$BTC BTCUSDT – Bear Flag Formation 🚩🧨 (Extended View)
BTCUSDT continues to respect a classic bear flag structure on the daily chart, formed after a strong impulsive breakdown. The initial sell-off showed clear bearish strength with high momentum, and the current price action appears to be a controlled consolidation, not aggressive buying. This type of structure often reflects distribution, where smart money sells into strength while retail traders anticipate a reversal.
The ongoing upward-sloping channel lacks strong volume expansion, which further supports the idea that this move is corrective. In healthy trend reversals, we usually see strong impulsive buying and follow-through — something that is currently missing from the market.
📊 Near-term price behavior:
A short-term relief rally toward the $96,000–$98,000 resistance zone remains likely. This area aligns with:
The upper trendline of the bear flag
Key daily moving averages
A prior supply zone
Any weak reaction or bearish rejection (long wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or volume divergence) around this zone would be an important confirmation signal for bearish continuation.
🔻 Downside scenario:
If BTC breaks down from the flag with expanding volume, the measured move targets projects toward the $60,000 region. This level is technically significant, as it overlaps with a major historical demand zone and previous accumulation range. While bounces can be expected along the way, the path of least resistance would remain to the downside if the breakdown confirms.
🧠 Market mindset:
This is a wait-and-react market, not a chase market. The higher-probability play is allowing price to come to resistance and show rejection before continuation. Entering early inside consolidation increases risk and reduces clarity.
Key Summary:
Short-term: Relief rally toward ~$98K possible
Structure: Bear flag (daily timeframe)
Bias: Bearish until proven otherwise
Invalidation: Strong daily close above resistance
Target on breakdown: ~$60K
