🇺🇸📉 FED WATCH UPDATE — JAN 28 FOMC
This meeting could set the tone for the entire quarter.
📊 Markets are now pricing a 95% probability that the Fed HOLDS rates at the Jan 28 FOMC
⬆️ Up from ~70% just one month ago (CME FedWatch)
❓ What changed?
👉 Strong December jobs report
👉 Economic resilience forcing rate-cut expectations further out
The message is getting clearer — and tougher.
🧠 THE MACRO SIGNAL IS LOUD
This is no longer about cuts vs hikes.
It’s about how long pressure stays on the system.
📊 WHAT THIS MEANS FOR MARKETS
🟠 “Higher for longer” is being locked in
🟠 Near-term rate cuts keep disappearing
🟠 Liquidity stays tight → risk assets become headline-sensitive
⚠️ At this stage:
Forward guidance > the actual decision
One sentence from Powell can move trillions.
⚠️ MARKET IMPACT — WHAT TO WATCH
Markets are trapped between two risks:
🔹 Strong data
• Rate cuts delayed further
• Risk assets under pressure
• Dollar strength returns
🔹 Weak data
• Recession fears spike
• Volatility explodes
• Markets panic before policy reacts
➡️ Either way: VOLATILITY IS COMING around Fed communication.
👀 TICKERS ON ALERT
⚡ $CLO
$HYPER $ZEREBRO
— When liquidity is tight, positioning & timing matter most.
🔥 BOTTOM LINE
The Fed isn’t pivoting yet.
The market is slowly accepting it.
This phase isn’t about moonshots 🚫
It’s about survival, positioning, and patience
📊 Watch the language
⏳ Watch the tone
That’s where the real signal is.
#FED #FOMC #Markets #Liquidity #WriteToEarnUpgrade 🔥
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