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đĄ Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fedâs rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrowâs Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cutâthe first in over a decadeâwhile a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
đş Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarterâs 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoinâs trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fedâs key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrowâs Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cutâthe first in over a decadeâwhile a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
đş Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarterâs 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoinâs trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fedâs key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
AlphaDropster:
Before every Fed decision comes fear and volatility.
The market watches the noise,
while the real moves quietly take shape.
Those who panic react.
Those who understand⌠wait.
See original
Musk announces that Twitter will launch cryptocurrency trading features.
Elon Musk's platform X has announced the launch of in-app Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading features.
The platform currently has about 700 million users, and this move could further promote the application and popularization of cryptocurrency assets on mainstream social platforms.
Will the tipping feature use DOGE?
#btc sol eth
Elon Musk's platform X has announced the launch of in-app Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading features.
The platform currently has about 700 million users, and this move could further promote the application and popularization of cryptocurrency assets on mainstream social platforms.
Will the tipping feature use DOGE?
#btc sol eth
See original
Many people still live in the past, believing that X doing cryptocurrency is merely a simple call to a swap function, ignoring the highly challenging transformation that app forms will undergo in the future.
Tech giants based on AI will venture into all industries. Do you think only X will do cryptocurrency? Or will X only do cryptocurrency? Functions such as payments, daily life, international trade, online shopping, and more will all take place within a super app in the future, completely transforming the entire traditional financial system.
X's ambition goes far beyond cryptocurrencyâit aims to reconstruct the fundamental logic of finance and daily life services. Whether it's X or other AI giants, what they are building won't be isolated applications, but a digital universe integrating social interaction, AI services, digital assets, e-commerce, and lifestyle services. In this universe, traditional bank accounts, payment apps, and even shopping software may be integrated into a more powerful 'smart terminal,' much like how feature phones were eventually replaced.
As AI's reasoning capabilities continue to improve, with sub-second information gathering speed and reasoning abilities far beyond human comprehension, every ordinary person's account could evolve into a super hedge fund, leveling the playing field for quantitative advantages.
And it won't just be XâOpenAI, Google, and other tech giants will also enter the arena. The underlying blockchain infrastructure will naturally benefit from these super giants, leading to the emergence of application-layer protocols running stably on-chain worth billions of dollars.
Living in the present is a highly romantic notion, but true life is about building the future.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Tech giants based on AI will venture into all industries. Do you think only X will do cryptocurrency? Or will X only do cryptocurrency? Functions such as payments, daily life, international trade, online shopping, and more will all take place within a super app in the future, completely transforming the entire traditional financial system.
X's ambition goes far beyond cryptocurrencyâit aims to reconstruct the fundamental logic of finance and daily life services. Whether it's X or other AI giants, what they are building won't be isolated applications, but a digital universe integrating social interaction, AI services, digital assets, e-commerce, and lifestyle services. In this universe, traditional bank accounts, payment apps, and even shopping software may be integrated into a more powerful 'smart terminal,' much like how feature phones were eventually replaced.
As AI's reasoning capabilities continue to improve, with sub-second information gathering speed and reasoning abilities far beyond human comprehension, every ordinary person's account could evolve into a super hedge fund, leveling the playing field for quantitative advantages.
And it won't just be XâOpenAI, Google, and other tech giants will also enter the arena. The underlying blockchain infrastructure will naturally benefit from these super giants, leading to the emergence of application-layer protocols running stably on-chain worth billions of dollars.
Living in the present is a highly romantic notion, but true life is about building the future.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
See original
X has 1 billion users and is officially entering the cryptocurrency trading market. Personally, I believe the exchange model today is different from what most people imagine. X tends to integrate wallet functionality, directly retrieving protocol layer operations from the blockchain to complete transactions. DEX trading volume will soon surpass the total of all CEXs combined. This is how the world is, and it's entering a phase of extremely rapid acceleration.
In the future, CEXs will be the least valuable. Major giants will all enter the new financial domain. Web2 giants must carry the next-generation financial systemâa long-term and irreversible trend.
