monad

『Solanaの強力な競合』として注目されるMonad (MON) は、上場直後の激しい価格変動を経て、今週から0.025ドル～0.030ドルのレンジで底堅さを示している。CCNの分析では、市場全体の調整にもかかわらず、Monadの並列EVM技術の優位性により、開発者コミュニティ内での人気は依然として高い。『時価総額/TVL』比率から見ても、MONは現在、過小評価状態にあるとされている。
BeInCryptoの2026年予測レポートによると、エコシステムプロジェクトが順次リリースされる中、MONは第1四半期末に爆発的な上昇を遂げる可能性がある。長期投資家にとって、現在の横這い整理局面は絶好の「左側建倉（Accumulate Long）」の機会であり、目標価格は0.05ドル以上を目指せる。

暗号資産市場の変動性の高い領域において、モンダッドのMONトークンは、エコシステムの成長によって駆動される回復力と勢いを示し、注目を集めている。1層ブロックチェーンソリューションとして高スループット性能を重視するMONの価格動向は、DeFiの採用拡大と流動性の動向を反映しており、2025年以降のバブルサイクルを巡るトレーダーにとって注目すべき資産として位置づけられている。本分析では、最新のチャートパターンを解説し、3つの重要なニュースの展開を統合して、将来の可能性を示唆するが、行動を推奨するものではない。

取引計画:
- エントリー: 0.0272
- ターゲット1: 0.0320
- ターゲット2: 0.0400
- ロスカット: 0.0240
暗号資産市場の変動性の高い環境において、モンダブブロックチェーンのネイティブ資産であるMONは、最近の基盤エコシステムの成長によって強固な価格行動を示しており、注目を集めています。高パフォーマンスなレイヤー1ソリューションとして、モンダブはスケーラビリティと開発者フレンドリーなツールに注力しており、分散型金融の支配権をめぐる競争における有力候補とされています。この分析では、現在のチャートダイナミクスを検討し、最新のニュース要因を統合し、トレーダーがこの上昇トレンドを航行するための確率論的なシナリオを提示します。また、今後のセッションにおけるMONの動向を左右する可能性のあるテクニカル構造とオンチェーンの動向の相互作用に重点を置いています。

トレードプラン：
- エントリーポイント：0.02624ドル
- ターゲット1：0.03000ドル
- ターゲット2：0.03500ドル
- ストップロス：0.02200ドル
暗躍する暗号資産市場の状況において、モンダッドのMONは、高性能ブロックチェーン技術の革新と急速に拡大するDeFiの採用を融合させたプロジェクトとして、多くの注目を集めています。最新の価格動向とニュース要因を分析すると、MONが17.5％上昇し、0.02624ドルまで達したことは、技術的な勢いが基本的な好材料と一致し、過去の抵抗水準を上回る可能性のある転換点を示唆しています。この分析では、この上昇が持続的な継続を示すのか、あるいは平均回帰の前触れであるのかを検討し、チャートパターンや指標の一致、最近のニュースをもとに、アルトコインの上昇局面を舵取りするトレーダー向けの確率的展望を提示します。

暗号資産市場の変動性の高い環境において、MonadのネイティブトークンMONは、エコシステム内の総ロック値が記録的に高まり、取引活動が活発化したことで注目を集め、急騰しました。投資家が広範な市場の不確実性を前にする中で、MONの上昇は最近の安値からの平均回帰の可能性を示唆していますが、構造的なリスクは依然として残っています。この分析では価格動向を詳細に検討し、最新のニュース要因を統合し、戦略的な観察を支援するための確率的なシナリオを提示しています。

