IMPORTANT: If your money is in the bank, don't miss this ๐จ
I have been observing the global financial system for quite some time, and honestly... things are not heading in the right direction.
The risk of a major recession or banking stress around 2026 feels quite real.
Why could banks come under pressure?
FinancialCrisis
#BankingCrisis
#GlobalEconomy
#Recession2026
#DebtCrisis
#SystemicRisks 1๏ธโฃ Burden of debt
When interest rates were low, governments and companies engaged in heavy borrowing.
Now rates are high โ refinancing has become difficult.
In 2025โ26, $1.2 trillion in commercial real estate loans are maturing.
Offices are vacant, values have dropped by 20โ30%.
Defaults occurred โ directly hit banks.
2๏ธโฃ Hidden risk of shadow banking
Private credit funds have reached ~$1.5 trillion, with less regulation.
Large banks' exposure is estimated at over $1 trillion.
If a crack appears here โ domino effect possible.
๐ฆ Banking & Risk
#BankFailure
#ShadowBanking
#CommercialRealEstate
#LiquidityCrisis
#SystemicRisk $ETH 3๏ธโฃ Downside of AI hype
The hype around AI in the markets seems very overvalued.
If a sudden sell-off occurs โ liquidity could dry up.
Confidence is everything for banks.
4๏ธโฃ Geopolitical tension
Trade wars, supply chain issues, energy prices โ all are creating pressure.
Result: risk of stagflation or inflation.
5๏ธโฃ Recession indicators
Unemployment is slowly rising.
Corporate bankruptcies are at a multi-year high.
Yield curve inversion โ this has never been a good sign in history.
6๏ธโฃ Demographics issue
Aging population โ fewer workers, slow growth.
Loan repayments become difficult โ impacting banks' margins.
7๏ธโฃ Regulation is softening
Rules are being loosened โ more risk-taking.
And when problems arise, the bill goes to ordinary people.
๐ Crypto & XRP
#XRP
#XRPLedger
#CryptoAwareness
#CryptoAdoption
#BlockchainFinance
#FutureOfMoney
Probabilities (my personal view):
๐ ~65% chance of recession by 2026
๐ฅ
$BTC