitcoin holdings over the past 15 days.
A score closer to 1 indicates active accumulation
A score closer to 0 signals distribution or selling
Glassnode data shows that the largest whale cohort — wallets holding 10,000 BTC or more — is currently in a phase of “mild accumulation.” Their balance trend has remained neutral to slightly positive since Bitcoin first fell below $80,000 in late November.
During that period, BTC largely moved sideways within a broad $80,000–$97,000 range through the end of January, suggesting that large holders were steadily absorbing supply during consolidation.
Retail and Smaller Investors Continue to Sell
In contrast, all smaller investor groups are net sellers, with the most pronounced distribution coming from retail wallets holding less than 10 BTC. This cohort has been selling consistently for more than a month, reflecting:
heightened risk aversion
declining confidence in near-term price recovery
concern that the current downtrend may extend further
Such behavior is typical during corrective phases, where smaller participants tend to reduce exposure while larger players take the opposite side of the trade.
Number of Large BTC Holders Continues to Rise
Supporting the accumulation narrative, Glassnode data shows that the number of entities holding at least 1,000 BTC has increased significantly:
October: 1,207 entities
Current: 1,303 entities
This rise has occurred since Bitcoin’s all-time high in October, suggesting that large investors have been accumulating during the pullback rather than exiting positions.
Notably, the count of entities holding 1,000+ BTC has now returned to levels last seen in December 2024, reinforcing the view that large market participants are absorbing supply while smaller investors continue to step away.
Market Implications
The growing concentration of Bitcoin among large holders may have important implications for market structure:
Reduced liquid supply as BTC moves into long-term hands
Increased sensitivity to future demand shocks
Continued volatility driven by weaker hands exiting positions
However, Glassnode data reflects behavioral trends, not price forecasts, and does not guarantee future market direction.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and represents a personal blog perspective. It does not constitute investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research before making any financial decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any investment outcomes.
👉 Follow for more Bitcoin on-chain analysis, market structure insights, and crypto news updates.
#BTC #OnChainData #Glassnode
This divergence highlights a growing gap between large-scale investors and retail participants, as Bitcoin trades near $78,000 amid ongoing market uncertainty.
Accumulation Trend Score Reveals Sharp Investor Divergence
The trend is clearly reflected in Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score, broken down by wallet size. The metric measures the relative accumulation behavior of different investor cohorts based on changes in their Bitcoin holdings over the past 15 days.
A score closer to 1 indicates active accumulation
A score closer to 0 signals distribution or selling
Glassnode data shows that the largest whale cohort — wallets holding 10,000 BTC or more — is currently in a phase of “mild accumulation.” Their balance trend has remained neutral to slightly positive since Bitcoin first fell below $80,000 in late November.
During that period, BTC largely moved sideways within a broad $80,000–$97,000 range through the end of January, suggesting that large holders were steadily absorbing supply during consolidation.
Retail and Smaller Investors Continue to Sell
In contrast, all smaller investor groups are net sellers, with the most pronounced distribution coming from retail wallets holding less than 10 BTC. This cohort has been selling consistently for more than a month, reflecting:
heightened risk aversion
declining confidence in near-term price recovery
concern that the current downtrend may extend further
Such behavior is typical during corrective phases, where smaller participants tend to reduce exposure while larger players take the opposite side of the trade.
Number of Large BTC Holders Continues to Rise
Supporting the accumulation narrative, Glassnode data shows that the number of entities holding at least 1,000 BTC has increased significantly:
October: 1,207 entities
Current: 1,303 entities
This rise has occurred since Bitcoin’s all-time high in October, suggesting that large investors have been accumulating during the pullback rather than exiting positions.
Notably, the count of entities holding 1,000+ BTC has now returned to levels last seen in December 2024, reinforcing the view that large market participants are absorbing supply while smaller investors continue to step away.
Market Implications
The growing concentration of Bitcoin among large holders may have important implications for market structure:
Reduced liquid supply as BTC moves into long-term hands
Increased sensitivity to future demand shocks
Continued volatility driven by weaker hands exiting positions
However, Glassnode data reflects behavioral trends, not price forecasts, and does not guarantee future market direction.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and represents a personal blog perspective. It does not constitute investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research before making any financial decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any investment outcomes.
👉 Follow for more Bitcoin on-chain analysis, market structure insights, and crypto news updates.