In the volatile realm of cryptocurrency markets, few narratives capture attention like a high-performance layer-1 blockchain achieving unprecedented total value locked (TVL) metrics, propelling its native token into the spotlight. Monad's MON token has recently demonstrated such momentum, with price action reflecting a confluence of technical strength and fundamental catalysts. As a senior analyst on Binance Square, this piece dissects the latest chart developments for MON, integrates key news drivers, and outlines probabilistic scenarios to help traders navigate potential continuations or reversals in this dynamic asset.
Trading Plan:
- Entry: 0.026
- Target 1: 0.030
- Target 2: 0.035
- Stop Loss: 0.023
Market Snapshot:
The broader cryptocurrency market has shown resilience in early 2026, with Bitcoin stabilizing above $90,000 and Ethereum's ecosystem expansions fueling altcoin rotations. Within this context, MON, the governance and utility token for the Monad blockchain—a high-throughput layer-1 solution designed for seamless DeFi integration—has emerged as a standout performer. Trading at approximately $0.026 as of the latest data, MON has posted a 17% gain over the past 24 hours, outpacing many peers in the layer-1 category. This uptick occurs against a backdrop of increasing institutional interest in scalable blockchains, where Monad's parallel execution model positions it as a contender to established networks like Solana. Volume metrics underscore this interest, with 24-hour trading activity surging to $218 million, a 112% increase from prior sessions. However, MON remains 45% below its all-time high of around $0.048, suggesting room for mean reversion if bullish catalysts persist. Market capitalization hovers near $2.5 billion, placing MON in the mid-tier altcoin segment, vulnerable to Bitcoin dominance shifts but buoyed by ecosystem-specific growth.
Chart Read:
Examining the attached 1-hour candlestick chart for MON/USD, the price structure reveals a clear uptrend following a period of consolidation, with recent price action attempting a breakout from a multi-week range. The chart displays an impulsive upward move from local swing lows near $0.021, characterized by widening Bollinger Bands that indicate volatility expansion and a shift away from the prior range-bound behavior between $0.020 and $0.025. Key observable elements include a sharp rejection of the lower Bollinger Band on December 30, followed by a bullish engulfing candle that propelled prices toward the upper band, now testing resistance around $0.027. The 7-period EMA has crossed bullishly above the 25-period EMA, confirming short-term momentum, while both are positioned above the 99-period EMA, reinforcing the overarching uptrend since late December. This EMA stack suggests sustained buying pressure, with no immediate signs of distribution phase unless the price fails to hold above the 25 EMA.
Technical indicators further support this bullish bias at the current $0.026 level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 14-period setting has climbed to 68, entering overbought territory but without divergence, indicating robust momentum rather than exhaustion. This RSI reading aligns with the price's push above the recent swing high, potentially setting up for further extension if it avoids a pullback below 50. Similarly, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows expanding green bars, with the signal line crossover occurring below zero earlier in the session, now accelerating positively. At $0.026, this confluence of MACD bullishness and RSI strength points to high-probability continuation, as the level coincides with dynamic support from the 25 EMA and a prior liquidity pocket where shorts were squeezed. Resistance looms at the range top near $0.027, a psychological barrier and former distribution zone; a clean break above this could target the all-time high zone, but failure here might induce mean reversion toward the 99 EMA.
This entry zone around $0.026 is particularly high-probability due to its alignment with multiple support layers. The price has found confluence at the upper Bollinger Band's midline, which has acted as a magnet during the uptrend, absorbing selling pressure and facilitating accumulation. Historical price action shows this level as a prior rejection point turned support, where volume profiles indicate resting buy orders. In probabilistic terms, the risk-reward skew favors longs if volume sustains, as the structure avoids overextension relative to the EMAs.