So I've always wondered why CEXs are still fighting among themselves, engaging in internal competition, lacking fun, and showing such short-sightedness.
A large number of application-layer protocols will experience explosive value growth when Web2 giants open their interfaces. Soon, we will see chain-based application-layer protocols reach market valuations in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Time will prove who are the true Web3 natives, OOo
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
In the future, CEXs will be the least valuable. Major giants will all enter the new financial domain. Web2 giants must carry the next-generation financial systemâa long-term and irreversible trend.
So I've always wondered why CEXs are still fighting among themselves, engaging in internal competition, lacking fun, and showing such short-sightedness.
A large number of application-layer protocols will experience explosive value growth when Web2 giants open their interfaces. Soon, we will see chain-based application-layer protocols reach market valuations in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Time will prove who are the true Web3 natives, OOo
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
ć˘ĺĽ1:
ĺŞä¸Şĺşç¨
See original
đ¨ THE BITFINEX WHALES ARE QUICKLY CLOSING THEIR LONG POSITIONS IN $BTC
The last time this happened:
- Bitcoin surged by +50% in just 43 days
- A new all-time high was set (74,000$ â 112,000$)
Whales don't exit because they're bearish.
They exit to re-enter at lower prices.
This is a SIGNAL.
Most will only understand it after the price explodes. đ
#btc #bitcoin
The last time this happened:
- Bitcoin surged by +50% in just 43 days
- A new all-time high was set (74,000$ â 112,000$)
Whales don't exit because they're bearish.
They exit to re-enter at lower prices.
This is a SIGNAL.
Most will only understand it after the price explodes. đ
#btc #bitcoin
$BTC Update: The Sunday Fakeout
Bitcoin just printed a textbook bear trap. After lulling traders to sleep all weekend, bears pushed price to 90.2k, sweeping liquidity below Saturday's lows.
That move was instantly rejected.
Key Technicals:
- 90,236 low (Liquidity Grab).
- Clean high-volume breach of 91,200.
- Price Discovery mode above 92k.
Institutional volume has returned for the Monday open. If you're not in, don't chase the green candle. Look for the backtest of 91,400 as support. If 91k holds, 94k is programmed.
#btc #breakouts
Bitcoin just printed a textbook bear trap. After lulling traders to sleep all weekend, bears pushed price to 90.2k, sweeping liquidity below Saturday's lows.
That move was instantly rejected.
Key Technicals:
- 90,236 low (Liquidity Grab).
- Clean high-volume breach of 91,200.
- Price Discovery mode above 92k.
Institutional volume has returned for the Monday open. If you're not in, don't chase the green candle. Look for the backtest of 91,400 as support. If 91k holds, 94k is programmed.
#btc #breakouts
ZECUSDT
Perp
3X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
-43.00%
Listen carefully everyone .. Bitcoin Pump loading âźď¸
Long $BTC at cmp đđĽ
âžEntry: 92,050 â 91,650
âžDCA: 91,300 â 91,050
âŚď¸Stop Loss: 89,900
đŻTargets
đ 92,600
đ 93,350
đ 94,400
Trail upto 95,900 â 96,200
Click here and buy in spot đ$BTC
$SOL and #ETH will retrace Bitcoin
Click below and long now đđđ
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #ZTCBinanceTGE #btc #BTCpredictions
Long $BTC at cmp đđĽ
âžEntry: 92,050 â 91,650
âžDCA: 91,300 â 91,050
âŚď¸Stop Loss: 89,900
đŻTargets
đ 92,600
đ 93,350
đ 94,400
Trail upto 95,900 â 96,200
Click here and buy in spot đ$BTC
$SOL and #ETH will retrace Bitcoin
Click below and long now đđđ
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #ZTCBinanceTGE #btc #BTCpredictions
See original
Nikita Bier, product lead for Musk's X platform, recently confirmed that the platform is launching an 'intelligent cash tag' feature, marking X's official transition from a passive market commentary platform to a financial portal capable of real-time tracking and even trading stocks and cryptocurrencies. This is undoubtedly a milestone in Musk's journey toward building the 'X Super App'.
