A long time ago, after yet another scam I had fallen victim to, I began to dream of a different world.
A world where, instead of exploiting people as exit liquidity for personal gain, we could build something meant to last and for that reason, I wanted to contribute, driven by a strong moral compass.
At first, I was preaching in the desert, even ridiculed by those who, on the surface, seemed further ahead than me.
It was indeed very easy to criticize someone trying to do things differently, rather than continue promoting false illusions and surviving off the engagement farming and easy profits from pushing paid shills.
I decided to take the harder path, the one made of countless hours spent creating content that could help not only from a technical point of view, but also from a human perspective, something that is sorely lacking in today’s society.
It wasn’t easy to shift the mindset from that of “dreamers” to one grounded in reality, but over time, with patience, people started to understand the kind of work I was trying to do.
Step by step, that desert slowly began to turn into a small oasis.
A community took shape, not around unrealistic promises, but around concrete values: awareness, ethics, sharing, and real growth.
Every piece of content, every discussion, every exchange became a building block of a larger project, not one meant to deceive, but to build.
I’ve seen people change their approach, letting go of the easy-money mentality to embrace a deeper, more sustainable vision and for me, that is the greatest victory: not the numbers, not the visibility, but the real impact you can have when your actions are driven by sincere intentions.
We’ve hit several key levels on majors as mentioned beforehand for the concept of “unfinished business”.
While this presents partial opportunities for a spot accumulation, the most favorable levels are located below where some have an average of -20% and some others less depending on their structures.
If majors BOS(s) will be confirmed with HTF closures, they will likely provide favorable short opportunities into those levels.
In the meantime, the announcement of US attacking Iran came out, justifying the current price action and therefore instilling a massive amount of fear among retail investors, assuming that now it’s completely over for “the cycle”.
Yet cycles rarely perish in the dark of panic’s breath.
They merely coil and bide beneath the guise of death.
For price, like tide, obeys no man’s decree, it hunts liquidity in plain hypocrisy.
Nothing of this price action is a mystery, we’re respecting everything we were already planning weeks ago.
We’ve hit several key levels on majors as mentioned beforehand for the concept of “unfinished business”.
While this presents partial opportunities for a spot accumulation, the most favorable levels are located below where some have an average of -20% and some others less depending on their structures.
If majors BOS(s) will be confirmed with HTF closures, they will likely provide favorable short opportunities into those levels.
In the meantime, the announcement of US attacking Iran came out, justifying the current price action and therefore instilling a massive amount of fear among retail investors, assuming that now it’s completely over for “the cycle”.
Yet cycles rarely perish in the dark of panic’s breath.
They merely coil and bide beneath the guise of death.
For price, like tide, obeys no man’s decree, it hunts liquidity in plain hypocrisy.
Nothing of this price action is a mystery, we’re respecting everything we were already planning weeks ago.
Šajā lejupvērstajā kustībā, kas saistīta ar to, ka ASV dolāra D (nevis kara dēļ) ir HTF pieprasījums, daudzas līmeņi, kas darbojās kā pieprasījuma / bullish zonas, ir izkusuši un apstiprināti ar nedēļas noslēgumu zem tiem.
Tehniski runājot, tas pārvērš tos par derīgiem bearish BB iekš HTF atlaides diapazona.
Kā minēts šajā ierakstā https://t.co/kVRVsuLo0Y, ir daži "nepabeigti darbi", kas nav obligāti, bet ir vērts apsvērt kopējā idejā par HTF garo pozīciju vai spot pasūtījumu optimizāciju.
Vienīgā problēma ar šāda veida bearish iestatījumiem ir tā, ka jums nav tīra BOS zem galvenajiem SL, (vēl) tādēļ, pēc 1/3 skalas, tas padara tos mazāk spēcīgus, bet ne nederīgus, sasniedzot 2/3, manā skatījumā.
Ar ASV dolāra D noslēgumu virs iekšējā diapazona, bet zem 4D piedāvājuma, mēs varam redzēt vēl kādu atvieglojumu uz šiem līmeņiem, virzoties uz jauno 3D.
Zem EQ iekš diapazona ASV dolāram -> atlaide -> bullish. Virs EQ iekš diapazona citiem galvenajiem -> premiums -> bearish.
Tas būtu optimāls iestatījums, lai redzētu MTF bearish noskaņojumu svarīgajos līmeņos pirms pus-HTF altkoīnu bullish turpinājuma vasarā. 🍹
🧾Trading mistakes you will face and must avoid if you don't want to get absolutely incinerated over the long term:
1) Neglecting risk management No matter how good your strategy is, poor risk management guarantees eventual disaster. You don’t blow up from being wrong, you blow up from betting too big when you’re wrong.
2) Revenge trading Lost a trade? Tough. Chasing it back with emotion will only dig a deeper hole. Cool heads win, hot heads blow up.
3) Chasing moves See a candle explode and you jump in? See the price hit your level without you and you start pressing buttons? Best recipes for getting rekt. If you're asking yourself if you're late, then you probably are.
4) Not keeping a trading journal If you don’t track your trades, you’re doomed to repeat your dumbest ones. Journaling turns losses into lessons.
Besides the daily analyses, dedicated videos to the market and all the guides that are constantly being written and updated with new ones, we added:
- The personal growth section (something deeper that goes outside financial markets) - Insights section - Tools (expanded with a trading journal, and a crypto tracker) - Traditional Finance (a section that will be added with sectors and stocks to monitor) - 3 separated chats -> discussion group + trading room + "fast tips & reflections"
Hundreds of hours have been spent for creating all of this.