#BTC #OnChainData #Glassnode
📉 比特币哈希率下跌 12%：遭遇自 2021 年“中国禁令”以来最大规模震荡
Glassnode 分析师指出，比特币网络正面临严峻的压力测试。全网哈希率已降至 970 EH/s，创下 2025 年 9 月以来的最低水平。
发生了什么？
❄️ 气候因素： 美国严重的冬季风暴迫使当地矿工（包括 Foundry USA）关机断电。1月24日，7日均线（7DMA）哈希率触及 690 EH/s 的底部。
💰 双重打击： 哈希率的暴跌早在比特币价格从 12.6 万美元跌至 10 万美元之前就已开始。运营中断叠加币价下跌，导致矿工每日总收入从 4500 万美元骤降至 2800 万美元 的年内低点。
为什么值得关注？
这是自 2021 年中国禁止挖矿以来，算力最严重的一次修正。盈利能力告急： 盈亏平衡弹性指数已跌至 2024 年 11 月以来的最低点（数值 21）。即使网络多次下调挖矿难度，仍难以完全抵消收益的缩减。市场反映出在当前难度和价格环境下，挖矿企业的收益率极其低下。
从历史经验看，矿工的“投降”往往伴随着市场底部的形成，但目前该行业面临的压力依然是前所未有的。
你认为在矿工遭遇重创的情况下，比特币能否守住 10 万美元大关？ 👇
#Bitcoin #挖矿 #Glassnode #加密货币新闻 #BTC
Glassnode 分析师指出，比特币网络正面临严峻的压力测试。全网哈希率已降至 970 EH/s，创下 2025 年 9 月以来的最低水平。
发生了什么？
❄️ 气候因素： 美国严重的冬季风暴迫使当地矿工（包括 Foundry USA）关机断电。1月24日，7日均线（7DMA）哈希率触及 690 EH/s 的底部。
💰 双重打击： 哈希率的暴跌早在比特币价格从 12.6 万美元跌至 10 万美元之前就已开始。运营中断叠加币价下跌，导致矿工每日总收入从 4500 万美元骤降至 2800 万美元 的年内低点。
为什么值得关注？
这是自 2021 年中国禁止挖矿以来，算力最严重的一次修正。盈利能力告急： 盈亏平衡弹性指数已跌至 2024 年 11 月以来的最低点（数值 21）。即使网络多次下调挖矿难度，仍难以完全抵消收益的缩减。市场反映出在当前难度和价格环境下，挖矿企业的收益率极其低下。
从历史经验看，矿工的“投降”往往伴随着市场底部的形成，但目前该行业面临的压力依然是前所未有的。
你认为在矿工遭遇重创的情况下，比特币能否守住 10 万美元大关？ 👇
#Bitcoin #挖矿 #Glassnode #加密货币新闻 #BTC
📉 Real Talk: Why "Diamond Hands" are Selling 143,000+ $BTC ‼️
The latest Glassnode data is making waves: Long-Term Holders (LTH) have offloaded about 143,000 BTC in the last 30 days.
Before you panic-sell, let’s look at what is actually happening behind the scenes.
Here is the breakdown:
1️⃣ Strategic Profit Taking 💰
These aren't "panic sellers." These are investors who held through the lows and are now taking profits as we sit in the $80k - $85k range. In crypto, "selling into strength" is how the pros stay in the game.
2️⃣ The Supply Tug-of-War
When 143k BTC hits the market, it creates a "supply ceiling." For the price to break toward new highs, new demand (like ETFs and institutional buyers) has to "absorb" all those coins. Right now, we are in a consolidation phase where the market is digesting this extra supply.
3️⃣ Support Levels to Watch 🛡️
With this much selling pressure, the charts are showing some clear "must-hold" zones:
$80,000 - $81,000: This is the current "psychological floor."
$74,000: A major historical support level if the sell-off deepens.
4️⃣ A Healthy Rotation 🔄
This is a "changing of the guard." Coins are moving from old wallets to new ones. While this usually leads to higher volatility in the short term, it resets the market for the next leg up.
The Bottom Line: Don’t fear the distribution; it’s a natural part of the cycle. The "smart money" is rotating, and the "weak hands" are getting shaken out.
Are you buying the dip or waiting for $80k support level to bounce confirmation? Let me know?
#Bitcoin #Glassnode #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #WhaleAlert
The latest Glassnode data is making waves: Long-Term Holders (LTH) have offloaded about 143,000 BTC in the last 30 days.
Before you panic-sell, let’s look at what is actually happening behind the scenes.
Here is the breakdown:
1️⃣ Strategic Profit Taking 💰
These aren't "panic sellers." These are investors who held through the lows and are now taking profits as we sit in the $80k - $85k range. In crypto, "selling into strength" is how the pros stay in the game.
2️⃣ The Supply Tug-of-War
When 143k BTC hits the market, it creates a "supply ceiling." For the price to break toward new highs, new demand (like ETFs and institutional buyers) has to "absorb" all those coins. Right now, we are in a consolidation phase where the market is digesting this extra supply.
3️⃣ Support Levels to Watch 🛡️
With this much selling pressure, the charts are showing some clear "must-hold" zones:
$80,000 - $81,000: This is the current "psychological floor."
$74,000: A major historical support level if the sell-off deepens.
4️⃣ A Healthy Rotation 🔄
This is a "changing of the guard." Coins are moving from old wallets to new ones. While this usually leads to higher volatility in the short term, it resets the market for the next leg up.
The Bottom Line: Don’t fear the distribution; it’s a natural part of the cycle. The "smart money" is rotating, and the "weak hands" are getting shaken out.
Are you buying the dip or waiting for $80k support level to bounce confirmation? Let me know?