Do you remember the earlier prediction that Twitter would soon evolve into a super app, entering financial domains like cryptocurrency, especially given the massive costs of AI development? Training cutting-edge large models requires astronomical computing power and hardware costs, making reliance on social advertising revenue alone insufficient to sustain such a high-stakes arms race.
To Musk, the cryptocurrency sector is one of the most cash-rich and high-margin segments. Integrating it into the X ecosystem can provide continuous 'ammunition' for xAI. By embedding financial transactions directly into social media, Musk is attempting to use X as a launchpad to build a blockchain-based super empire.
In the future, blockchain-based applications with long-term stable operation will become the most valuable crypto assets.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Do you remember the earlier prediction that Twitter would soon evolve into a super app, entering financial domains like cryptocurrency, especially given the massive costs of AI development? Training cutting-edge large models requires astronomical computing power and hardware costs, making reliance on social advertising revenue alone insufficient to sustain such a high-stakes arms race.
To Musk, the cryptocurrency sector is one of the most cash-rich and high-margin segments. Integrating it into the X ecosystem can provide continuous 'ammunition' for xAI. By embedding financial transactions directly into social media, Musk is attempting to use X as a launchpad to build a blockchain-based super empire.
In the future, blockchain-based applications with long-term stable operation will become the most valuable crypto assets.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
See original
Up 101500!!! No reason at all $BTC #btc
BTCUSDT
Perp
90X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+538.11USDT
See original
will btc reach 88 to close the gap?
#btc
#btc
BTCUSDT
Perp
10X
Opening Short
Unrealized PNL
+3,221.94USDT
#btc
Shorts Are Building Above BTC Price đ
$BTC liquidation heatmap shows heavy liquidity stacked above current price.
Long liquidations near 88K exist, but short risk dominates.
If price pushes higher, forced short covering could accelerate upside.
Are shorts about to get trapped? đ¤
#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketStructure
Shorts Are Building Above BTC Price đ
$BTC liquidation heatmap shows heavy liquidity stacked above current price.
Long liquidations near 88K exist, but short risk dominates.
If price pushes higher, forced short covering could accelerate upside.
Are shorts about to get trapped? đ¤
#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketStructure
See original
The recurring pattern in the years 2013, 2017, and 2021 indicates an increase of 300 thousand dollars âŚâŞ$BTC âŹâŠ đ
#btc
#btc
See original
đTrump stated that the current financial system has run its course, and a new era based on cryptocurrencies is ahead.
According to him, finance is fully moving on-chain, and blockchain is becoming its foundation.
This is a strong bullish signal for the crypto market đ
$BTC #btc
According to him, finance is fully moving on-chain, and blockchain is becoming its foundation.
This is a strong bullish signal for the crypto market đ
$BTC #btc
See original
Will It Be True? đąđąđą
Will It Be False? đ¤đ¤đ¤đ¤
I think this is the last chance to accumulate 1 Bitcoin," warns analyst
An analyst claims that accumulating 1 Bitcoin will become increasingly difficult.
Current prices and institutional adoption are reducing access for retail investors.
The DCA strategy emerges as a gradual approach in a demanding market.
The idea of accumulating 1 Bitcoin returns to the center of debate following a warning from a recognized crypto market analyst. In a context where BTC's price trades above $91,000, some experts argue this goal could be out of reach for many participants in upcoming cycles.
#ZTCBinanceTGE
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
#USTradeDeficitShrink
#btc
$BTC
$ETH
Will It Be False? đ¤đ¤đ¤đ¤
I think this is the last chance to accumulate 1 Bitcoin," warns analyst
An analyst claims that accumulating 1 Bitcoin will become increasingly difficult.
Current prices and institutional adoption are reducing access for retail investors.
The DCA strategy emerges as a gradual approach in a demanding market.
The idea of accumulating 1 Bitcoin returns to the center of debate following a warning from a recognized crypto market analyst. In a context where BTC's price trades above $91,000, some experts argue this goal could be out of reach for many participants in upcoming cycles.
