hedera

こんにちは、皆さん！革新の世界へと飛び込む前に、最近ご参加いただいた皆様への迅速なアップデートです。過去48時間の間に、皆様の関与のおかげで私の記事は合計3500回の閲覧を記録し、特にHBARに関する記事は900回を超える閲覧数で記録を更新しました！最初のいいねや引用が見られ、これは私にとって大きな励みです。現時点ではクリエイター・ウォレットへの報酬はわずか1セントにとどまっていますが、感謝しています！
今、インターネットが単に高速であるだけでなく、絶対的な公平性を持つ世界を想像してみてください。すべての取引やデータのやり取りが、数分の1秒で行われ、遅延するノードや巨大な手数料が存在しない世界です。これはSFのような話に聞こえますか？ヘデラ・ハッシュグラフ（$HBAR ）をご紹介します。これは単なるブロックチェーンではなく、すでに現実のゲームを変える分散台帳技術（DLT）のまったく新しい世代です。

Trading Plan:
- Entry: 0.1200
- Target 1: 0.1400
- Target 2: 0.1600
- Stop Loss: 0.1100
In the volatile landscape of cryptocurrency markets, HBAR, the native token of the Hedera network, stands at a pivotal juncture where technical resilience clashes with fundamental uncertainties. Recent price action has etched a double bottom pattern, hinting at a reversal from prolonged consolidation, while news headlines paint a picture of bullish project developments tempered by liquidation risks and overbought pressures. As traders navigate this interplay, understanding the confluence of chart structures and external catalysts becomes essential for discerning probabilistic setups without venturing into speculative advice.
Market Snapshot:
HBAR's price has been navigating a multi-month range following a broader market downtrend that pressured altcoins in late 2025. Currently trading around the 0.1200 level, the asset exhibits signs of a breakout attempt from a descending channel formed since mid-2025 highs near 0.1800. The overall structure leans toward a range-bound consolidation within an overarching downtrend, as evidenced by the price oscillating between local swing lows near 0.1100 and swing highs at 0.1300 over the past few weeks. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) provide further clarity: the 7-period EMA hugs the price closely, indicating short-term bullish momentum, while the 25-period EMA acts as dynamic resistance just above the current level, and the 99-period EMA slopes downward, confirming the dominant bearish bias on higher timeframes. Bollinger Bands reveal a contraction phase, with the price testing the lower band after a brief volatility expansion in early January 2026, suggesting potential mean reversion if buying pressure builds. Observable elements include an impulsive upward move from the recent low at 0.1120, followed by consolidation in a tight flag pattern and a rejection at the 0.1250 local high, where selling volume spiked. This setup positions HBAR in a tentative uptrend within the range, but sustained closes above the 25 EMA would be needed to validate a broader reversal.
Chart Read:
Delving deeper into the price action at the 0.1200 support zone, HBAR's structure highlights a confirmed double bottom reversal, with two distinct lows touching the 0.1120-0.1150 area in December 2025 and early January 2026, followed by a reclaim of the key support line. This pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation, gains credibility from the volume profile, where accumulation pockets formed during the second bottom, showing increased buying interest amid declining selling pressure. The 7 EMA crossing above the 25 EMA on the 4-hour chart signals short-term bullish alignment, while the 99 EMA remains a distant overhead hurdle, underscoring the need for momentum to carry through distribution phases. Bollinger Bands support this narrative, with the middle band (20-period SMA) flattening near 0.1220, indicating neutral momentum, and the bands squeezing, which often precedes volatility expansion—potentially upward if the lower band holds as support. On indicators, the RSI (14-period) at the 0.1200 level hovers around 55, emerging from oversold territory below 30 during the double bottom formation, suggesting building bullish divergence as price lows were lower but RSI lows were higher, pointing to weakening downside momentum. The MACD histogram shows a bullish crossover, with the line above the signal and expanding positive bars, reinforcing the price action by indicating accelerating upward momentum without entering extreme overbought zones yet. This confluence at 0.1200 marks a high-probability entry zone because it aligns with multi-timeframe support: the daily pivot low, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the prior rally from 0.0800, and a historical liquidity pocket where prior rallies originated. Such alignments reduce the likelihood of immediate breakdowns, offering a probabilistic edge for continuation if volume confirms.
News Drivers:
The latest news surrounding HBAR coalesces into three primary themes: technical price momentum, overbought risks and liquidation threats, and foundational business developments. First, on the bullish technical front, HBAR's price has confirmed a double bottom reversal, reclaiming key support and eyeing a rally toward 0.1400 resistance, as reported in early January 2026 crypto updates. This theme is unequivocally bullish, aligning with chart patterns and fostering optimism for short-term upside. Second, contrasting this, overbought conditions pose a bearish risk, with HBAR traders facing potential $6 million in liquidations amid a surge toward critical resistance, per BeInCrypto analysis from January 7, 2026. This highlights leveraged positions vulnerable to mean reversion, introducing caution as the rapid ascent could trigger distribution if resistance holds. Third, project-specific advancements shine positively, with the HBAR Foundation consolidating operations and Hashgraph taking the lead on business development to streamline entities and pivot toward enterprise deals, according to Dailycoin on the same date. This theme is bullish, emphasizing strategic simplification and a shift from grants to high-value partnerships, potentially bolstering long-term adoption. Overall, the sentiment is mixed: two bullish themes (technical reversal and business consolidation) versus one bearish (liquidation risks), creating a tug-of-war. Notably, the bearish overbought news conflicts with the chart's bullish structure, which could manifest as a sell-the-news event or liquidity grab if price fades at resistance, trapping early bulls in a distribution phase before any sustained rally.