#Bitcoin #Glassnode #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #WhaleAlert
🚨 比特币临界点：Glassnode 警告关键支撑位 $83,400
BTC 市场情绪正处于微妙的平衡期。根据 Glassnode 的最新分析，市场结构出现弱化迹象，需警惕下行风险。以下是值得关注的核心数据：
📉 核心价位：
$96,500：短期持有者的持仓成本基准。目前币价低于此水平，显示市场短期动力不足。$83,400：最后的关键支撑。一旦跌破，价格恐将向“真实市场平均价格” $80,700 回撤。
💡 链上数据深度解析：
持有者压力：目前约 19.5% 的短期投资者处于浮亏状态。虽然尚未达到恐慌性抛售（55%）的程度，但这一群体对价格波动极度敏感。流动性分化：Binance 现货市场有小幅买盘复苏，但 Coinbase 活跃度低迷，显示美国机构资金动力尚显不足。衍生品风险：尽管资金费率保持中性，但 $90,000 以下的“负伽马（Short Gamma）”效应可能迫使做市商在下跌中抛售，从而加速价格下行。
🔄 总结：
当前市场并未过热，但缺乏持续上涨的现货买盘。如果 $83,400 支撑位失守，可能会重演类似 2018 年或 2022 年的结构性震荡。
操作上请严格执行风险管理，重点盯着 $83,400 这一生死线！🛡️
#Bitcoin #BTC #Glassnode #链上分析 #加密货币
BTC 市场情绪正处于微妙的平衡期。根据 Glassnode 的最新分析，市场结构出现弱化迹象，需警惕下行风险。以下是值得关注的核心数据：
📉 核心价位：
$96,500：短期持有者的持仓成本基准。目前币价低于此水平，显示市场短期动力不足。$83,400：最后的关键支撑。一旦跌破，价格恐将向“真实市场平均价格” $80,700 回撤。
💡 链上数据深度解析：
持有者压力：目前约 19.5% 的短期投资者处于浮亏状态。虽然尚未达到恐慌性抛售（55%）的程度，但这一群体对价格波动极度敏感。流动性分化：Binance 现货市场有小幅买盘复苏，但 Coinbase 活跃度低迷，显示美国机构资金动力尚显不足。衍生品风险：尽管资金费率保持中性，但 $90,000 以下的“负伽马（Short Gamma）”效应可能迫使做市商在下跌中抛售，从而加速价格下行。
🔄 总结：
当前市场并未过热，但缺乏持续上涨的现货买盘。如果 $83,400 支撑位失守，可能会重演类似 2018 年或 2022 年的结构性震荡。
操作上请严格执行风险管理，重点盯着 $83,400 这一生死线！🛡️
#Bitcoin #BTC #Glassnode #链上分析 #加密货币
🚀 比特币：想要起飞，先看“燃料”够不够！Glassnode 最新深度解析
比特币目前仍深陷下行趋势，Glassnode 的分析指出，问题的核心在于：流动性严重不足。
核心要点梳理：
🔹 流动性是关键： 想要实现真正的趋势反转，市场必须迎来新资金的注入。
🔹 盈亏比指标： 历史数据表明，只有当 90 日移动平均盈亏比保持在 5 以上时，比特币才会迎来持续上涨。而目前该指标仅为 2。
🔹 供应压力： 目前约 22% 的流通 BTC 处于亏损状态，这与 2018 年和 2022 年的调整期类似。如果无法守住关键支撑位，抛压可能会进一步释放。
也有好消息：
根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，转入 Binance 的 BTC 数量仍处于历史低位。这意味着大户们更倾向于 HODL（长线持有），而不是抛售。
总结： 短期存在回调风险，但下行空间有限。真正的“To the Moon”还在等待流动性的全面复苏！📈
#比特币 #BTC #Glassnode #加密货币分析 #BinanceSquare
比特币目前仍深陷下行趋势，Glassnode 的分析指出，问题的核心在于：流动性严重不足。
核心要点梳理：
🔹 流动性是关键： 想要实现真正的趋势反转，市场必须迎来新资金的注入。
🔹 盈亏比指标： 历史数据表明，只有当 90 日移动平均盈亏比保持在 5 以上时，比特币才会迎来持续上涨。而目前该指标仅为 2。
🔹 供应压力： 目前约 22% 的流通 BTC 处于亏损状态，这与 2018 年和 2022 年的调整期类似。如果无法守住关键支撑位，抛压可能会进一步释放。
也有好消息：
根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，转入 Binance 的 BTC 数量仍处于历史低位。这意味着大户们更倾向于 HODL（长线持有），而不是抛售。
总结： 短期存在回调风险，但下行空间有限。真正的“To the Moon”还在等待流动性的全面复苏！📈
#比特币 #BTC #Glassnode #加密货币分析 #BinanceSquare
🚨 BITCOIN LONG-TERM HOLDERS ARE DUMPING FAST!
Glassnode data confirms LTHs liquidated 143,000 $BTC in the last 30 days. This selling velocity hasn't been seen since August.
What does this massive outflow signal for the immediate price action? Are we seeing capitulation or just a shakeout?
This impacts the whole market structure. Watch $WLD closely too.
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #Glassnode #LTH #BTC 📉
Glassnode data confirms LTHs liquidated 143,000 $BTC in the last 30 days. This selling velocity hasn't been seen since August.
What does this massive outflow signal for the immediate price action? Are we seeing capitulation or just a shakeout?
This impacts the whole market structure. Watch $WLD closely too.
