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🤯 $BTC Implied Probability Just Shifted – Here’s What It Means!
This data reveals how markets are betting on future outcomes, and the signals are fascinating. 📈
Essentially, price = probability. A $6.1c “Yes” contract means the market thinks there’s only a ~6% chance of that outcome. Conversely, a 94¢ “No” contract suggests a 94% probability. We’re seeing low “Yes” prices (2.7¢-6.1¢) indicating extremely low confidence, while prices climbing to 70¢ signal strong conviction.
Interestingly, high volume alongside low “Yes” prices points to significant “No” sentiment – people are actively betting against the outcome despite the trading activity. This is crucial intel for understanding market positioning. The data also shows a total volume of $522,5140 (likely a typo in the original data).
#Probability #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrading #DeFi 🚀
This data reveals how markets are betting on future outcomes, and the signals are fascinating. 📈
Essentially, price = probability. A $6.1c “Yes” contract means the market thinks there’s only a ~6% chance of that outcome. Conversely, a 94¢ “No” contract suggests a 94% probability. We’re seeing low “Yes” prices (2.7¢-6.1¢) indicating extremely low confidence, while prices climbing to 70¢ signal strong conviction.
Interestingly, high volume alongside low “Yes” prices points to significant “No” sentiment – people are actively betting against the outcome despite the trading activity. This is crucial intel for understanding market positioning. The data also shows a total volume of $522,5140 (likely a typo in the original data).
#Probability #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrading #DeFi 🚀
🤯 $BTC Implied Probability Just Shifted – Here’s What It Means!
This data reveals how markets are betting on future outcomes, and the signals are fascinating. 📈
Essentially, price = probability. A “Yes” contract at 36¢ suggests a 36% chance of that event happening. We’re seeing incredibly low “Yes” prices (as low as 2.7¢), signaling extremely low probability assessments. Conversely, prices climbing towards 70¢ indicate strong confidence in a “Yes” outcome.
Interestingly, high volume alongside low “Yes” prices points to significant “No” sentiment – people are actively betting against the event, despite the trading activity. This is a key divergence to watch. The data also shows moderate confidence in “Yes” outcomes with prices ranging from 20¢ to 44¢.
Understanding these implied probabilities can give you a unique edge in navigating the market. 👀
#Probability #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrading #DeFi 🚀
This data reveals how markets are betting on future outcomes, and the signals are fascinating. 📈
Essentially, price = probability. A “Yes” contract at 36¢ suggests a 36% chance of that event happening. We’re seeing incredibly low “Yes” prices (as low as 2.7¢), signaling extremely low probability assessments. Conversely, prices climbing towards 70¢ indicate strong confidence in a “Yes” outcome.
Interestingly, high volume alongside low “Yes” prices points to significant “No” sentiment – people are actively betting against the event, despite the trading activity. This is a key divergence to watch. The data also shows moderate confidence in “Yes” outcomes with prices ranging from 20¢ to 44¢.
Understanding these implied probabilities can give you a unique edge in navigating the market. 👀
#Probability #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrading #DeFi 🚀
Gold Thoughts -ICT Nerd
#forex #Daily #GOLD #analysis #Probability
#xauusd #binance #hisham Bhai #usman #ict
#forex #Daily #GOLD #analysis #Probability
#xauusd #binance #hisham Bhai #usman #ict
After 6 days, we have the FOMC meeting.
We have not yet received the
September job reports and some key inflation data.
The Fed could cut rates because of this blackout.
Probabilities of rate cuts are increasing.
9 Fed members still think we will have two more rate cuts this year.
#fomc #FOMCForecast #fed #RateCutExpectations
We have not yet received the
September job reports and some key inflation data.
The Fed could cut rates because of this blackout.
Probabilities of rate cuts are increasing.
9 Fed members still think we will have two more rate cuts this year.
#fomc #FOMCForecast #fed #RateCutExpectations
#Probability of December #InterestRateCut falls below 50% _
Nearly 67% of investors forecast an interest rate cut of 25 basis points in December when #poll 'ed during the first week of November.
"Disclaimer _ Source: Binance News / Bitdegree / Coindesk / Coinmarketcap / #Cointelegraph / Decrypt & do support by follow, like, comment, share, repost to reach maximum audience, more such informative content ahead"
Nearly 67% of investors forecast an interest rate cut of 25 basis points in December when #poll 'ed during the first week of November.
