wyckoffmethod

$BMT

🧠 Pabeigta un Iedvesmojoša Tehniskā Analīze:
BMT/USDT dienas grafiks atklāj pārliecinošu struktūru tirgotājiem, kuri vēlas izmantot agrīno reversiju un apakšējo ieejas punktu. Cena pašlaik konsolidējas spēcīgā vēsturiskajā pieprasījuma zonā, svārstoties starp $0.069 – $0.087 USDT — līmenis, kas iepriekš izraisījis vairākas nozīmīgas kāpšanas (marts, maijs, jūlijs 2025).
Šī nav parasta atbalsta zona; tā ir klasiskā akumulācijas zona, kur lāču spēks, šķiet, izzūd un pircēji pakāpeniski ienāk tirgū.

#WyckoffMethod #PriceAction
#SmartMoney
#Ethereum

1. Multi-Timeframe Technical Overview
Monthly
Structure: Strong breakout from multi-month accumulation; inside the upper regression channel.
Momentum: MACD and LMA bullish; RSI 64+, still with room before overbought extremes.
Wyckoff Context: We are in Phase E – Markup after a confirmed breakout from accumulation range.
Implication: Long-term trend is intact, but near-term pullbacks are healthy.

Weekly
Trend: Aggressive push upward for multiple weeks; price hitting prior resistance zone.
Volume: Last week showed strong buying delta; this week is positive but with lighter delta, showing some slowing.
Risk: Weekly stochastic above 90 (extended); suggests we’re due for short-term profit taking.
Implication: Still bullish macro, but susceptible to retracement toward $4,400–$4,300.

Daily

Candle: Large red bar (-4.49%) on increased volume — classic Effort vs. Result showing sellers defending $4,750 zone.
Indicators: MACD still positive but starting to flatten; RSI dropped from overbought to ~70.
VSA: High-volume down bar after strong rally = possible buying climax test in the daily structure.
Support Levels: $4,500–$4,520 (holding), $4,350–$4,400 (next demand).
Implication: High probability of a range formation before deciding next leg.

2. Fund Flow & Order Flow Integration
Daily Net Flows: Aug 14 still positive net inflow (+$228M), but smaller than Aug 13 (+$841M) — momentum slowing.
Large Orders (Spot): -$39M net on the day — whales distributing near highs.
Hourly Flows: Recent hours have net outflows, especially from large orders.
Conclusion: Smart money taking profits, retail still buying dips.

3. Wyckoff + VSA Read
Phase: Likely in Minor Distribution within a Larger Markup.
Signs: Buying climax on daily, automatic reaction down to $4,520, now testing support.
Expectation: Secondary test or Upthrust After Distribution possible if $4,600 fails to hold buyers.

4. Best Trade Setup
Futures
Bias: Short-term short with tight stop above $4,600; target $4,420 then $4,350.
Reason: Weakening delta, large order outflows, resistance holding, overextension on higher TF stochastics.
Stop-Loss: $4,605
Entry: $4,545–$4,555
TP1: $4,420
TP2: $4,350
Options
For Defensive Play: Buy 1–2 day ATM or slightly OTM puts (e.g., $4,500 strike), target intraday pullback.
For Income: Sell OTM call spread (e.g., Sell $4,700 Call / Buy $4,750 Call expiring 15 Aug) if comfortable with cap.
$ETH