usjobdata

The volatility window is wide open today, Friday, Jan 10, 2026. Markets are hitting a "tight window" where sentiment can flip in seconds. From the US labor market to the steps of the Supreme Court, everything is in play.
Here is your roadmap for the tape today: 👇

⏰ 1) US Jobs Data — Mixed Signals
The December Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) just dropped, and the numbers are fueling a massive debate:
The Print: Only +50K jobs added (vs. ~70K expected).
The Twist: The Unemployment Rate actually fell to 4.4% (beating expectations).
The Impact: Growth fears are clashing with a resilient labor market. Markets are now slashing the odds of a January Fed rate cut—dropping from 30% to nearly 5% in minutes. 🦅
⚖️ 2) Supreme Court Tariff Verdict — The "Wildcard"
This is the headline risk no one can price perfectly. The ruling on emergency tariff powers (IEEPA) has been delayed, leaving $150B+ in potential refunds hanging in the balance.
Tariffs Upheld: USD likely keeps its throne; inflation pressure stays sticky.
Tariffs Struck Down: Massive equity bounce expected and a fast repricing of the dollar.
Current Status: Markets are still guessing. No ruling today means the uncertainty continues into next week. ⏳
📉 Market Setup: S&P 500 at 6,920
The S&P 500 is hovering near the 6,920 level. Historically, this kind of compression ends in one of two ways: Expansion or a violent flush. With the Fed likely staying restrictive due to the low unemployment rate, the "risk-on" crowd is walking a tightrope.
🟣 The Crypto Spotlight: $POL (Polygon)
While the macro world wobbles, $POL is showing incredible strength, jumping 15% in the last 24 hours.
The Catalyst: Polygon's "Open Money Stack" vision and rumors of a $125M Coinme acquisition.
Deflationary Moat: Burning ~1M tokens daily is finally starting to hit the supply side.
Technical Alpha: POL has reclaimed the 50-day EMA. If it holds above $0.15, the "revival year" narrative is officially on.
⚠️ Volatility window is OPEN. Positioning matters more than conviction right now.
Are you playing defense... or leaning into the move? 🛡️🚀
#USJobData #CryptoNewss #tradingStrategy #USNonFarmPayrollReport

Prezidents Donalds Dž. Tramps oficiāli paziņojis, ka ASV tirdzniecības deficīts ir samazinājies līdz zemākajam līmenim kopš 2009. gada, samazinoties par milzīgiem 39% līdz tikai 29,4 miljardiem ASV dolāru jaunākajos mēneša datos.
​Prezidents šo sasniegumu tieši saistīja ar savas administrācijas agresīvo tarifu stratēģiju:
​“Šie neiedomājamie skaitļi un mūsu valsts nepārspējamais panākums ir tieši rezultāts TARIFFU.”
​📊 Galvenie ekonomikas secinājumi
​Vēsturiski līmeņi: mazākais tirdzniecības deficīts kopš 2008.-2009. gada finanšu krīzes.

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$BTC
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$BNB #USJobData #dailyearnings #Write2Earn