#ZTCBinanceTGE
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
#USTradeDeficitShrink
#btc
$BTC
$ETH
See original
Bitcoin Goes Public on Nasdaq: How Cryptocurrency Is Integrating Into the Traditional Stock Market
The integration of Bitcoin into the Nasdaq ecosystem marks a qualitative shift in the relationship between the cryptocurrency market and traditional finance. This is not about directly listing BTC as a stock, but rather about developing infrastructure around exchange-traded funds (ETFs), derivatives, index products, and analytical services that make Bitcoin accessible to institutional and conservative investors within the familiar stock market environment.
See original
We talk today about Bitcoin
Bitcoin completed five waves from the bottom of December 2018 and ended its five waves at the peak of November 2021, thus forming one major wave. Following that, correction waves ended at 78% Fibonacci levels at the bottom of December 2022, forming the second major wave. Then it resumed upward to levels of 161% Fibonacci, which is likely the target of wave 3. Its peak was reached in October 2025 and has not been surpassed yet. Since it completed the major wave 3, it corrected, and its correction waves were completed with a visit to 80,600 in November 2025, at the commonly accepted 38% Fibonacci correction level for wave 4. It is now starting its fifth impulse wave, which could reach levels of 190,000 and above, provided the bottom of 80,600âthe starting point of wave 4 constructionâis not broken.
The nature and character of the fifth wave are typically more aggressive and bullish. It is currently forming a minor wave 1 within the major wave 5 of Bitcoin, under the condition that the price does not trade below the lowest price at which the construction began, which is 80,600. Therefore, we expect Bitcoin to reach around 190,000 by the end of 2026.
In the short term, its correction wave could reach between 86,500 and 86,000 in that region. $BTC
#btc
#elliottwaves
Bitcoin completed five waves from the bottom of December 2018 and ended its five waves at the peak of November 2021, thus forming one major wave. Following that, correction waves ended at 78% Fibonacci levels at the bottom of December 2022, forming the second major wave. Then it resumed upward to levels of 161% Fibonacci, which is likely the target of wave 3. Its peak was reached in October 2025 and has not been surpassed yet. Since it completed the major wave 3, it corrected, and its correction waves were completed with a visit to 80,600 in November 2025, at the commonly accepted 38% Fibonacci correction level for wave 4. It is now starting its fifth impulse wave, which could reach levels of 190,000 and above, provided the bottom of 80,600âthe starting point of wave 4 constructionâis not broken.
The nature and character of the fifth wave are typically more aggressive and bullish. It is currently forming a minor wave 1 within the major wave 5 of Bitcoin, under the condition that the price does not trade below the lowest price at which the construction began, which is 80,600. Therefore, we expect Bitcoin to reach around 190,000 by the end of 2026.
In the short term, its correction wave could reach between 86,500 and 86,000 in that region. $BTC
#btc
#elliottwaves
See original
Wells Fargo announces that it will use 2 trillion #btc as loan collateral, causing a surge in Bitcoin and the entire crypto market. $BTC
Janney:
ä˝ é˝çĽéäşďźĺŽĺ´čżć˛Ąćś¨ďźçĺĽćŞă
Bitcoinâs Mid-Life Crisis: The January 2026 Edition đđ¤Ą
Welcome to the second week of January 2026, where Bitcoin is currently acting like a teenager who can't decide if they want to move out or stay in the basement forever. We are officially in the "Fragile Range," and the vibes are giving major early-2022 energy (and not the good kind).
The Current "Roommates" (Price Levels)
The Overbearing Parent ($102.7k): This is the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis. Itâs the level where the "new money" is breaking even. Right now, itâs looking down at us from the top of the stairs, judging our life choices. Until we reclaim this, weâre grounded.
The "Cool" Older Sibling ($95k): Our 0.75 Quantile. If we can just hang out here, everything feels fine. Currently, though, Bitcoin is "reading our texts" and refusing to come outside.
The Rock Bottom ($81.3k): The True Market Mean. This is the absolute floor where the market finds its "truth." Itâs basically the "sleeping on the couch at your friend's place" price. Unless a macro meteor hits, we likely won't fall below this.