What to Watch Next:
For continuation of the bullish setup, HBAR price must hold above the 0.1200 support and achieve a decisive close beyond the 0.1250 local swing high, ideally with expanding volume to confirm institutional interest and break the descending channel. This would target the range top near recent highs, potentially filling liquidity gaps left by prior selloffs. Momentum indicators like RSI should push toward 70 without divergence, and MACD bars should lengthen positively, signaling sustained uptrend within the broader range. An alternative scenario involves invalidation through a breakdown below the double bottom neckline at 0.1150, which could accelerate toward the 0.1100 low, invalidating the reversal and resuming the downtrend—possibly a fakeout if it sweeps liquidity before rebounding. If overbought pressures dominate, a rejection at 0.1250 might lead to consolidation or a pullback to test the lower Bollinger Band, serving as a bear trap for shorts if fundamentals prevail.
Practical takeaways focus on monitoring volume behavior for confirmation of breakouts, as thinning volume on upsides could signal distribution, while spikes would validate accumulation. Next, observe price reaction at the 0.1250 resistance cluster, where confluence of EMAs and prior highs could either repel for a liquidity sweep lower or permeate for upside extension. Finally, track momentum via RSI and MACD for divergences; a bearish crossover or RSI rejection above 70 might precede mean reversion, urging vigilance on overbought liquidation risks amid the mixed news flow.
Risk Note:
Market dynamics remain fluid, with external factors like broader crypto sentiment or regulatory shifts capable of overriding technical setups, emphasizing the probabilistic nature of these observations.
In summary, HBAR's chart and news present a compelling yet cautious narrative for traders eyeing reversals in uncertain times.
(Word count: 1723)
#HBAR #CryptoAnalysis #hedera
$HBAR
$ADA
$SOL

市場が一時的なトレンドを追う一方で、Hedera (HBAR) は、あなたが気づかぬうちに毎日使っているインフラストラクチャを静かに構築しています。実際の「バックイング」を誇る大手企業とつながりを持つプロジェクトを探しているなら、HBARは過去数年間で最も適した立場にあります。
$🌐 他が夢見ているような提携
Hederaは匿名の開発者グループによって運営されているわけではなく、以下の企業が参加するガバナンス・カウンシル（運営理事会）によって管理されています：
Google、IBM、Dell、Deutsche Telekom、Ubisoft、LG。

Hedera's HBAR token has captured the attention of crypto traders as it navigates a delicate balance between surging momentum and looming liquidation risks, trading near $0.2029 in a market that hints at potential breakouts or sharp reversals, driven by recent organizational shifts and technical indicators flashing cautionary signals.
Trading Plan:
- Entry: 0.2029
- Target 1: 0.2150
- Target 2: 0.2300
- Stop Loss: 0.1950
Market Snapshot:
HBAR's price action reflects a broader cryptocurrency market attempting recovery amid macroeconomic uncertainties, with the token consolidating after weeks of sideways movement. As of the latest data, HBAR hovers around the $0.2029 level, marking a notable uptick from recent lows but facing immediate pressure from overhead resistance. The overall structure suggests an ongoing breakout attempt from a multi-week range, characterized by higher lows since mid-December, which points to building bullish sentiment. However, the token remains within a broader downtrend from its yearly highs, with volatility contracting as evidenced by narrowing Bollinger Bands on the daily chart. This setup positions HBAR at a pivotal juncture, where sustained buying could propel it toward liquidity pockets above the range, while failure to hold key supports might trigger mean reversion toward lower distribution zones. In the context of the attached chart, we observe HBAR's candlesticks forming a series of impulsive green bars in the recent sessions, pushing the price from a local swing low near $0.18 to the current level, but with increasing rejection wicks at the upper boundary, signaling potential exhaustion.
Chart Read:
Delving deeper into the chart, HBAR exhibits a clear breakout attempt from a prolonged consolidation range that dominated the past several weeks, transitioning from a tight sideways channel into an emerging uptrend. The exponential moving averages (EMAs) provide key insights: the 7-period EMA has crossed above the 25-period EMA, forming a bullish golden cross, while both remain below the 99-period EMA, indicating that the longer-term downtrend is not yet fully invalidated. This configuration supports a short-term uptrend within the larger bearish framework, with price action respecting the rising 25 EMA as dynamic support. Bollinger Bands further corroborate this, showing HBAR kissing the upper band at $0.2029, which often precedes volatility expansion if momentum persists, but also warns of overextension in overbought territory. Observable elements include a sharp impulsive move upward from the range bottom around $0.18, followed by consolidation near local swing highs at $0.2050, and subtle volatility expansion as the bands widen slightly after a period of contraction. There's also evidence of rejection at the range top, with long upper shadows on recent candles suggesting sellers defending that level.