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #Glassnode #LTH #BTC 📉
BITCOIN LONG-TERM HOLDERS ARE DUMPING FAST! 🚨
Glassnode data confirms a major shakeup. Long-term holders moved 143,000 $BTC out of storage over the last month. This is the quickest sell-off pace we have seen since August. Are the whales signaling a top? $JTO and $WLD context needed now. Pay attention to this major flow shift.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Glassnode #CryptoWhales #MarketFlow 📉
Glassnode data confirms a major shakeup. Long-term holders moved 143,000 $BTC out of storage over the last month. This is the quickest sell-off pace we have seen since August. Are the whales signaling a top? $JTO and $WLD context needed now. Pay attention to this major flow shift.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Glassnode #CryptoWhales #MarketFlow 📉
🚨 BITCOIN LONG-TERM HOLDERS ARE DUMPING FAST! 🚨
Glassnode confirms a massive outflow. 143,000 $BTC moved off cold storage in the last month. This is the quickest distribution since August. Are the whales preparing for a deep dive or a massive accumulation phase? Watch the market reaction closely. $JTO and $WLD might feel the ripple effect.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNews #Glassnode #WhaleActivity 📉
Glassnode confirms a massive outflow. 143,000 $BTC moved off cold storage in the last month. This is the quickest distribution since August. Are the whales preparing for a deep dive or a massive accumulation phase? Watch the market reaction closely. $JTO and $WLD might feel the ripple effect.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNews #Glassnode #WhaleActivity 📉
🚨 تحرك كبير لحاملي البيتكوين على المدى الطويل
بيانات Glassnode تكشف أن حاملي البيتكوين طويل الأجل باعوا نحو 143,000 $BTC خلال 30 يومًا — أسرع وتيرة منذ أغسطس. ضغط بيع غير متوقع قد يضغط على السوق ويؤثر على الأسعار قريبًا.
#bitcoin #crypto #Glassnode #HODL #MarketAlert
📊هده عملات في صعود قوي: 👇
💎 $PLAY
💎 $SOMI
بيانات Glassnode تكشف أن حاملي البيتكوين طويل الأجل باعوا نحو 143,000 $BTC خلال 30 يومًا — أسرع وتيرة منذ أغسطس. ضغط بيع غير متوقع قد يضغط على السوق ويؤثر على الأسعار قريبًا.
#bitcoin #crypto #Glassnode #HODL #MarketAlert
📊هده عملات في صعود قوي: 👇
💎 $PLAY
💎 $SOMI
📉 比特币长期持有者开始派发：抛售速度创8月以来新高
当传统金融市场持续走强时，比特币的“钻石手”们却选择落袋为安。以下是投资者需要关注的核心数据：
• 抛售规模： 在过去30天内，持有BTC超过155天的长期持有者（LTH）累计减持约 14.3万枚 BTC。这是近5个月来最活跃的抛售潮。
• 趋势反转： 12月底至1月初的短暂积累期已结束，目前市场再次进入“分发阶段”。
• 价格承压： 尽管比特币试图站稳 $97,000，但长期持有者的派发行为已成为阻碍币价追赶大盘的主要阻力。
• 持仓现状： 该群体目前仍持有约 1450万枚 BTC。他们的减持动向将直接决定未来市场的反弹高度。
结论： 比特币表现暂时落后于传统市场，主要是受大户获利回吐影响。目前需关注市场承接力，看新入场资金能否消化这一波抛压。
#Bitcoin #BTC #数据分析 #Glassnode #加密货币
当传统金融市场持续走强时，比特币的“钻石手”们却选择落袋为安。以下是投资者需要关注的核心数据：
• 抛售规模： 在过去30天内，持有BTC超过155天的长期持有者（LTH）累计减持约 14.3万枚 BTC。这是近5个月来最活跃的抛售潮。
• 趋势反转： 12月底至1月初的短暂积累期已结束，目前市场再次进入“分发阶段”。
• 价格承压： 尽管比特币试图站稳 $97,000，但长期持有者的派发行为已成为阻碍币价追赶大盘的主要阻力。
• 持仓现状： 该群体目前仍持有约 1450万枚 BTC。他们的减持动向将直接决定未来市场的反弹高度。
结论： 比特币表现暂时落后于传统市场，主要是受大户获利回吐影响。目前需关注市场承接力，看新入场资金能否消化这一波抛压。
#Bitcoin #BTC #数据分析 #Glassnode #加密货币
Khadija akter shapla:
Nice
⚡️ Crypto Market Recovery: Leverage Drops, Discipline Grows
Analysts from Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have released a joint report confirming that the crypto market has become "mature" and more resilient following the October deleveraging.
Key Highlights:
🔹 Goodbye, Aggressive Risk: Investors are moving away from high-leverage positions (leverage has dropped to ~3% of total market cap) and shifting toward options. This creates a more stable and "healthy" trading environment.
🔹 BTC Dominance: Bitcoin maintains its lead at nearly 59%. Mid- and small-cap assets have lost their momentum as focus shifts to defensive strategies.
🔹 Fear or Caution? The NUPL indicator has shifted from "Belief" to "Anxiety." Despite better macro conditions, investors are hesitant to take on directional risks.
🔹 A New Paradigm for Ethereum: Traditional cycle indicators are losing their edge for ETH. Due to L2 fee compression and new tokenomics, Ether's dynamics now depend more on global liquidity than on the length of the market cycle.
The Bottom Line: We are witnessing a paradigm shift. The market has flushed out excess leverage, and institutional investors remain "selectively positive," favoring large-cap assets amidst geopolitical uncertainty.
How are you allocating your portfolio right now? Doubling down on BTC or waiting for altseason? 👇
#CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Coinbase #Glassnode
Analysts from Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have released a joint report confirming that the crypto market has become "mature" and more resilient following the October deleveraging.
Key Highlights:
🔹 Goodbye, Aggressive Risk: Investors are moving away from high-leverage positions (leverage has dropped to ~3% of total market cap) and shifting toward options. This creates a more stable and "healthy" trading environment.
🔹 BTC Dominance: Bitcoin maintains its lead at nearly 59%. Mid- and small-cap assets have lost their momentum as focus shifts to defensive strategies.
🔹 Fear or Caution? The NUPL indicator has shifted from "Belief" to "Anxiety." Despite better macro conditions, investors are hesitant to take on directional risks.
