- BTC open trade update/reasoning (long from 100.4K) - $BTC $ES $SOL $ETH FARTCOIN analysis and trade ideas - BTC / ES areas I'm bidding if war escalates - Random alpha as always!
I'll send a half risk long if we get a sweep. Easy invalidation at new local lows which I think would require the Iran conflict / fear to escalate and we'd be seeing low 90K's etc.
Well, that was uneventful to say the least. $BTC obviously offered a nice discount, but $ES couldn't even sweep 5700 lows. ES futs literally opened and resolved the conflict single handedly lmao. Not sure what to make of all of it atm, prob just flat for a bit.
Current levels of interest are 93.5K / potential 91.5K sweep for BTC and 5500 sweep on ES. Set these stink bids for now, we'll see how things develop. I'm in no rush.
Having a hard time deciding where to bid, typically not a great sign. As always during times like these, my focus will be on $SPX n $BTC. They'll always be first to bounce then dogshit catches up once things look safe again. Never knife catch garbage. Will post bids eventually.
lmao that is a nastyyyyyy move. NGL I thought about adding back to long a bit seeing the expansion out of the consolidation, but chose to just chill bc these endless headlines/shit PA lately I just haven't been paying attention. Glad I sat out. Nasty nasty move.
5700~ $ES and 94K~ $BTC are my areas of interest if things get ugly.
These assets will be the first to recover once things resolve. Therefore, my focus will be on them for the time being rather than further down the risk curve (altcoins, memes, etc).
Last hope for local bullishness is to sweep some local lows then bounce (as drawn). If price action full retraces into the V-reversal, that's bearish imo.
- $BTC $SOL FARTCOIN updates and next areas I'm interested in - Why I chose to TP 110K~ rather than 107K~ "supply" - Risk management discussion based around recent trades - Random alpha as always!
Saylor raised a billion last week. If he splurged it all over the weekend, I'll likely cut half the long here at 107K.6K~. If he didn't and the number is small then that billy is probably coming through this week (aka retest of current ATH's is likely). Let's see.
Asta este atât de jos cât vrei cu adevărat să vezi. Lăsând ultimul minim neatins își îndeplinește scopul de a oferi o corecție de calitate, dar fără a permite zonei evidente să se umple. SL-ul meu permite asta (stop dur în anii '90), dar mi-ar plăcea mult mai mult să nu se umple dacă suntem de fapt puternici.
Dacă continuăm să retragem sau să avem o mișcare agresivă în jos mai devreme decât mai târziu, casetele sunt fundurile locale. Restul ofertelor mele sunt în casete și dacă pierdem casetele, îmi voi ajusta biasul de la a considera aceasta o scădere demnă de cumpărat la o atitudine pe termen scurt de scădere.
The speed of moves is important. I was originally interested in $SOL upon a sweep of $158. We mostly slow bled into it, no reaction, I cut on the bounce. Then I was interested in $150's demand. Again, slow bleed, consolidation, so I cut partial. Now looking towards low 140's demand (optimally as $BTC sweeps 102K).
I often talk about liquidity flushes and aggressive moves. We don't get them nearly as much anymore, but aggressive moves by far produce the best trades (at least for me). And until we get that aggressive move, I'll continue to be reserved.. adjusting average entry down, widening stops to allow for the eventual leverage flush, etc.
Hopefully helpful information when it comes to bidding retracements / pullbacks.
The speed of moves is important. I was originally interested in $SOL upon a sweep of $158. We mostly slow bled into it, no reaction, I cut on the bounce. Then I was interested in $150's demand. Again, slow bleed, consolidation, so I cut partial.
I often talk about liquidity flushes and aggressive moves. We don't get them nearly as much anymore, but aggressive moves by far produce the best trades (at least for me). And until we get that aggressive move, I'll continue to be reserved.. adjusting average entry down, widening stops to allow for the eventual leverage flush, etc.
Hopefully helps when it comes to bidding retracements / pullbacks.
Arată destul de bine. Am același bias pentru BONK ca și pentru $BTC și $SOL. O ultimă scădere aici pentru a devia minimul ar fi un combustibil excelent pentru o mișcare reală în sus. Același lucru se aplică pentru BTC care atinge minimul de 102K și SOL care testează cererea reală în jurul valorii de 140. Oprește pozițiile lungi de weekend apoi trimite.
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