pce

#USNonFarmPayrollReport
The latest U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for December 2025 shows a labor market that is cooling — a key development for traders watching interest rates, the U.S. dollar, and crypto markets.

🔍 What happened?
The U.S. economy added 50,000 jobs in December, well below market expectations. While hiring slowed, the unemployment rate dipped to 4.4%, showing that layoffs remain low and the labor market is not collapsing.
Job growth was led by healthcare, leisure, and social services, while retail, construction, and manufacturing saw weakness. This suggests businesses are becoming more cautious as economic growth slows.
📉 Why markets care
The NFP report is one of the most important indicators the Federal Reserve watches when setting interest rates.
Slower hiring:
• Reduces inflation pressure
• Increases the chance the Fed will pause or cut rates
• Supports risk-on assets like stocks and crypto

When interest rates stop rising, liquidity tends to flow back into Bitcoin, altcoins, and equities as investors look for higher-return opportunities.
📊 What it means for crypto
A cooling labor market strengthens the narrative that:
• The Fed is near the end of its tightening cycle
• Monetary conditions could become more supportive in 2026
• Bitcoin and digital assets benefit when real yields fall and the U.S. dollar weakens
This is why softer economic data is often seen as bullish for crypto.
🔎 What traders should watch next

Markets will now focus on:
• Inflation data (#CPIWatch & #PCE )
• Federal Reserve statements
• The next #USNonFarmPayrollReport release in February
These will determine whether the Fed moves toward rate cuts — a major catalyst for global markets.
🧠 Bottom line
The U.S. job market is slowing, but it’s not breaking. That puts the Fed in a position to become more flexible, which is typically positive for $BTC , $ALT , and risk assets.
Stay tuned — macro data is becoming one of the biggest drivers of crypto in 2026.

Tuần này, thị trường tài chính và crypto sẽ theo dõi sát các dữ liệu kinh tế quan trọng từ Mỹ, đặc biệt là lạm phát PCE – chỉ số mà Cục Dự trữ Liên bang (Fed) ưu tiên để đánh giá chính sách tiền tệ.

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🗓️ Lịch Sự Kiện Kinh Tế (Theo Giờ Mỹ)

🔹 Thứ Hai, 24/03

• Chỉ số #PMI sơ bộ của S&P cho lĩnh vực dịch vụ & sản xuất tại Mỹ.

🔹 Thứ Ba, 25/03

• Chỉ số giá nhà S&P Case-Shiller (theo dõi xu hướng thị trường bất động sản).

🔹 Thứ Tư, 26/03

• Chủ tịch Fed khu vực St. Louis, Alberto Musalem, phát biểu.

🔹 Thứ Năm, 27/03

• Số đơn xin trợ cấp thất nghiệp lần đầu tại Mỹ (Dự báo: 226.000 | Trước đó: 223.000).

• Chủ tịch Fed khu vực Richmond, Tom Barkin, phát biểu.

🔹 Thứ Sáu, 28/03

• Dữ liệu lạm phát PCE của Mỹ (Dự báo: 2,5% | Trước đó: 2,5%).

• Dữ liệu core #PCE (Dự báo: 2,7% | Trước đó: 2,6%).

• Quyết định lãi suất của Mexico (dự kiến giảm 0,5%).


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📊 Ảnh Hưởng Đến Thị Trường Tiền Điện Tử

✅ Lạm phát PCE – Yếu tố quyết định chính sách Fed:

• Nếu PCE giảm, Fed có thể nới lỏng chính sách tiền tệ, thúc đẩy dòng vốn vào crypto và chứng khoán.

• Ngược lại, nếu PCE cao hơn dự kiến, Fed có thể duy trì lãi suất cao lâu hơn, gây áp lực lên Bitcoin & Altcoin.

