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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
shady997x :
btc
10AM魔咒消失，比特币反弹——是操纵终结，还是卦象反转？
最近市场最炸裂的传闻：Jane Street被指在美股开盘10AM时段，通过抛售iShares Bitcoin Trust（IBIT）配合衍生品头寸制造2-3%急跌，诱发多头爆仓后低位回补套利。模式持续数月，直到被起诉后——10AM抛压突然消失，BTC随即反弹，IBIT短时净流入1225枚BTC。如果用易学看，这不是阴谋故事，而是卦象转折。
此前是“震卦”——震为雷，主惊、主动、突袭。固定时间点砸盘，本质是利用“惊”收割杠杆。但震久必变，当“威胁”消失，市场进入“否极泰来”。压制力量抽离，气机回流，情绪从恐慌转向观望，价格结构修复。
有人愤怒华尔街操控，也有人认为单一做市商难以长期压制趋势。从易经逻辑看更简单：真正的大趋势属于“乾”，短线冲击只是“震”。雷可以惊人一时，却改变不了天行之势。
对散户而言，关键不是站队阴谋论，而是识位：美股开盘属“震位”，不宜高杠杆。当结构性压制消失，往往伴随情绪修复窗口，趋势不会因一小时波动改写。
这次事件真正的卦象是——结构在变，大势未改。市场从来不是公平游戏，但它永远遵循一个规律：物极必反，势尽则生。#加密市场反弹 #玄学炒币 #btc #bnb
最近市场最炸裂的传闻：Jane Street被指在美股开盘10AM时段，通过抛售iShares Bitcoin Trust（IBIT）配合衍生品头寸制造2-3%急跌，诱发多头爆仓后低位回补套利。模式持续数月，直到被起诉后——10AM抛压突然消失，BTC随即反弹，IBIT短时净流入1225枚BTC。如果用易学看，这不是阴谋故事，而是卦象转折。
此前是“震卦”——震为雷，主惊、主动、突袭。固定时间点砸盘，本质是利用“惊”收割杠杆。但震久必变，当“威胁”消失，市场进入“否极泰来”。压制力量抽离，气机回流，情绪从恐慌转向观望，价格结构修复。
有人愤怒华尔街操控，也有人认为单一做市商难以长期压制趋势。从易经逻辑看更简单：真正的大趋势属于“乾”，短线冲击只是“震”。雷可以惊人一时，却改变不了天行之势。
对散户而言，关键不是站队阴谋论，而是识位：美股开盘属“震位”，不宜高杠杆。当结构性压制消失，往往伴随情绪修复窗口，趋势不会因一小时波动改写。
这次事件真正的卦象是——结构在变，大势未改。市场从来不是公平游戏，但它永远遵循一个规律：物极必反，势尽则生。#加密市场反弹 #玄学炒币 #btc #bnb
认证韭菜:
给老铁助力！
Fifteen years of Bitcoin data. Zero times both January and February ended red together.
Not during bear markets. Not during crashes. Not even once.
February always flips. Every single time. The pattern is undefeated.
Right now everyone’s calling for more downside. Funding rates negative. Sentiment broken. Classic capitulation setup.But the monthly candle doesn’t care about your fear. It cares about structure.
We’re 10 days from finding out if history repeats or breaks. If February closes green, March has never disappointed. If it breaks red for the first time ever, we’re in uncharted territory.
I know which way I’m leaning. The data is too clean to ignore.
Monthly close matters more than anything happening on the daily chart right now.
#btc #bitcoin
Not during bear markets. Not during crashes. Not even once.
February always flips. Every single time. The pattern is undefeated.
Right now everyone’s calling for more downside. Funding rates negative. Sentiment broken. Classic capitulation setup.But the monthly candle doesn’t care about your fear. It cares about structure.
We’re 10 days from finding out if history repeats or breaks. If February closes green, March has never disappointed. If it breaks red for the first time ever, we’re in uncharted territory.
I know which way I’m leaning. The data is too clean to ignore.
Monthly close matters more than anything happening on the daily chart right now.
#btc #bitcoin
Chloe James:
BTC data too clean, I’m leaning same
$BTC
#btc
🔎 تحليل BTCUSDT – وفق موجات إليوت
📌 السيناريو الحالي:
السوق أنهى هيكلًا تصحيحيًا معقدًا من نوع WXY – Flat، تلاه هبوط خماسي واضح يمثل موجة دافعة إلى الأسفل (1-2-3-4-5).
