cryptocycles

Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle model is one that gets a lot of attention every time the market starts moving through a phase of correction. And it’s not just hype – this model exists for a reason. Historically, Bitcoin’s cycles have shown an almost surprisingly consistent rhythm, making it a powerful tool for those watching for market trends.

📅 The Key to the 4-Year Cycle:

Roughly ~1400 days between major cycle peaks

After each peak, a deep retracement phase follows

The drawdown typically falls within the 75–85% range

Eventually, a new higher high follows the deep corrections

The cycle looks almost mechanical when you line up previous price action. Here’s a quick glance at how Bitcoin has reacted in past cycles:

🔹 2013 Peak: Prolonged correction, followed by expansion
🔹 2017 Peak: Similar pattern, ending in a new all-time high
🔹 2021 Peak: Entered a multi-year reset phase (sound familiar?)

So what happens next? Well, projections are forming around the idea of a bottom around $30K, using the same statistical rhythm. But is it that simple?

🤔 Cycles Don’t Copy – They Rhyme
While the 4-year framework is valuable, it’s not a price prediction model. The market has evolved over time with more institutional participation, changing liquidity sources, and greater influence from macroeconomic conditions. So, simply relying on past drawdowns doesn’t guarantee we’ll hit $30K exactly.

What really matters when looking for a market bottom are converging factors that go beyond any single price level. It’s about understanding when risk is compressing relative to long-term opportunities.

Here’s what you want to look for:

Long-term holders nearing cost pressure

Leverage resets in the market

Volatility compression after prolonged declines

Liquidity slowly returning to the market (instead of aggressive exits)

Sentiment shift from fear to indifference

These signals often mark the true bottom, and they usually show up before price action confirms it. It’s all about preparing, not guessing.

⏳ Patience > Prediction
When we look at Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle, it's more of a framework than a definitive price target. The idea of $30K isn’t set in stone — it’s a reference point derived from historical symmetry. In reality, price may undershoot, stabilize above, or even range for months before we see the next big move.

The key takeaway here: late-stage corrections are often only clear in hindsight. Your best move? Prepare before confirmation. 📉🚀

What the 4-Year Cycle Tells Us:
The purpose of studying cycles isn’t to predict exact bottoms; it’s about identifying when risk starts to compress and when opportunities become clear. The structure is there — now, it’s all about patience and preparation.

🔑 What’s Next for Bitcoin?
The next phase of Bitcoin’s cycle will reveal itself in time. The $30K bottom may be a zone worth watching, but remember, patience pays off more than rushing into predictions. With a solid understanding of the cycle, you’ll be ready to take advantage of the next major move in Bitcoin’s journey.

Get ready, the real opportunities often come when everyone else is in doubt. 💰📊

#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSDT #LongTermInvesting #CryptoCycles #BearMarket #PatienceIsKey
$BTC

#CryptoCycles $LINK #CryptoInsights🚀💰📉 $AVAX
🥺*** Today the market seems to be entering a phase of resignation, but we have not yet reached the total disinterest typical of a market bottom.
🤔*** There is still a lot of attempt to justify the drop and many people expecting a quick recovery. This shows that the market has not fully “accepted” the movement yet.
😤In the denial stage: First, people do not want to accept that we have definitely entered an extensive phase with a downward trend #bearmarket

The crypto market is now at a point where the structure is speaking, not the headlines.

On one side, the familiar cycle rhythm of Bitcoin.
On the other hand, the liquidity-capacity narrative regarding XRP.

The question is one:

👉 Are we in a transition phase?
Or is rebuilding still ongoing?

Let's analyze two narratives together.