🔹 A New Paradigm for Ethereum: Traditional cycle indicators are losing their edge for ETH. Due to L2 fee compression and new tokenomics, Ether's dynamics now depend more on global liquidity than on the length of the market cycle.
The Bottom Line: We are witnessing a paradigm shift. The market has flushed out excess leverage, and institutional investors remain "selectively positive," favoring large-cap assets amidst geopolitical uncertainty.
How are you allocating your portfolio right now? Doubling down on BTC or waiting for altseason? 👇
#CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Coinbase #Glassnode
Bitcoin a US$ 100 mil? O "Gatilho" que Antecipou Altas Anteriores Voltou a Piscar!
O Bitcoin (BTC) está em um momento crucial, sendo negociado agora em torno de US 87.756. Apesar da correção recente, o cenário macro e os dados on-chain sugerem que este pode ser o "descanso" antes do salto para os seis dígitos.
📉 O Fator Macro: Confiança do Consumidor em Queda Livre
Acabamos de receber os dados de Confiança do Consumidor (CB) dos EUA e o resultado foi um choque para o mercado tradicional:
Janeiro/2026: 84,5Projeção: 90,6Anterior: 94,2
Valores inferiores aos esperados são considerados negativos para o dólar (USD). Com a confiança desabando para 84,5, a pressão sobre o dólar aumenta, o que historicamente favorece ativos escassos como o Bitcoin.
🔗 Dados On-Chain: A Pressão Vendedora Exauriu?
Enquanto o preço recua, a estrutura interna da rede mostra resiliência:
Lucratividade em Queda: A lucratividade da rede caiu de 75,3% para 66,9%.Zona de Estabilidade: Este valor está abaixo do limite histórico de 69,1%, um patamar onde o preço geralmente encontra suporte local, pois o incentivo para vender no prejuízo diminui drasticamente.Mãos Fortes (LTH): O indicador LTH NUPL caiu abaixo de 0,60. Historicamente, isso sinaliza que os investidores de longo prazo pararam de vender e iniciaram uma nova fase de acumulação.
🎯 Níveis Técnicos: O Caminho para os US$ 100.000
Com o BTC a US$ 87.756, estes são os pontos de atenção:
Resistência Imediata: Superar os US$ 89.241 para retomar a zona psicológica dos US$ 90 mil.Alvo de Expansão: Um rompimento confirmado do canal atual abre caminho para US$ 98 mil, antes da busca final pelos US$ 100 mil.Suporte Crítico: É vital manter o patamar de US$ 87.210. Caso perdido, podemos testar os US$ 84.698, o que adiaria a tese de alta.
💡 Conclusão: A combinação de um dólar enfraquecido pela baixa confiança do consumidor e a capitulação dos vendedores de curto prazo cria o ambiente perfeito para a continuidade da alta.
E você, acredita que os US$ 100 mil chegam ainda este trimestre? Comente sua opinião abaixo! 👇
$BTC
#Bitcoin #macroeconomic #Glassnode #CryptoAnalysis
📉 O Fator Macro: Confiança do Consumidor em Queda Livre
Acabamos de receber os dados de Confiança do Consumidor (CB) dos EUA e o resultado foi um choque para o mercado tradicional:
Janeiro/2026: 84,5Projeção: 90,6Anterior: 94,2
Valores inferiores aos esperados são considerados negativos para o dólar (USD). Com a confiança desabando para 84,5, a pressão sobre o dólar aumenta, o que historicamente favorece ativos escassos como o Bitcoin.
🔗 Dados On-Chain: A Pressão Vendedora Exauriu?
Enquanto o preço recua, a estrutura interna da rede mostra resiliência:
Lucratividade em Queda: A lucratividade da rede caiu de 75,3% para 66,9%.Zona de Estabilidade: Este valor está abaixo do limite histórico de 69,1%, um patamar onde o preço geralmente encontra suporte local, pois o incentivo para vender no prejuízo diminui drasticamente.Mãos Fortes (LTH): O indicador LTH NUPL caiu abaixo de 0,60. Historicamente, isso sinaliza que os investidores de longo prazo pararam de vender e iniciaram uma nova fase de acumulação.
🎯 Níveis Técnicos: O Caminho para os US$ 100.000
Com o BTC a US$ 87.756, estes são os pontos de atenção:
Resistência Imediata: Superar os US$ 89.241 para retomar a zona psicológica dos US$ 90 mil.Alvo de Expansão: Um rompimento confirmado do canal atual abre caminho para US$ 98 mil, antes da busca final pelos US$ 100 mil.Suporte Crítico: É vital manter o patamar de US$ 87.210. Caso perdido, podemos testar os US$ 84.698, o que adiaria a tese de alta.
💡 Conclusão: A combinação de um dólar enfraquecido pela baixa confiança do consumidor e a capitulação dos vendedores de curto prazo cria o ambiente perfeito para a continuidade da alta.