Recent U.S. job data is raising eyebrows: headline numbers seem mixed, and deeper analysis suggests the labor market is losing some of its previous strength. With rising unemployment, a government shutdown disrupting data collection, and downward revisions to past job growth, the latest figures indicate that economic momentum may be softening — with implications for both workers and policymakers.
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Key Highlights from the Latest Job Report
1. Modest Job Gains
In September 2025, the U.S. economy added 119,000 jobs, considerably higher than analyst expectations (around 50,000), despite the data being delayed due to a federal government shutdown.
2. Rising Unemployment Rate
The unemployment rate climbed to 4.4% for September — this is the highest level since 2021, indicating a modest weakening in the labor market.
3. Data Disruptions from Government Shutdown
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) canceled the October jobs report due to data-collection issues arising from a 43-day federal government shutdown.
4. Massive Revision to Previous Job Figures
In a significant development, the BLS announced that U.S. employers created 911,000 fewer jobs between April 2024 and March 2025 than previously estimated.
These revisions are the largest preliminary downward adjustment on record.
The sectors most affected include leisure and hospitality, professional & business services, and retail.
5. Earlier Reports Point to Slower Momentum
In July 2025, job growth slowed sharply: only 73,000 jobs were added, well below expectations.
In earlier months, the job-market cooled but still showed some resilience: for example, in January 2025, 143,000 jobs were added, though that was below market consensus.
---
Why This Matters: Economic & Policy Implications
1. Monetary Policy Pressure on the Fed
The slower job growth and rising unemployment rate may increase chances for interest rate cuts. A weaker labor market gives the Fed more reason to ease monetary policy to support growth.
However, the uncertainty around data quality (because of the government shutdown and massive data revisions) complicates decision-making for the central bank.
2. Market Sentiment & Investor Risk
Markets could see greater volatility: weaker job data raises concerns about economic slowdown, which could underpin risk asset rallies.
On the flip side, if the labor market deteriorates sharply, that could fuel a broader economic downturn, hurting equities and credit markets.
3. Labor Market Structural Risks
The large downward revisions suggest that the underlying strength of the labor market may not have been as robust as previously believed.
Certain sectors — particularly service-oriented ones like hospitality — seem more fragile. This could mean that job creation going forward may be more constrained.
4. Political & Budgetary Consequences
The government shutdown’s impact on economic data undermines confidence in one of the most important economic indicators.
Politically, revised lower job numbers may fuel debates on fiscal policy, labor market reforms, and government accountability.
---
Risks & Uncertainties to Watch
Future Data Reliability: There may be further revisions. The BLS often updates its numbers once more complete data comes in.
Fed Moves: A dovish pivot (rate cuts) is possible, but only if weaker job data continues. Conversely, if the Fed doubts the data's accuracy, it may remain cautious.
Business Sentiment: Firms may delay hiring if they sense slowdown, creating a self-reinforcing cycle of weak job creation.
Wage Growth: Even with slowing hiring, if wages remain sticky, inflation could remain a concern — complicating the Fed’s policy decisions.
---
Conclusion
The latest U.S. job data paints a more nuanced picture than a simple “strengthening” or “crashing” labor market. While there were job gains in September, the rise in unemployment and the large downward revision to prior job data suggest the labor market is cooling more than previously thought. Add in data disruptions from a government shutdown, and the clarity that policymakers and markets need becomes cloudier.
For the Fed, this could be a signal that rate cuts may be warranted — but uncertainty over the data’s reliability makes any decision more fraught. For investors, economic strategists, and workers, the key takeaway is caution: the job market’s resilience is being tested, and how it performs in the coming months will be critical for the broader economy.
$BTC

$BTC

SABRUKUMS: ASV bezdarbnieku pieteikumi pieaug, bet ko tas nozīmē kripto tirgum?
ASV bezdarbnieku pieteikumi pieaug: Kas notiek? Līdz februāra 1. nedēļai, 2025. gadā, ASV Darba departaments ziņoja, ka sākotnējie bezdarbnieku pieteikumi pieauga par 11,000, sasniedzot 219,000. Lai gan tas var šķist kā neliels pieaugums, tas rada jautājumus par darba tirgus stāvokli. Tomēr, pat ar šo pieaugumu, bezdarbnieku pieteikumu skaits joprojām ir salīdzinoši zems, norādot, ka atlaišanas joprojām ir kontrolē. Ekonomisti to uzskata par stabilitātes zīmi, bet tas noteikti ir signāls, uz kuru jāpievērš uzmanība.

🚨 BIGGEST BTC OPTIONS EXPIRY NEXT WEEK 🚨
Listen Pandas 🐼
When a massive options expiry hits, $BTC starts moving “weird” on purpose.
📅 Dec 26
About $23.7B worth of BTC options expire — the largest expiry of 2025.
Around 268,000 contracts roll off at once. Even with zero news, this alone can move price.
Here’s what most traders miss 👇
• Open interest is heavily skewed toward CALLS
• Put/Call ratio is low → market still leaning bullish
But options don’t sit idle.
Big players hedge these positions using spot & futures, and those hedges create real buy/sell pressure.
That’s why price action feels strange near big expiries:
sharp wicks
fake breakouts
choppy ranges trapping both longs & shorts
🎯 Key Level to Watch
96,000
This is the max pain zone — where option buyers lose the most at settlement.
BTC doesn’t have to go there, but when $23B+ expires in one day, price often reacts around these levels.
⏳ Typical Expiry Behavior
Before expiry:
• sideways & messy price
• stop hunts on both sides
• breakouts with no follow-through
After expiry:
• hedging pressure fades
• liquidity clears
• price action becomes cleaner
🧠 Dec 26 = Reset Point
Until then: manage risk, expect traps, and stay unemotional.
🐼 Trade smart

$SOL $BTC
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #CPIWatch

ASV darba devēji pievienoja 151,000 darba vietu pagājušajā mēnesī, taču nākotne ir neskaidra, jo prezidents Donalds draud ar tirdzniecības karu, iznīcina federālo darbinieku spēku un sola deportēt miljoniem imigrantu.
Darba departaments piektdien ziņoja, ka nodarbinātība pieauga no koriģētā 125,000 janvārī. Bezdarba līmenis nedaudz pieauga līdz 4.1%.
Darba tirgus pēdējā gada laikā ir bijis neparasti izturīgs neskatoties uz augstajām procentu likmēm.
Neskatoties uz pieaugošajām bažām par ekonomikas veselību, momentum paliek pozitīvs,'' rakstīja Lydia Boussour, vecākā ekonomiste nodokļu un konsultāciju firmā EY.