bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on its way to close yet another red month, which will be its 5th straight since the October All Time High (ATH). This has only happened two times in its history and the last time we had 5 consecutive 1M red candles was December 2018 (other one was November 2011)! In both cases the Bear Cycle bottom was formed on that exact month.
Does this mean we are once more about to form the market bottom? Not exactly. And there has been no better indicator that has historically priced Cycle bottoms than the Fisher Transform.
As this 1M chart shows, every time the Fisher Transform made a Bullish Cross, BTC had already bottomed. On the December 2022 Fisher Cross, the bottom was a month earlier (shortest ever) while on the June 2015 Cross it was 5 months before (longest ever).
Given the fact that the distance between the Fisher Bullish Crosses on the previous two Bear Cycles has been highly symmetrical (1370 days between them), we can expect the next one to occur in September 2026. Assuming that we will have the shortest possible price bottom formation as on the previous Cycle, we can expect a market bottom in August 2026. Longest distance from the Cross (5 months) would mean an April 2026 bottom but that doesn't fit the Fisher's Bearish Legs model, which assumes a contact to be made with an 11-year Lower Lows trend-line. An August - September bottom on the other hand would fit well with a Fisher bottom on the Lower Lows trend-line.
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$BTC #BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

When Bitcoin pushes higher after a steep drop, emotions return instantly.
Some traders call it the beginning of a full recovery.
Others assume it’s a trap.
In reality, markets don’t require manipulation to explain sharp rebounds. Often, it’s simply liquidity doing what liquidity does.
What we’re seeing now in $BTC looks similar to phases observed during past corrective cycles — including 2022 — where price bounced aggressively before higher-timeframe structure truly shifted.
And that difference is critical.
After heavy sell-offs, rebounds commonly happen because:
Overleveraged positions have been flushed
Panic selling loses momentum
Short sellers begin taking profit
Liquidity rebuilds across the order book
Price moves up — but not necessarily because long-term buyers suddenly stepped in with conviction.
These rallies can feel strong. Momentum improves. Sentiment stabilizes. Traders begin anticipating continuation.
But unless key resistance levels are reclaimed and held, price may simply be rotating back into supply zones — areas where sellers previously controlled the market.
Experienced participants don’t panic here — and they don’t celebrate prematurely either.
They observe structure.
If the market continues forming lower highs or fails to defend reclaimed levels, the broader environment remains corrective. In that case, upside moves function more as liquidity rotation than confirmed expansion.
At the same time, volatility during transitional phases is completely normal.
Sharp moves in both directions are part of price discovery. Not every move is a trap. Not every bounce is a breakout.
The real question now is whether $BTC can:
• Maintain acceptance above reclaimed resistance
• Form consistent higher lows on pullbacks
• Show expanding volume and participation
If those elements develop, strength becomes structural.
If rejection continues, consolidation likely extends.
The market’s role is to test conviction.
Your role is to avoid reacting faster than the structure confirms.
Stay level-headed.
Watch the levels — not the noise.
#BTC #bitcoin #crypto

$BTC is currently trading inside a structure that looks like a falling triangle — a setup that often makes traders nervous about a potential breakdown.
In simple terms, this pattern forms when price keeps making lower highs while holding a relatively steady support level. It may look like calm consolidation, but in reality, liquidity is building on both sides as traders prepare for either a breakout or a reversal.
Here’s how it usually plays out:
Liquidity builds above recent highs as breakout traders expect upside continuation. Price may briefly spike upward, triggering those entries and creating short-term optimism. But if strong buying doesn’t follow, the market can rotate lower as trapped positions unwind. That drop is often more about liquidity being cleared than instant trend strength.
A move toward the $58K area only becomes technically valid if support breaks and price accepts below it. Until then, this remains a possibility — not a confirmed direction.
Triangles are compression phases. They expand eventually, but the direction depends on participation and volume at the breakout.
What really matters now: • Does selling increase on breakdown attempts?
• Are bounces weak and quickly rejected?
• Is volume growing on downside moves?
If yes, continuation lower becomes more likely. If support keeps holding, this could simply be volatility compression before another expansion.
The key point:
Patterns show risk zones — they don’t predict the future.
Right now, $BTC is near a decision area with liquidity on both sides. The next real move will come from confirmation, not anticipation. Patience over panic.#bitcoin #BTC #cryptouniverseofficial #TrendingTopic