"Disclaimer _ Source: Binance News / Bitdegree / Coindesk / Coinmarketcap / #Cointelegraph / Decrypt & do support by follow, like, comment, share, repost to reach maximum audience, more such informative content ahead"
🔥 Rate Cut probability reached at 70% 📈🚀
Is it good news or bad? 😁 because everytime good news turn into bad news... 😔
Do let me know in the comment below 🙂👇🏼👇🏼
#BREAKING #Fed #RateCut #Probability
Is it good news or bad? 😁 because everytime good news turn into bad news... 😔
Do let me know in the comment below 🙂👇🏼👇🏼
#BREAKING #Fed #RateCut #Probability
#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC
#BTTC/USDT $BTTC
I Like Being Positive That's why I choose Bullish
So Lets See What Happens next
Even the Strongest Can Fall 🤣 #Probability 🤑
#BTTC/USDT $BTTC
I Like Being Positive That's why I choose Bullish
So Lets See What Happens next
Even the Strongest Can Fall 🤣 #Probability 🤑
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🌟How Bookies Make Market Prices
. Amateur traders easily get caught up in too many orders, the time frame is too short, the volume size is too large, etc. In retrospect, it all comes from bad qualities such as lack of confidence in abilities (fear of missing out), greed (only seeing benefits but not losses), anger (when you lose, you're bitter, trying to get over it), infatuation ( knew it was wrong but still tried to keep the order). So a trader with sustainable profits is usually quite mature in terms of emotions and personality.
. The bookie aka#Builderalways wins because they rely on probability & time - "I'm not afraid of you winning, I'm just afraid of you not playing" - 98% of#Tradersare amateurs, the top 2% are excellent and the rest are all are true#business#man aka #Investor, they look at the price line to find investment entries#follow#trend, they have#thesislogic, method system & capital division strategy to select very clear opportunities clarity & discipline.
——————
12 #MM #price #manipulate #probability #time
Tgram Channel - @TradingHacksWK
. Amateur traders easily get caught up in too many orders, the time frame is too short, the volume size is too large, etc. In retrospect, it all comes from bad qualities such as lack of confidence in abilities (fear of missing out), greed (only seeing benefits but not losses), anger (when you lose, you're bitter, trying to get over it), infatuation ( knew it was wrong but still tried to keep the order). So a trader with sustainable profits is usually quite mature in terms of emotions and personality.
. The bookie aka#Builderalways wins because they rely on probability & time - "I'm not afraid of you winning, I'm just afraid of you not playing" - 98% of#Tradersare amateurs, the top 2% are excellent and the rest are all are true#business#man aka #Investor, they look at the price line to find investment entries#follow#trend, they have#thesislogic, method system & capital division strategy to select very clear opportunities clarity & discipline.
——————
12 #MM #price #manipulate #probability #time
Tgram Channel - @TradingHacksWK
#Probability #BOB #FastenyourSeatBelts I am all in for $BOB . Let's check this Hypothesis! It grew a 2,5% Last days...
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🎯 Should you invest in a shitcoin or buy a raffle ticket?
Let's do the math… 💸🧠
📉 Betting that a shitcoin (token with no real utility) will go up 100x:
🔹 Probability: < 0.0001%
🔹 Risk: Total loss
🔹 Common outcome: “Rug pull” or project abandonment
🔹 Emotion: 10/10, but your wallet is crying 🥲
🎟️ Buying a number in a real raffle with guaranteed prize:
🔹 Example: 1 number out of 10,000
🔹 Probability: 0.01% per number
🔹 Risk: Minimal, you know what you can win
🔹 Outcome: Someone DOES get the prize 💰
🔹 Emotion: And hopefully, it's you!
💡 Conclusion:
You don’t need a memecoin with a flying dog name to change your luck.
Sometimes, a well-organized raffle makes more sense than a questionable investment. 🤷♂️
#Probability #REWARDS #latam #memecoin
Let's do the math… 💸🧠
📉 Betting that a shitcoin (token with no real utility) will go up 100x:
🔹 Probability: < 0.0001%
🔹 Risk: Total loss
🔹 Common outcome: “Rug pull” or project abandonment
🔹 Emotion: 10/10, but your wallet is crying 🥲
🎟️ Buying a number in a real raffle with guaranteed prize:
🔹 Example: 1 number out of 10,000
🔹 Probability: 0.01% per number
🔹 Risk: Minimal, you know what you can win
🔹 Outcome: Someone DOES get the prize 💰
🔹 Emotion: And hopefully, it's you!
💡 Conclusion:
You don’t need a memecoin with a flying dog name to change your luck.
Sometimes, a well-organized raffle makes more sense than a questionable investment. 🤷♂️
#Probability #REWARDS #latam #memecoin
Despite a strong #CPI number, the #probability of a #25bps rate cut remains low for the next #fomc #Meeting . 👇
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