نحن الآن داخل تصحيح صاعد لموجة الهبوط الأخيرة، مرجّح أن يكون:
• إما موجة WXY تصحيحية
• أو موجة ABC مركبة
⸻
📊 المستويات المهمة:
🔹 0.5 فيبوناتشي: 66,157
🔹 0.786 فيبوناتشي: 64,003
🔹 منطقة الإبطال (Invalidation): كسر واضح أسفل 62,300
⸻
🟢 السيناريو الإيجابي:
إذا حافظ السعر على التداول أعلى 64,000 ولم يكسر منطقة الإبطال، فهناك احتمال كبير أن نكون في:
• موجة (2) تصحيحية انتهت
• أو في نهاية موجة Y من تصحيح مركب
وفي هذه الحالة، نتوقع انطلاقة موجة دافعة جديدة إلى الأعلى تستهدف:
• إعادة اختبار 68,000
• ثم 70,000+
• وعلى المدى المتوسط قد نرى امتدادًا باتجاه قمم جديدة
⸻
🔴 السيناريو السلبي:
كسر 62,300 يعني أن:
• التصحيح لم ينتهِ بعد
• وقد نكون داخل موجة (3) هابطة ممتدة
• مما يفتح المجال لزيارة مناطق 60,000 – 58,000
⸻
⚖️ الخلاصة التكتيكية:
نحن في منطقة حاسمة.
السوق إما أنهى تصحيحًا معقدًا ويستعد لموجة دافعة قوية،
أو لا يزال داخل تركيب تصحيحي أعمق.
🎯 كما أقول دائمًا:
دع الصفقة تأتي إليك، لا تطارد السوق.
الانتظار حتى تأكيد الكسر أو الارتداد هو القرار الأذكى.
#btc
🔎 تحليل BTCUSDT – وفق موجات إليوت
📌 السيناريو الحالي:
السوق أنهى هيكلًا تصحيحيًا معقدًا من نوع WXY – Flat، تلاه هبوط خماسي واضح يمثل موجة دافعة إلى الأسفل (1-2-3-4-5).
نحن الآن داخل تصحيح صاعد لموجة الهبوط الأخيرة، مرجّح أن يكون:
• إما موجة WXY تصحيحية
• أو موجة ABC مركبة
⸻
📊 المستويات المهمة:
🔹 0.5 فيبوناتشي: 66,157
🔹 0.786 فيبوناتشي: 64,003
🔹 منطقة الإبطال (Invalidation): كسر واضح أسفل 62,300
⸻
🟢 السيناريو الإيجابي:
إذا حافظ السعر على التداول أعلى 64,000 ولم يكسر منطقة الإبطال، فهناك احتمال كبير أن نكون في:
• موجة (2) تصحيحية انتهت
• أو في نهاية موجة Y من تصحيح مركب
وفي هذه الحالة، نتوقع انطلاقة موجة دافعة جديدة إلى الأعلى تستهدف:
• إعادة اختبار 68,000
• ثم 70,000+
• وعلى المدى المتوسط قد نرى امتدادًا باتجاه قمم جديدة
⸻
🔴 السيناريو السلبي:
كسر 62,300 يعني أن:
• التصحيح لم ينتهِ بعد
• وقد نكون داخل موجة (3) هابطة ممتدة
• مما يفتح المجال لزيارة مناطق 60,000 – 58,000
⸻
⚖️ الخلاصة التكتيكية:
نحن في منطقة حاسمة.
السوق إما أنهى تصحيحًا معقدًا ويستعد لموجة دافعة قوية،
أو لا يزال داخل تركيب تصحيحي أعمق.
🎯 كما أقول دائمًا:
دع الصفقة تأتي إليك، لا تطارد السوق.
الانتظار حتى تأكيد الكسر أو الارتداد هو القرار الأذكى.
t00ta:
استاذ ربيع ؛ نحتاج نقاط دخول xrp من الاسفل
هل نقطة 0.7890 مناسبه لشراء في حال نزوله
📊 $BTC Technical Analysis:
The Candlestick View
Bitcoin $BTC is currently sitting at a critical pivot point, hovering right around the $68,000 to $68,500 mark. After a brutal multi-month drawdown from its $126,000 all-time high, the charts are finally showing signs of life.
• The Daily Candles (Higher Low Structure): Over the last few days, $BTC printed a very bullish structure on the daily timeframe. After dipping into a massive liquidity pocket around $64,700, buyers stepped in aggressively. This bounce created a "Higher Low" (HL) candlestick pattern, which is a classic technical signal that selling pressure is exhausting and bulls are defending the floor.