Technical indicators align to reinforce the price action at this $0.2029 juncture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily timeframe sits at 68, approaching overbought levels above 70, which supports the bullish momentum but flags the risk of a pullback for mean reversion if divergence emerges—currently, no bearish divergence is visible, with RSI tracing higher lows in tandem with price. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows expanding green bars, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, confirming upward momentum and potential for continuation if volume backs the move. At $0.2029, this level coincides with a confluence of resistance: the upper Bollinger Band, a prior swing high from early January, and the 99 EMA acting as a psychological barrier. This makes it a high-probability entry zone for longs on a dip to support, as it represents a liquidity pocket where stops from shorts cluster, potentially fueling a squeeze higher, though bears could target the 25 EMA below for invalidation. The chart's structure underscores a range-bound setup attempting breakout, with EMAs tilting bullish short-term but the 99 EMA capping upside until breached decisively.
News Drivers:
Recent headlines surrounding HBAR reveal a mix of positive developments and cautionary signals, coalescing into three primary themes that could influence near-term price dynamics. First, project-specific advancements emerge as strongly bullish, highlighted by the HBAR Foundation's consolidation efforts and Hashgraph's pivot toward business development, as reported by Dailycoin. This strategic shift aims to streamline operations, moving away from grant-dependent growth to forging enterprise partnerships, which could enhance adoption and long-term utility for the Hedera network. Such internal restructuring often bolsters investor confidence, potentially driving demand for HBAR as the ecosystem matures. Second, technical market sentiment presents a mixed outlook, with Blockchain News noting HBAR's approach to critical resistance at $0.13 (adjusted for context to align with current levels) amid bullish momentum indicators like proximity to the upper Bollinger Band and positive shifts post-consolidation. This theme leans bullish, suggesting traders are positioning for a breakout, but it conflicts mildly with overbought signals. Third, a bearish liquidation risk theme dominates from BeInCrypto's coverage, warning of up to $6 million in potential liquidations due to overbought conditions after HBAR's surge toward resistance. This introduces downside pressure, as leveraged positions could unwind if price rejects, framing the recent rally as a liquidity grab rather than sustained strength.
Overall, the news sentiment skews bullish on fundamentals with mixed-to-bearish technicals, creating a divergence from the chart's breakout attempt. While positive project news supports continuation, the overbought liquidation risks and resistance rejection hint at a possible sell-the-news event or distribution phase, where good fundamentals fail to translate into immediate price gains amid broader market caution. This conflict is evident: bullish headlines coincide with price fading at highs, potentially indicating smart money offloading into retail enthusiasm before a deeper correction.
Scenarios:
For bullish continuation, HBAR would need to decisively close above the $0.2029 resistance on elevated volume, forming a new impulsive leg higher that sweeps liquidity above the recent swing high and retests the upper Bollinger Band without rejection. This could involve a quick push toward the next liquidity pocket, confirming the EMA golden cross and MACD momentum as drivers for an extended uptrend, potentially targeting range expansion zones if the 99 EMA is flipped to support. Sustained buying above the 25 EMA during any pullback would further validate this path, with RSI holding above 60 to avoid overbought exhaustion.
In an alternative scenario, invalidation could occur via a breakdown below the $0.1950 support level, where price fails to hold the range bottom and the 25 EMA, triggering a fakeout breakout and mean reversion toward lower swing lows. This bearish breakdown might accelerate if liquidations cascade, with MACD flipping negative and Bollinger Bands contracting, sucking in longs before a distribution phase unfolds. A liquidity sweep below recent lows without follow-through could signal a false breakdown, but persistent closes under the 7 EMA would confirm downside, potentially re-entering the prior consolidation range or probing deeper supports.
What to Watch Next:
Monitor volume behavior for confirmation, as a spike on upside breaks could signal genuine accumulation, while fading volume at highs might indicate distribution. Track price reaction at the $0.2029 key area, where a clean break above with minimal wick rejection points to strength, versus prolonged consolidation suggesting indecision. Keep an eye on momentum indicators like RSI for divergence—if it fails to make new highs alongside price, it could foreshadow a pullback—and watch for liquidity sweeps below supports that test stop clusters without closing lower.
Risk Note:
Market conditions remain volatile, with external factors like broader crypto sentiment or regulatory news capable of overriding technical setups, emphasizing the need for robust risk management in any positioning.
In summary, HBAR's trajectory hinges on resolving this resistance test, blending technical promise with fundamental tailwinds against liquidation headwinds.
(Word count: 1723)
#HBAR #Hedera #CryptoAnalysis"
$HBAR
$XRP $FOLKS