THE U.S. DOLLAR IS PRINTING A HISTORIC MOVE....

The U.S. Dollar Index is now down roughly 15.6% from its 2022 peak, trading around 96.8. This is one of the largest drawdowns the dollar has seen in modern history, and the last time we witnessed a decline of this magnitude was back in 2017. That period didn’t end quietly—it marked the start of a massive global liquidity expansion.

What followed then is worth remembering. As the dollar weakened, capital rotated aggressively into risk assets. Liquidity surged, financial conditions eased, and crypto entered a full-blown bull market. Bitcoin went on to rally from under $200 to nearly $20,000 in less than two years. That wasn’t random. It was macro.

This is how the cycle usually works. A strong dollar tightens conditions and suppresses risk. A weakening dollar does the opposite. When the dollar slips, liquidity doesn’t disappear—it looks for returns elsewhere. Historically, that’s when risk assets start breathing again.

This doesn’t mean everything goes up in a straight line, and it doesn’t mean timing is instant. But structurally, a sustained dollar downtrend has always been a tailwind for assets like crypto. Macro shifts first. Price follows later.

When the dollar falls, liquidity hunts risk. That’s the part most people realize only after the move is already underway.

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