E você, acredita que os US$ 100 mil chegam ainda este trimestre? Comente sua opinião abaixo! 👇
$BTC
#Bitcoin #macroeconomic #Glassnode #CryptoAnalysis
70% of institutions view Bitcoin as undervalued despite 30% crash
A Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode survey reveals that 70% of institutions consider Bitcoin undervalued even after a roughly 30% drop from recent highs. This suggests potential for a rally if macro conditions improve. Meanwhile, 26% believe crypto has entered a bear market phase. Institutional confidence persists in the long term, contrasting with short-term bearish sentiment driving outflows and price pressure
#BTC #InstitutionalAdoption #CryptoNewss #Glassnode #BTC走势分析 $BNB $BTC $ETH
A Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode survey reveals that 70% of institutions consider Bitcoin undervalued even after a roughly 30% drop from recent highs. This suggests potential for a rally if macro conditions improve. Meanwhile, 26% believe crypto has entered a bear market phase. Institutional confidence persists in the long term, contrasting with short-term bearish sentiment driving outflows and price pressure
#BTC #InstitutionalAdoption #CryptoNewss #Glassnode #BTC走势分析 $BNB $BTC $ETH
📊🤔 $BTC #Glassnode : The supply delta between LTHs and STHs is moving violently upwards. We aren't near previous cycle tops yet (2017/2021).
LTH supply peak to trough have distributed 813k BTC, and 250k BTC in the past 3 days. Compare this to the start of 2024 (1M BTC inc GBTC).
For every seller there's a buyer and demand is currently being met.
LTH supply peak to trough have distributed 813k BTC, and 250k BTC in the past 3 days. Compare this to the start of 2024 (1M BTC inc GBTC).
For every seller there's a buyer and demand is currently being met.
Согласно данным Glassnode, $BTC находится в нейтральной зоне. 📍
Цена опустилась ниже стоимости монет у краткосрочных трейдеров, но всё же существенно выше уровней долгосрочных инвесторов.
Преодоление этого диапазона станет первым серьёзным сигналом к восстановлению.
Как вы считаете, каким будет следующий шаг рынка — рост или дальнейшая коррекция? 👇
#биткоин #Bitcoin #BTC #АнализРынка #Glassnode
Цена опустилась ниже стоимости монет у краткосрочных трейдеров, но всё же существенно выше уровней долгосрочных инвесторов.
Преодоление этого диапазона станет первым серьёзным сигналом к восстановлению.
Как вы считаете, каким будет следующий шаг рынка — рост или дальнейшая коррекция? 👇
#биткоин #Bitcoin #BTC #АнализРынка #Glassnode
💸 По данным #glassnode , более 1 млн #BTC было проторговано в диапазоне цен около $42,500.
Этот ценовой уровень может стать значимым уровнем поддержки.
Этот ценовой уровень может стать значимым уровнем поддержки.
### **💰 Bitcoin HODLers Akan Jual Saat Harga Sentuh $99.900?**
#### **📌 Analisis Glassnode:**
- **Long-Term Holders (LTH)** (pegang BTC >155 hari) **mulai profit-taking saat untung 350%**.
- **Level kritis**: **$99.900** (berdasarkan *realized price* LTH).
- **Saat ini**: BTC di **$96.500** (+4% minggu ini), LTH belum banyak jual.
---
### **📊 Data On-Chain:**
- **Supply LTH naik 254.000 BTC** dalam 2 bulan → Banyak STH (short-term holder) beralih jadi LTH.
- **Fase profit-taking sebelumnya**: LTH jual saat rally besar 2023.
- **Jika BTC tembus $99.9K**: Potensi **sell pressure meningkat** dari HODLer lama.
---
### **💡 Apa Artinya untuk Trader?**
✅ **Bullish short-term**: LTH masih hold → kurang tekanan jual.
⚠️ **Waspada di $99.9K**: Profit-taking bisa picu koreksi.
📈 **Target berikut**: Jika breakout kuat, bisa lanjut ke **$100K+**.
**#bitcoin #HODL #Glassnode #crypto #BTC **
💬 **Prediksimu?** Apakah LTH akan jual besar-besaran di $99.9K atau hold lebih lama? Komen di bawah! 👇
#### **📌 Analisis Glassnode:**
- **Long-Term Holders (LTH)** (pegang BTC >155 hari) **mulai profit-taking saat untung 350%**.
- **Level kritis**: **$99.900** (berdasarkan *realized price* LTH).
- **Saat ini**: BTC di **$96.500** (+4% minggu ini), LTH belum banyak jual.
---
### **📊 Data On-Chain:**
- **Supply LTH naik 254.000 BTC** dalam 2 bulan → Banyak STH (short-term holder) beralih jadi LTH.
- **Fase profit-taking sebelumnya**: LTH jual saat rally besar 2023.
- **Jika BTC tembus $99.9K**: Potensi **sell pressure meningkat** dari HODLer lama.
---
### **💡 Apa Artinya untuk Trader?**
✅ **Bullish short-term**: LTH masih hold → kurang tekanan jual.
⚠️ **Waspada di $99.9K**: Profit-taking bisa picu koreksi.
📈 **Target berikut**: Jika breakout kuat, bisa lanjut ke **$100K+**.