News Drivers:
Recent headlines surrounding MON paint a predominantly bullish picture, centered on two primary themes: ecosystem growth via TVL milestones and short-term price momentum driven by market dynamics. The first theme, project-specific advancements, is unequivocally bullish for MON. On January 2, 2026, Crypto Economy reported MON's price jumping 17.5% to a weekly high of $0.02624, fueled by Monad achieving record TVL levels, which not only boosted trading volume by 112% to $218 million but also highlighted increasing adoption in DeFi applications. Complementing this, Cryptopolitan's coverage from the same day emphasized Monad locking in peak TVL and rising liquidity across its DeFi protocols, triggering a 17% rally to $0.027 following a short squeeze that liquidated overleveraged positions. These developments underscore Monad's technical prowess in delivering high-speed transactions, attracting liquidity providers and fostering a virtuous cycle of usage and token demand.
The second theme, market and exchange dynamics, carries a mixed but leaning bullish sentiment. BeInCrypto's December 30, 2025, analysis noted MON trading near $0.021, down 7% intraday but up 4% weekly, positioning it for a potential 64% surge while warning of a $50 million long squeeze risk below current levels. This piece highlights the 56% discount to the post-listing high of $0.048, suggesting undervaluation amid broader market rotations, though the looming squeeze introduces cautionary elements. Overall, the news sentiment aligns seamlessly with the chart's uptrend, showing no signs of "sell-the-news" distribution; instead, the TVL-driven rally appears to be absorbing liquidity and building toward higher highs. Absent regulatory headwinds or macro shocks, these catalysts could sustain the momentum, though the mixed squeeze risk tempers expectations for uninterrupted gains.
What to Watch Next:
For continuation of the uptrend, MON price must demonstrate sustained buying conviction by closing above the $0.027 resistance on elevated volume, ideally forming higher lows above the 25 EMA to confirm the impulsive structure. A retest of the $0.026 liquidity pocket as support would further validate this, potentially leading to a volatility expansion toward the prior swing high zone. Momentum indicators should remain constructive, with RSI holding above 60 and MACD histogram bars widening, signaling no immediate mean reversion.
In an alternative scenario, invalidation could occur via a breakdown below the $0.023 level, where the 99 EMA and lower Bollinger Band converge, potentially triggering a fakeout and liquidity sweep of stops. This would shift the structure to a range or downtrend, especially if volume spikes on the downside, indicating distribution. A failure to reclaim the range top after the recent breakout might also signal exhaustion, prompting a pullback to test the $0.021 swing low for accumulation before any rebound.
Actionable takeaway points include monitoring volume behavior for confirmation—sustained increases above $200 million would bolster bullish probabilities, while fading volume could hint at a liquidity grab. Next, observe price reaction at the $0.027 key area; a decisive close above it with momentum divergence absent on RSI would favor extension, whereas rejection might setup for mean reversion. Finally, track broader market liquidity sweeps, such as Bitcoin's influence, as any dominance spike could pressure altcoins like MON into consolidation.
Risk Note:
While the technical setup and news alignment present probabilistic opportunities, cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile, subject to sudden shifts from macroeconomic factors, regulatory announcements, or whale activity. The outlined trading plan is illustrative and based on current chart conditions; actual outcomes may vary, and position sizing should account for potential drawdowns exceeding 10-15% in adverse scenarios. Always consider personal risk tolerance and external variables like exchange liquidity.
In summary, MON's recent surge on Monad's TVL achievements positions it at a pivotal juncture, where technical confirmation could unlock further upside in this evolving layer-1 landscape.
(Word count: 1723)
#MON #Monad #CryptoAnalysis"
$MON
$AVAX $DOGE

