According to Cointelegraph, the fate of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (CLARITY Act) now rests on one thing: bipartisan muscle in the US Senate.
Galaxy’s Head of Research Alex Thorn made it clear — the bill needs at least 60 Senate votes to move forward. Republicans can’t do it alone. They must flip 7–10 Democrats, starting with just 4 Democratic votes inside the Senate Banking Committee. If that happens, Thorn believes momentum could explode, with all 17 Democrats who backed the GENIUS stablecoin bill likely joining Republicans to push the CLARITY Act through.
🚨 No Bipartisan Support = No Bill
Thorn warned that without a strong bipartisan win in committee, the CLARITY Act’s chances of passing in 2026 drop sharply. And that would be a major setback for crypto regulation in the US.
💼 Why This Matters for Crypto Markets
A clear US crypto market structure would be a green light for institutional investors, many of whom are still sitting on the sidelines due to regulatory fog and fear of sudden policy reversals. Passage could unlock massive capital inflows and long-term adoption.
📉 If the Bill Fails? Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Uncertainty
While Thorn says the crypto industry has already scored big wins from the recent pro-crypto regulatory shift, failure of the CLARITY Act could shake short-term investor sentiment — especially with the 2026 midterm elections looming. If the bill stalls on January 15, a second chance in 2026 becomes highly uncertain.
⏳ Worst-Case Scenario: Delayed Until 2029
Investment bank TD Cowen warns that if Democrats successfully delay the vote past the midterms and regain control of even one chamber of Congress, crypto market structure laws may not pass until 2027, with implementation dragged out to 2029.
⚠️ Political Risk Alert
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio added another layer of caution, warning that Trump-era pro-crypto, AI, and tech-friendly regulations could be rolled back entirely if Republicans lose control in the 2026 elections.
🔥 Bottom Line:
The CLARITY Act is more than a bill — it’s a make-or-break moment for US crypto dominance. Bipartisan support could ignite institutional adoption. Political gridlock could delay clarity for years.
📊 Crypto is watching. Institutions are waiting. January 15 could change everything.
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