**#bitcoin #HODL #Glassnode #crypto #BTC **
💬 **Prediksimu?** Apakah LTH akan jual besar-besaran di $99.9K atau hold lebih lama? Komen di bawah! 👇
Glassnode: рынок биткоина охватил спекулятивный ажиотаж
#BTC #glassnode #new+ #ончейн Динамика потоков капитала, биржевой активности, левериджа в криптодеривативах и спроса со стороны институционалов — все это указывает на скачок склонности к риску среди биткоин-инвесторов. К такому выводу пришли в Glassnode.The risk appetite for #Bitcoin investors is increasing, with growing signs of speculation appearing across capital flows, exchange activity, derivatives leverage, and even institutional demand.Discover more in the latest Week On-Chain below👇https://t.co/4hL2kqpzOo pic.twitter.com/QdjnBuOtm7— glassnode (@glassnode) February 27, 2024Аналитики отметили, что консолидацию вокруг $52 000 до рывка к $59 000 поддерживали свежие притоки капитала. Это проявилось в повышении метрики реализованной капитализации на $30 млрд с начала года. Индикатор достиг уровня в $460 млрд, что лишь на 3% уступает ATH.Еще до нового витка ралли нереализованная прибыль «среднего» держателя достигла 120% — максимума с ноября 2022 года. Столь высокое значение наблюдалось только в 1126 из 4965 (22,7%) торговых дней, исходя из анализа MVRV.Аналитики рассмотрели индикатор SOPR для оценки средней величины реализованной прибыли или убытка по категориям участников рынка:🟠 среднерыночный SOPR: 1,13 (+13%);🔵 SOPR у ходлеров: 2,07 (+107%);🔴 SOPR у спекулянтов: 1,02 (+2%).Как и в случае MVRV, текущая ситуация соответствует фазе наибольшей эйфории бычьих рынков 2017 и 2021 годов.В качестве меры торговой активности и спекуляций специалисты также рассмотрели динамику потоков на криптобиржи.Совокупный объем депозитов и выводов средств достиг «ошеломляющих» $5,57 млрд. Для сравнения, исторический максимум составляет $6,2 млрд.Сегрегировав биржевые депозиты по отдельным категориям, эксперты получили следующие значения:🔴 краткосрочные держатели +$2,1 млрд;🔵 долгосрочные инвесторы +$120 млн;🟢 операции между платформами +$354 млн.С середины января суточный объем поступлений монет со стороны краткосрочных игроков в стоимостном выражении превысил и остается стабильным на уровне $2 млрд. В моменте показатель достиг нового ATH ($2,46 млрд). Согласно аналитикам, цифры подчеркивают высокую степень спекулятивного интереса.пользу вывода об ажиотаже покупателей также говорит динамика относительной доли отправленных краткосрочными трейдерами монет на централизованные платформы. В разрезе одного дня с октября 2023 года показатель вырос с 1%+ до максимальных с распродажи в марте 2020 года 2,36%.Согласно расчетам специалистов, рекордные 78,3% всего объема транзакций в сети связаны с криптобиржами.Спотовые биткоин-ETF привели к «невероятному» чистому притоку в 90 000 BTC. В результате AUM эмитентов продуктов вырос на $5,7 млрд, до $38 млрд.Признаки спекулятивного настроя также проявились на рынке криптодеривативов. Совокупный открытый интерес (ОИ) в биткоин-фьючерсах достиг $21 млрд. Лишь в 7% торговых дней значение было выше. В долларовом выражении ОИ приблизился к показателям эйфории 2021 года.На рынке опционов ОИ подскочил до $17,8 млрд, подойдя почти вровень к рынку фьючерсов. В моменте метрика достигла нового ATH в $20 млрд.На рынке бессрочных контрактов годовая стоимость финансирования подскочила с 3% до 14,7%.Аналитики нашли этому несколько объяснений:трейдеры готовы платить гораздо более высокие процентные ставки, чтобы использовать леверидж;открывающий шорт по контрактам теперь может получить в два-три раза более «безрисковую» ставку в сравнении с казначейскими векселями США;столь привлекательная доходность может способствовать возвращению маркетмейкеров, повышая ликвидность рынка.увеличение ликвидации держателей коротких позиций. За последние 30 дней показатель превысил $465 млн.Напомним, аналитики Matrixport допустили рост биткоина до $63 000 в марте. К катализаторам специалисты отнесли в том числе халвинг. Ранее сооснователь Fundstrat Том Ли спрогнозировал цифровое золото по $150 000 до конца 2024 года.
انخفاض العرض النشط من البيتكوين بنسبة 50% خلال 3 أشهر الأخيرة: هل هو مؤشر صعودي أم هبوطي؟
لا يزال سوق العملات المشفرة يشهد تقلبات حادة، لكن بعض المؤشرات قد تُشير إلى احتمالية تعافي البيتكوين (BTC) قريبا.
من بين هذه المؤشرات، يبرز العرض النشط أو ما يعرف بالعرض الساخن، وهو كمية البيتكوين المتاحة للتداول النشط خلال فترة قصيرة.
وفقا لبيانات “Glassnode”، تراجع العرض النشط من البيتكوين—وهو مقياس يتعقب العملات التي لم يتجاوز عمرها أسبوع — بمقدار 50% خلال الأشهر الثلاثة الماضية، لينخفض من 5.9% إلى 2.8% من إجمالي العرض المتداول.
هل يُشير انخفاض العرض النشط إلى اتجاه صعودي؟
قد يكون انخفاض العرض النشط مؤشر إيجابي، حيث يعكس زيادة في سلوك الاحتفاظ بالبيتكوين بدلا من التداول قصير الأجل.
عندما يقرر المستثمرون عدم بيع أصولهم، فقد يكون ذلك إشارة إلى توقعهم ارتفاع الأسعار مستقبلا.
بالإضافة إلى ذلك، مع انخفاض العرض المتداول، تقل التقلبات السعرية الحادة، مما قد يُمهّد لاستقرار السوق وارتفاع الأسعار على المدى المتوسط.
ومع ذلك، يتطلب ذلك وجود طلب قوي، وهو ما لا يتوافر حاليا بالشكل الكافي وهو ما يظهر جليا في صناديق ETF البيتكوين التي تراجعات التدفقات تجاهها بشكل واضح.
