🚨 BIG WARNING: NEXT 24 HOURS = EXTREME VOLATILITY RISK 🚨
$DASH | DASHUSDT Perp
📈 63.23 | +30.42%
Two major U.S. macro events are about to hit almost back-to-back — and together they can rapidly reprice growth, recession risk, and rate-cut expectations. This is a high-risk window for all markets, including crypto.
⚖️ 1) US Supreme Court Tariff Ruling — 10:00 AM ET
The Supreme Court will rule on whether Trump-era tariffs are legal.
Markets are pricing ~77% probability that tariffs are ruled illegal If struck down, the U.S. government may need to refund a large portion of the $600B+ already collected While the President has alternative tools to impose tariffs, they are slower, weaker, and less predictable
🔻 Key Risk:
Markets currently treat tariffs as supportive.
A ruling against them could trigger a sentiment shift, forcing markets to price in downside risk — bearish for crypto.
📊 2) US Unemployment Data — 8:30 AM ET Expected: 4.5% (vs 4.6% prior)
Scenarios:
📉 Higher unemployment → strengthens recession narrative 📈 Lower unemployment → eases recession fears, but pushes rate cuts further out
💡 The probability of a January rate cut is already very low (~11%).
Strong jobs data could wipe out those expectations entirely.
⚠️ The Market Dilemma Weak data = rising recession fears Strong data = tighter policy for longer
👉 Either outcome increases volatility risk.
🔥 Bottom Line
The combination of these two events makes the next 24 hours extremely unstable for markets.
📉📈 Expect sharp moves, fakeouts, and fast liquidations.
🔒 Manage risk. Size positions carefully. Don’t over-leverage.
Stay sharp. Stay safe.
$DASH $UAI
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