🚨 WARNING: THE NEXT 12 HOURS WILL BE GIGA VOLATILE!
Two US events hit almost back to back.
Both can flip markets fast.
- Supreme Court tariff ruling
- 10:00 am ET
Polymarket is pricing about a 77% chance the Court nukes Trump’s tariffs.
If that happens, the market instantly starts thinking about refunds on the $600B+ Trump keeps talking about.
- US jobs data
- 8:30 am ET
Unemployment expectations: 4.5% vs 4.6% last.
If unemployment comes in higher, recession fear spikes.
If it comes in lower, rate cuts get pushed out even more.
So either way, it’s not clean.
Weak data = fear
Strong data = higher rates for longer
THIS IS THE TRAP.
Stocks whip.
Bond rates whip.
Crypto gets the violent move first because leverage gets cleaned first.
Manage risk. Don’t get liquidated into the headline.
#data $BTC $ETH