#bitcoin #btc #Glassnode #etf
$BTC
لا يزال سوق العملات المشفرة يشهد تقلبات حادة، لكن بعض المؤشرات قد تُشير إلى احتمالية تعافي البيتكوين (BTC) قريبا.
من بين هذه المؤشرات، يبرز العرض النشط أو ما يعرف بالعرض الساخن، وهو كمية البيتكوين المتاحة للتداول النشط خلال فترة قصيرة.
وفقا لبيانات “Glassnode”، تراجع العرض النشط من البيتكوين—وهو مقياس يتعقب العملات التي لم يتجاوز عمرها أسبوع — بمقدار 50% خلال الأشهر الثلاثة الماضية، لينخفض من 5.9% إلى 2.8% من إجمالي العرض المتداول.
هل يُشير انخفاض العرض النشط إلى اتجاه صعودي؟
قد يكون انخفاض العرض النشط مؤشر إيجابي، حيث يعكس زيادة في سلوك الاحتفاظ بالبيتكوين بدلا من التداول قصير الأجل.
عندما يقرر المستثمرون عدم بيع أصولهم، فقد يكون ذلك إشارة إلى توقعهم ارتفاع الأسعار مستقبلا.
بالإضافة إلى ذلك، مع انخفاض العرض المتداول، تقل التقلبات السعرية الحادة، مما قد يُمهّد لاستقرار السوق وارتفاع الأسعار على المدى المتوسط.
ومع ذلك، يتطلب ذلك وجود طلب قوي، وهو ما لا يتوافر حاليا بالشكل الكافي وهو ما يظهر جليا في صناديق ETF البيتكوين التي تراجعات التدفقات تجاهها بشكل واضح.
#bitcoin #btc #Glassnode #etf
$BTC
🕵️♂️Glassnode 报告：比特币的近期崩跌让投资损失 5.2 亿美元，分析师带你“拨开云雾”看真相
链上分析机构Glassnode最新发布的周度报告中指出，在近期市场的一次崩跌中，让比特币投资者的损失总额高达5.2亿美元。发生这一现象究竟是何种原因？下面让我们来一起分析解读下。
Glassnode在最新周报中分析了比特币"实际损失"的近期趋势。何为"实际损失"？简单来说，就是BTC投资者每日通过卖出所实现的亏损总额，即通过比较每枚BTC代币的历史交易价格，若先前售价高于当前卖出价格，则判定为亏损。
从图表中可以看出，这个指标在本月初出现了大幅上涨，让投资者共计损失了5.2亿美元。这次损失的背后主因是比特币价格一度暴跌至93,000美元。这是当前周期中最大的事件之一，仅次于日元套利交易平仓13亿美元的数额峰值。
然而，从历史周期来看，这种大规模的亏损实现对比特币其实是个好事。因为在这种情况下，比特币往往会从那些拿不住的投资者手里，转移到那些愿意长期持有的投资者手里。这些长期投资者更愿意持有，所以抛售压力会逐渐消失，比特币价格也会慢慢稳定下来。
因此，虽然这次的损失在美元金额上看起来挺吓人的，但如果用BTC来衡量，其实还在周期的标准范围内。换句话说，这种情况在比特币的历史上也不是第一次出现。
截止当前，比特币的价格还在97,800美元左右徘徊，没有明显的上涨或下跌趋势。市场还在等待下一步的信号。
综上，Glassnode分析观点认为，尽管本次比特币的崩盘让很多投资者损失惨重，但历史告诉我们，这种时候可能正是市场调整的好机会。
💬你赞成Glassnode的分析观点吗？你认为比特币接下来会怎么走？评论区见！
#比特币 #Glassnode #加密货币 #市场分析
链上分析机构Glassnode最新发布的周度报告中指出，在近期市场的一次崩跌中，让比特币投资者的损失总额高达5.2亿美元。发生这一现象究竟是何种原因？下面让我们来一起分析解读下。
Glassnode在最新周报中分析了比特币"实际损失"的近期趋势。何为"实际损失"？简单来说，就是BTC投资者每日通过卖出所实现的亏损总额，即通过比较每枚BTC代币的历史交易价格，若先前售价高于当前卖出价格，则判定为亏损。
从图表中可以看出，这个指标在本月初出现了大幅上涨，让投资者共计损失了5.2亿美元。这次损失的背后主因是比特币价格一度暴跌至93,000美元。这是当前周期中最大的事件之一，仅次于日元套利交易平仓13亿美元的数额峰值。
然而，从历史周期来看，这种大规模的亏损实现对比特币其实是个好事。因为在这种情况下，比特币往往会从那些拿不住的投资者手里，转移到那些愿意长期持有的投资者手里。这些长期投资者更愿意持有，所以抛售压力会逐渐消失，比特币价格也会慢慢稳定下来。
因此，虽然这次的损失在美元金额上看起来挺吓人的，但如果用BTC来衡量，其实还在周期的标准范围内。换句话说，这种情况在比特币的历史上也不是第一次出现。
截止当前，比特币的价格还在97,800美元左右徘徊，没有明显的上涨或下跌趋势。市场还在等待下一步的信号。
综上，Glassnode分析观点认为，尽管本次比特币的崩盘让很多投资者损失惨重，但历史告诉我们，这种时候可能正是市场调整的好机会。
💬你赞成Glassnode的分析观点吗？你认为比特币接下来会怎么走？评论区见！
#比特币 #Glassnode #加密货币 #市场分析
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