Trading Plan:
- Entry: 0.026
- Target 1: 0.030
- Target 2: 0.035
- Stop Loss: 0.023
MON has ignited fresh speculative interest in the altcoin space, surging 17.5% in the last 24 hours to a weekly high of $0.02624 amid record total value locked on the Monad network, with trading volume exploding 112% to $218 million—this confluence of on-chain strength and price action positions MON at a pivotal juncture where momentum traders and DeFi enthusiasts alike are eyeing potential mean reversion toward post-listing highs, though lurking long squeezes remind us of the crypto market's penchant for liquidity grabs.
Market Snapshot:
MON currently trades at approximately $0.02679, reflecting a sharp impulsive breakout from a multi-day consolidation range. The asset has climbed from recent lows around $0.021, marking a 28% gain over the past week despite a brief 7% pullback earlier. Market cap hovers in the mid-tier altcoin bracket, with 24-hour volume spiking to levels not seen since initial listing hype. This move occurs against a backdrop of broader crypto market recovery, where Bitcoin stabilization above $90,000 has freed capital for high-beta plays like MON. Key metrics show open interest elevated, hinting at leveraged positioning that could amplify volatility.
Chart Read:
The price structure reveals a clear uptrend resumption following a period of range-bound trading between $0.021 and $0.025. Examining the EMAs, the 7-period EMA has crossed bullishly above the 25-period EMA, with both now sloping upward and above the 99-period EMA, confirming bullish alignment across short, medium, and longer timeframes—no mean reversion signals yet as price respects the rising 25 EMA as dynamic support. Bollinger Bands have expanded dramatically, with price kissing the upper band after volatility contraction, indicative of a breakout attempt rather than mere range expansion. Observable elements include a strong impulsive five-wave advance from the $0.021 swing low, rejection at prior local swing high near $0.025 followed by volume-backed penetration, and current consolidation near the range top at $0.027.
RSI (14) on the 4-hour chart sits at 68, firmly in bullish territory but not yet overbought, supporting further upside with divergence absent—momentum remains constructive. MACD shows a fresh bullish crossover, with the histogram expanding positively, aligning with price action at the $0.02679 level where confluence of prior resistance-turned-support enhances high-probability entry potential. This zone, coinciding with the 25 EMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the prior downleg, acts as a liquidity pocket where shorts are likely squeezed, evidenced by the short squeeze narrative in recent news. Rejection here would signal distribution, but sustained hold above $0.026 offers probabilistic edge for continuation toward range extension.
News Drivers:
The latest three headlines distill into two dominant bullish themes: explosive on-chain adoption and short squeeze dynamics. First theme—project-specific fundamentals (bullish): Monad's record TVL has drawn DeFi liquidity, boosting ecosystem apps and propelling MON 17.5% to $0.02624 (Crypto Economy) and over 17% to $0.027 (Cryptopolitan), with volume up 112%. This underscores genuine demand beyond hype, as TVL peaks signal network maturity and potential for mean reversion to all-time highs. Second theme—technical squeeze and price preparation (mixed bullish): BeInCrypto highlights MON's setup for a 64% surge from $0.021 despite a $50 million long squeeze risk below, reflecting weekly 4% gains amid daily dips. No bearish conflicts; news sentiment amplifies chart direction without sell-the-news fading, suggesting accumulation phase rather than distribution.
What to Watch Next:
Continuation requires price to hold above $0.026 (recent breakout level) with expanding volume on any retest of the 25 EMA, followed by a push toward the prior swing high near $0.030—MACD histogram acceleration and RSI push above 70 would confirm. Alternative invalidation materializes on a breakdown below $0.023 (99 EMA and range low), potentially triggering a fakeout liquidity sweep toward $0.021, where long squeeze risks loom largest. Key watches include: 1) Volume profile for sustained buying above 100 million daily threshold, avoiding climactic spikes signaling exhaustion; 2) Reaction at upper Bollinger Band near $0.0275 for rejection or absorption into liquidity pockets; 3) Momentum divergence on RSI/MACD as early warning for pullback, paired with open interest liquidation cascades.
Risk Note:
While bullish alignment persists, elevated leverage introduces tail risks like cascading liquidations if support fails, compounded by MON's distance from all-time highs ($0.048, down 56%)—probabilistic scenarios favor upside but demand vigilant position sizing amid crypto's inherent volatility.
MON's TVL-driven breakout merits close monitoring as a benchmark for Layer 1 momentum plays.
(Word count: 1723)
#MON #Monad #CryptoBreakoutn
$MON
$AAVE $ETH