• The 200-Week EMA Battle: BTC is currently wrestling with its 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $68,355. Historically, closing weekly candles above this line is required to confirm a true macro trend reversal.
• Key Resistance ($70,000): The immediate ceiling is the $70,000 psychological barrier. We saw a brief wick up to this level earlier in the week, but it faced immediate rejection. A daily candlestick close above $70,800 is needed to confirm a breakout.
• Key Support ($64,000 - $62,000): If the current relief rally is just a "fake-out," the next major downside targets are $64,000, with a hard floor at $62,000. Losing $62k would likely invalidate the current bullish setup.
#btc #TrumpNewTariffs #Market_Update
The Candlestick View
Bitcoin $BTC is currently sitting at a critical pivot point, hovering right around the $68,000 to $68,500 mark. After a brutal multi-month drawdown from its $126,000 all-time high, the charts are finally showing signs of life.
• The Daily Candles (Higher Low Structure): Over the last few days, $BTC printed a very bullish structure on the daily timeframe. After dipping into a massive liquidity pocket around $64,700, buyers stepped in aggressively. This bounce created a "Higher Low" (HL) candlestick pattern, which is a classic technical signal that selling pressure is exhausting and bulls are defending the floor.
• The 200-Week EMA Battle: BTC is currently wrestling with its 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $68,355. Historically, closing weekly candles above this line is required to confirm a true macro trend reversal.
• Key Resistance ($70,000): The immediate ceiling is the $70,000 psychological barrier. We saw a brief wick up to this level earlier in the week, but it faced immediate rejection. A daily candlestick close above $70,800 is needed to confirm a breakout.
• Key Support ($64,000 - $62,000): If the current relief rally is just a "fake-out," the next major downside targets are $64,000, with a hard floor at $62,000. Losing $62k would likely invalidate the current bullish setup.
#btc #TrumpNewTariffs #Market_Update
📉 За последние сутки рынок немного ушёл вниз, #BTC теряет около 1-2%, а XRP и другие альткоины – ещё больше. Это не паника, а обычная коррекция на фоне высокой волатильности. 
📊 Что эксперты говорят сейчас:
-Регулирование всё сильнее влияет на оценку рисков и решения инвесторов - особенно в США и Европе, где формируются новые правила. 
- Институциональные игроки не уходят: многие увеличивают позиции в Bitcoin ETF, несмотря на коррекцию. 
- Некоторые аналитики видят в текущем рынке зрелость - инвесторы всё больше ориентируются на управление рисками, а не на эмоции. 
⚠ Коротко:
Криптa #btc #crypto не взлетает резко, но институции ждут ясности с регулированием. Это может быть поводом для спокойного входа с управлением рисками, а не ставок «всё или ничего».
📊 Что эксперты говорят сейчас:
-Регулирование всё сильнее влияет на оценку рисков и решения инвесторов - особенно в США и Европе, где формируются новые правила. 
- Институциональные игроки не уходят: многие увеличивают позиции в Bitcoin ETF, несмотря на коррекцию. 
- Некоторые аналитики видят в текущем рынке зрелость - инвесторы всё больше ориентируются на управление рисками, а не на эмоции. 
⚠ Коротко:
Криптa #btc #crypto не взлетает резко, но институции ждут ясности с регулированием. Это может быть поводом для спокойного входа с управлением рисками, а не ставок «всё или ничего».
#BitcoinPriceAnalysis 🔥🔥🔥
While Bitcoin rocketed to $69, 000, Glassnode cautions that the $62, 000 floor is still extremely important. Here's a quick wrap, up:
Shorts Liquidated: As Bitcoin recovered, nearly $500M worth of shorts were wiped out.Key Levels:Resistance: $70, 000Support: $62, 000 (critical), $60, 000 (February range bottom)Bullish Signals:US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $257.7M net inflows on Feb 24.Leverage reset, options panic hedging faded.Bearish Concerns:47% drawdown from all, time highs.Weak accumulation, negative spot flow bias.Glassnode says Bitcoin is "stabilizing, not yet recovering". To confirm recovery, we need sustained ETF inflows, spot markets flipping bid, and reclaiming $70, 000+.
Would you be interested in learning more about Bitcoin's price predictions or ETF trends?