Why Is Everyone Crying?
The on-chain data looks like a group chat after a bad breakup. Demand is thinning out faster than a tech broâs hairline, and the derivatives market is being so cautious youâd think theyâre trading with their grandma's inheritance.
UNDERWATER VIBES: Unrealized losses are expanding. Translation: A lot of people bought at $100k+ and are currently staring at their screens, whispering "It's a long-term hedge" while crying into their ramen.
THE ELDERS ARE LEAVING: Long-term investors (the "Diamond Hands") are actually spending. When the people who survived 2014 start selling, you know the vibes are... let's call them "spicy."
MACRO CHAOS: Between the US-Venezuela drama and the US dollar acting like it owns the place, Bitcoin is stuck in the middle like the middle child nobody asked for.
So, The TL;DR Prediction: "The Forced Nap" đ´đ
Unless Bitcoin finds a sudden burst of confidence and parkours back over $95k, we are probably headed for a hot date with the $81.3k floor
Think of it this way:
$95k is the "Cool Kids Table" at lunch.
$102.7k is the "Manager's Office" where everyone is currently being lectured.
$81.3k is the "Comfortable Sofa" in your parents' basement.
Itâs not a market crash; itâs just Bitcoin deciding to take a "heavily enforced nap" while it waits for the world to stop being weird. If it can't handle the stairs back to $95k, itâs just going to lie down on that $81k rug and refuse to move until somebody brings it some snacks (liquidity).
In short: No $95k = No party. Grab a blanket, weâre heading to the floor. đđ°
Would you like me to ping you if we officially "hit the rug" at $81.3k, or should I watch for a sudden sprint back toward $95k?
#btc $BTC
The Current "Roommates" (Price Levels)
The Overbearing Parent ($102.7k): This is the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis. Itâs the level where the "new money" is breaking even. Right now, itâs looking down at us from the top of the stairs, judging our life choices. Until we reclaim this, weâre grounded.
The "Cool" Older Sibling ($95k): Our 0.75 Quantile. If we can just hang out here, everything feels fine. Currently, though, Bitcoin is "reading our texts" and refusing to come outside.
The Rock Bottom ($81.3k): The True Market Mean. This is the absolute floor where the market finds its "truth." Itâs basically the "sleeping on the couch at your friend's place" price. Unless a macro meteor hits, we likely won't fall below this.
Why Is Everyone Crying?
The on-chain data looks like a group chat after a bad breakup. Demand is thinning out faster than a tech broâs hairline, and the derivatives market is being so cautious youâd think theyâre trading with their grandma's inheritance.
UNDERWATER VIBES: Unrealized losses are expanding. Translation: A lot of people bought at $100k+ and are currently staring at their screens, whispering "It's a long-term hedge" while crying into their ramen.
THE ELDERS ARE LEAVING: Long-term investors (the "Diamond Hands") are actually spending. When the people who survived 2014 start selling, you know the vibes are... let's call them "spicy."
MACRO CHAOS: Between the US-Venezuela drama and the US dollar acting like it owns the place, Bitcoin is stuck in the middle like the middle child nobody asked for.
So, The TL;DR Prediction: "The Forced Nap" đ´đ
Unless Bitcoin finds a sudden burst of confidence and parkours back over $95k, we are probably headed for a hot date with the $81.3k floor
Think of it this way:
$95k is the "Cool Kids Table" at lunch.
$102.7k is the "Manager's Office" where everyone is currently being lectured.
$81.3k is the "Comfortable Sofa" in your parents' basement.
Itâs not a market crash; itâs just Bitcoin deciding to take a "heavily enforced nap" while it waits for the world to stop being weird. If it can't handle the stairs back to $95k, itâs just going to lie down on that $81k rug and refuse to move until somebody brings it some snacks (liquidity).
In short: No $95k = No party. Grab a blanket, weâre heading to the floor. đđ°
Would you like me to ping you if we officially "hit the rug" at $81.3k, or should I watch for a sudden sprint back toward $95k?
#btc $BTC
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