Hundreds of hours will be spent for making it even better.
When you're looking for a pullback, after you evaluated the key areas of your interest, try to find confluences using reverse extensions.
I already shared one of the most powerful setups for extensions and since it's incredibly well valid for calculating targets during price discovery, it's incredibly valid for calculating downside targets as well.
Since institutional trading algorithms are set to specific fibs, price often reacts precisely at those levels, both during expansions and pullbacks.
After a reclaim of a key swing, reverse extensions help map out where liquidity is likely to rest, allowing you to anticipate PB zones that align with algo behavior.
When these levels align with other confluences like OBs, FVGs, or previous structure, the probability of a meaningful reaction increases significantly.
Not every time you will be able to find interesting levels where the price can retrace into and reverse fibs will help you catching a move.
Start making practice, start individuating the most important swings of a structure, start familiarizing with this setup.
🎁For many altcoins PA I would start pay attention at crucial dates:
- Sunday 09 May 2021 - Wednesday 01 December 2021 - Monday 01 November 2021 - Saturday 04 December 2021 - Monday 09 December 2024 - Tuesday 16 November 2021 - Tuesday 07 January 2025
That's where you can take profit in a very accurate manner looking for bearish reversals.
Not every coin will achieve those dates but I give a high probability for many of them.
BTC without reclaiming its PSH. T1/T2 without reclaiming their PSHs. BVOL at demand. USDT D bouncing from the 3D demand.
BTC with 1 (local) level left behind. Several altcoins with some key levels left behind. T1/T2 with 2 (local) levels left behind. USDT D. with 2 (local) levels left behind.
Ja jūs skatījāt iepriekšējās BTC un TOTAL2 atjauninājumus, kurus es veicu, tie noteikti palīdzēja jums palikt uz pareizā ceļa un pārvaldīt savas emocijas un kapitālu, izvairoties no kārdinājuma FOMO premium līmeņos.
Pirms pašreizējā krituma bija daudz spēcīgu līmeņu atsevišķās altcoinās, gan likviditātes, gan HTF pieprasījuma zonās.
Daži no tiem piedāvāja tīras lokālas atsitiena iespējas (kā VET piemērs, ko iepriekš dalīju), kamēr citi, neskatoties uz to spēku, ir būtiski sabrukuši.
Daudzi no viņiem tagad ir "riskā" kļūt par lāču pārtraukumiem, īpaši, ja redzam apstiprinājumu par gaidāmo nedēļas noslēgumu.
Ja tas notiks, visticamāk, īstermiņā redzēsim turpmāku kritumu, bet tas nav obligāti slikta lieta.
Neracionālie līdzsvari, kas palikuši no agrā maija, tagad atkal nāk spēlē, īpaši, ja T2 1.14 tiks izurbts, un, ja tā, tie var piedāvāt lieliskas iespējas pozicionēšanai, ne tikai ātrās tirdzniecības perspektīvā, bet ar nodomu turēt nākamo mēnešu laikā.
Šīs zonas, apvienojumā ar attīstošām HTF struktūrām, var kļūt par pamatu nākamajam nozīmīgajam kāpumam.
Šeit svarīgākais ir pacietība un skaidrība.
Šeit ir arī jauka mācība.
Ja jūs ņemat laika ceļojuma mašīnu un atgriežaties pirms 2 nedēļām, noskaņojums bija: "Mums nebūs nekādu pullback, maksimālais sāpes ir augšā, izbaudiet, ka esat malā.."
Tagad "malā stāvētāji" tiek uzskatīti par vīzijas radītājiem.
Es vienmēr uzsveru, cik svarīgi ir gaidīt savus iestatījumus, lai tie nāktu spēlē, pat ja tas varētu pārvērsties īstermiņa "sāpēs" sakarā ar iespēju pazaudēšanu.
Svarīgi ir izņēmuma kārtā jūsu ceļojums, nevis otrādi.
A few considerations. If you watched the last video analysis I made, BTC has reached the last TP at $103.700/100.400I had in my charts and the level mentioned on the 10th of April, as per this screenshot:
I didn't look for any short with the reclaim of 88.798$ apart from the HTF supply at 97K (otherwise I would have been blown away) but I'm now opening/adding my first consistent short position, respecting my plan.
The reason behind isn't "just" based on the level but also on extra confluences coming from:
- BTC/XAU (30/31 is a zone I was eyeing since a lot of time) - SP500 at monthly breaker - On-chain data showing positive funding spiking hard and cross-exchange funding as well (especially Deribit) meaning traders are borrowing money to leverage/exploiting arbitrary opportunities - FOMO news intensifying hard with Standard Chartered Bank announcing "too low targets for BTC" just to name one.
Logically, this is being done with hedge longs taken on several alts during the last 2 days, so if the short doesn't go as expected, longs will cover the loss (always trailing them in the meantime).
Regardless, if you rode this entire move up following the TP levels mentioned I think it's wise to take profits.
Remember, the lower liquidity levels that have remain untapped will be met at some point.
It's just a matter of when, not a matter of If.
I would also pay attention to the next weekly closure.
If we correctly manage to perform it above 99.520$ this would likely open the doors for an attack till the previous ATH and potentially more.
In this sense, you will have a macro TP area to eye: the 4% one on USDT D.
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