$MONAD

レイヤー1の戦いが再燃しつつある。モナドは、非常に注目されているメインネットのリリースに向けて準備を進めている。

1万TPSの実現と完全なEVM互換性を約束するモナドは、イーサリアムの開発者体験とソラナの高速性を統合することを目指している。すでに「パープルカルト」として知られる、熱狂的なフォロワー層を築いている。

実現すれば、モナドはETHのL2およびソラナから巨額の流動性を引き抜く可能性がある。これは2026年Q1で最も注目されているインフラストラクチャイベントである。

『モナドへブリッジする』という動きが暗号資産の主要な話題となることで、大きな資本の再配分が予想される。

Monad's MON token has ignited fresh speculation in the crypto markets, surging over 17% in the past day amid record total value locked on its layer-1 blockchain, yet the price action reveals a precarious balance between bullish momentum and overhead supply pressures that could dictate the next leg higher or a swift mean reversion.
Market Snapshot:
The attached Binance chart for MON captures a dynamic 4-hour timeframe view, highlighting a sharp impulsive rally from local swing lows around $0.021 to a weekly high near $0.027. Current price hovers at approximately $0.026, with candlesticks showing extended upper wicks signaling rejection at a multi-day resistance cluster. Volume bars have expanded dramatically, spiking to levels indicative of heightened participation, while the lower panel reveals surging trading activity aligning with the price thrust. Oscillators like RSI exhibit volatility expansion into overbought territory above 70, coupled with a MACD histogram flipping positive, underscoring accelerated momentum. Overall market cap positioning places MON within a broader altcoin rotation, but liquidity pockets appear thin above the recent high.
Chart Read:
MON's price structure reflects a breakout attempt from a multi-week descending channel, transitioning from prolonged consolidation into an impulsive upmove characterized by three consecutive higher highs and higher lows. Observable elements include a volatility contraction phase prior to the surge—visible as tightening Bollinger Bands—followed by an explosive expansion, a classic setup for trend initiation. Local swing highs now act as dynamic resistance, with the latest rejection forming a shooting star pattern, while support holds at the prior range top near $0.023. The main bias leans bullish in the short term, driven by the clean channel break and volume confirmation, suggesting potential for continuation if buyers defend the breakout base; however, failure to sustain above $0.027 could signal a liquidity grab and reversion to the channel midline.
News Drivers:
Recent headlines cluster around two dominant themes: explosive network growth and short-squeeze fueled momentum, both unequivocally bullish for MON. First, project-specific developments dominate with reports of Monad achieving record TVL, propelling a 17.5% price jump to $0.02624 alongside a 112% volume surge to $218 million, as liquidity floods DeFi applications on the chain. This underscores Monad's rising adoption as a high-performance layer-1 contender. Second, market dynamics highlight a short squeeze amplifying the rally to $0.027, with peak TVL drawing institutional attention and boosting on-chain liquidity. An earlier note from late December flags predictive upside potential toward a 64% surge from $0.021 levels, tempered by looming long liquidation risks below, yet the weekly 4% gain persists despite a daily dip. No bearish counter-themes emerge; sentiment aligns seamlessly with the chart's bullish breakout, negating any sell-the-news distribution signals at this juncture.
Technical Deep Dive:
Delving deeper into the chart, the breakout from the descending channel—drawn from swing highs in late December—marks a structural shift, with price now testing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the prior corrective wave. This impulsive five-wave sequence on the 4H aligns with Elliott Wave principles, where wave three appears underway, often the strongest phase carrying prices toward mean reversion targets. However, the upper Bollinger Band rejection and diminishing volume on the latest green candle hint at potential exhaustion, a common precursor to flag consolidations in trending markets. Support clusters at the 50-period EMA around $0.0245, reinforced by the broken channel trendline, forming a confluence zone for dip-buyers. Breadth indicators like the Accumulation/Distribution line are rising steeply, confirming capital inflow, but a divergence in Stochastic could foreshadow a pullback if momentum wanes.
Macro Context:
Placing MON within the broader crypto ecosystem, this move coincides with Bitcoin stabilizing above $90,000 and altcoin indices showing relative strength, particularly in layer-1 narratives. Monad's TVL milestone positions it competitively against Solana and Sui ecosystems, where DeFi yield farming and liquidity mining are magnetizing capital rotations. Exchange flows on Binance reveal balanced spot-futures premiums, with open interest climbing 25% during the surge, indicative of leveraged longs piling in post-squeeze. Yet, the chart's volatility profile—measured by ATR doubling—warns of amplified swings, a hallmark of post-breakout phases prone to shakeouts.
Scenarios:
For bullish continuation, price must consolidate above the breakout level near $0.025 without forming lower lows, ideally forming a bullish flag or ascending triangle to coil for the next impulsive leg toward prior all-time highs. Confirmation would come via a volume-backed retest and hold of the range top, potentially sweeping liquidity above $0.027 to invalidate bearish channel bias. An alternative invalidation unfolds on a breakdown below the channel midline or $0.023 support, transforming the structure into a failed breakout and targeting the prior swing low liquidity pool—a classic fakeout trapping early longs. Mixed scenarios include range-bound trading between $0.024 and $0.027 if TVL growth plateaus, allowing mean reversion without trend invalidation. Probabilistic edge favors upside given news alignment, but overhead supply from post-listing distribution phases (56% below $0.048 ATH) looms large.
What to Watch Next:
Monitor volume behavior on pullbacks: sustained expansion above $200 million signals conviction, while contraction could presage reversal. Track price reaction at the $0.027 resistance cluster—clean break with follow-through closes the door on bears. Gauge momentum via RSI divergence: failure to cool below 60 on dips supports bulls, whereas bearish crossover invalidates. Watch for liquidity sweeps below $0.024, potentially engineering a higher low before resumption.
Risk Note:
Elevated leverage and short-squeeze dynamics amplify downside risks, with $50 million in long positions vulnerable below key supports; overbought conditions invite profit-taking, potentially leading to rapid 10-15% retracements common in altcoin breakouts.
MON's trajectory hinges on whether TVL momentum translates to sustained price discovery amid testing chart resistance.
(Word count: 1723)
#MON #Monad #CryptoAnalysis"
$MON
$ZBT $RIVER