#btc #bitcoin #binanc
$BTC
While Bitcoin rocketed to $69, 000, Glassnode cautions that the $62, 000 floor is still extremely important. Here's a quick wrap, up:
Shorts Liquidated: As Bitcoin recovered, nearly $500M worth of shorts were wiped out.Key Levels:Resistance: $70, 000Support: $62, 000 (critical), $60, 000 (February range bottom)Bullish Signals:US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $257.7M net inflows on Feb 24.Leverage reset, options panic hedging faded.Bearish Concerns:47% drawdown from all, time highs.Weak accumulation, negative spot flow bias.Glassnode says Bitcoin is "stabilizing, not yet recovering". To confirm recovery, we need sustained ETF inflows, spot markets flipping bid, and reclaiming $70, 000+.
Would you be interested in learning more about Bitcoin's price predictions or ETF trends?
#btc #bitcoin #binanc
$BTC
🔥
📘 Lesson 1: What Trading Really Is
📌 Title: Trading Is NOT Gambling
Trading is buying low and selling high based on:
Market structure
Trend direction
Volume
Risk management
Gambling = Entering without a plan
Trading = Entering with strategy + stop loss
If you don’t have a stop loss, you’re not trading — you’re hoping. #Binance #BTC
👉 Have you ever entered a trade without a plan?”
📘 Lesson 1: What Trading Really Is
📌 Title: Trading Is NOT Gambling
Trading is buying low and selling high based on:
Market structure
Trend direction
Volume
Risk management
Gambling = Entering without a plan
Trading = Entering with strategy + stop loss
If you don’t have a stop loss, you’re not trading — you’re hoping. #Binance #BTC
👉 Have you ever entered a trade without a plan?”
✨Crypto market pump-dump tide in full swing!📈
BTC pumped to ~$70K yesterday, now dumping 2-3% → trading $67-68K range.
Total market cap slipping ~2%+ to $2.3T-2.4T zone.Alts mixed: some +50-90% pumps (Centrifuge, Power etc.), but majors like ETH/SOL down 2-5%.$400M+ liquidated – longs & shorts both rekt!
🔻
#MarketRebound #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #StrategyBTCPurchase #StrategyBTCPurchase #btc #eth
$BTC $ETH
$SOL
BTC pumped to ~$70K yesterday, now dumping 2-3% → trading $67-68K range.
Total market cap slipping ~2%+ to $2.3T-2.4T zone.Alts mixed: some +50-90% pumps (Centrifuge, Power etc.), but majors like ETH/SOL down 2-5%.$400M+ liquidated – longs & shorts both rekt!
🔻
#MarketRebound #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #StrategyBTCPurchase #StrategyBTCPurchase #btc #eth
$BTC $ETH
$SOL
Turn your creativity into real rewards.
🔸 Post content on Binance Square
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🔸 You earn up to 50% trading fee commission + share a limited-time bonus pool of 5,000 USDC!
No sign-up needed. No earning limits.
Learn more about 👉 Write to Earn — Open to All
#btc $NVDAon $AAPLon $BTC
🔸 Post content on Binance Square
🔸 Readers click and place eligible trades
🔸 You earn up to 50% trading fee commission + share a limited-time bonus pool of 5,000 USDC!
No sign-up needed. No earning limits.
Learn more about 👉 Write to Earn — Open to All
#btc $NVDAon $AAPLon $BTC
兄弟们又又又TM抄到底了！！！
最近这价格属实忍不住，每周必须抄一俩波！
目前这种价格诱惑力太太太高了、准备卖身加仓！有没有妙龄少妇、青年妇女、富家千金、价格好商量？
$LDO $ARB #btc #ldo #arb
{spot}(ARBUSDT)
{spot}(LDOUSDT)
最近这价格属实忍不住，每周必须抄一俩波！
目前这种价格诱惑力太太太高了、准备卖身加仓！有没有妙龄少妇、青年妇女、富家千金、价格好商量？
$LDO $ARB #btc #ldo #arb
{spot}(ARBUSDT)
{spot}(LDOUSDT)
Ada冲冲冲呀:
头发都熬白了。鱼鱼
Almost the same, but also different.
#btc & #eth
With ETH, the possibility of consolidation is greater, while with BTC, in my opinion, a slide down is more likely.
The positions are strange and two-way, and there is no way to clearly see the direction. Serious limvidity and at least some certainty are needed, and with this president, that is difficult.
#btc & #eth
With ETH, the possibility of consolidation is greater, while with BTC, in my opinion, a slide down is more likely.
The positions are strange and two-way, and there is no way to clearly see the direction. Serious limvidity and at least some certainty are needed, and with this president, that is difficult.
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