✅ Chỉ số thất nghiệp & PMI – Sức khỏe kinh tế Mỹ:

• Thị trường lao động yếu có thể khiến Fed cân nhắc giảm lãi suất sớm hơn, hỗ trợ tài sản rủi ro như crypto.

• Nếu PMI và việc làm tốt, Fed có thể tiếp tục duy trì chính sách thắt chặt.

✅ Chỉ số giá nhà – Tác động đến niềm tin đầu tư:

• Nếu giá nhà Mỹ tiếp tục tăng cao, dòng vốn có thể bị hút vào bất động sản thay vì crypto.

✅ Quyết định lãi suất của Mexico – Ảnh hưởng đến dòng vốn toàn cầu:

• Nếu Mexico giảm lãi suất, các nước khác có thể làm theo, hỗ trợ thị trường tài sản rủi ro.

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⚠️ Cảnh Báo Rủi Ro

Mặc dù các dữ liệu kinh tế có thể ảnh hưởng đến thị trường crypto, nhưng thị trường tiền điện tử luôn có biến động lớn và bị tác động bởi nhiều yếu tố khác như quy định pháp lý, tâm lý nhà đầu tư và thanh khoản toàn cầu.

📉 Nhà đầu tư nên thận trọng trước các biến động mạnh quanh thời điểm công bố dữ liệu quan trọng, đặc biệt là PCE và phát biểu của Fed, vì đây có thể là chất xúc tác lớn cho giá Bitcoin và Altcoin.

Crypto traders are closely monitoring the PCE inflation report set to be released tomorrow, as data that is cooler than anticipated may create a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency market.

This report, which is a crucial indicator for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, has historically impacted the crypto sector.

Investors will pay particular attention to the March figures for indications regarding possible interest rate changes that could influence liquidity and investment trends in financial markets.
Projected PCE inflation for March
Market forecasts for the upcoming PCE inflation report suggest a possible reduction in inflationary pressures.

Data from MarketWatch indicates that the core PCE inflation rate for March is anticipated to be 2.6%, reflecting a decline from February's 2.8% figure, which had previously increased from January's 2.7% rate.

Furthermore, the overall PCE inflation, which encompasses food and energy prices, is projected to experience a more significant drop, with year-over-year PCE inflation expected to be 2.2% for March, down from 2.5% in February.

The projections suggest that inflation is slowly approaching the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2%, although it remains above this level.

This slowdown in price increases comes after several months of inconsistent inflation data, complicating the Fed's decisions regarding interest rates.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index is crucial as it serves as the Federal Reserve's main tool for assessing inflation.

It offers a more comprehensive perspective on price movements in the economy compared to the more commonly known Consumer Price Index (CPI).

The core PCE excludes the fluctuating prices of food and energy to present a clearer picture of the fundamental inflation trend.
How would that affect the crypto market?
Should the core PCE inflation rate be recorded at 2.6% and the headline PCE at 2.2%, it is likely that the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin, would react favorably.

Diminished inflation figures would enhance the likelihood of the Federal Reserve adopting a more lenient monetary policy, potentially resulting in interest rate cuts later in the year.

Lower interest rates tend to favor riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies for several reasons.

Firstly, they diminish the appeal of traditional return-generating investments like bonds and savings accounts, prompting investors to seek out riskier, potentially higher-yielding assets such as Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

Secondly, a more accommodating monetary policy injects additional liquidity into the financial system, some of which may flow into cryptocurrency markets.

If the market trends align with this scenario, Robert Kiyosaki's prediction of a $200,000 Bitcoin price could materialize.


Furthermore, if PCE figures fall below expectations (specifically below 2.6% for core PCE), this could trigger an even more favorable reaction in cryptocurrency markets, reinforcing the case for earlier and more substantial interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve.

Analyst Will Meade echoed this sentiment, suggesting via Twitter that a lower-than-expected PCE inflation rate could lead to a surge in stock prices, which would also likely benefit cryptocurrency valuations.

On the other hand, should inflation be more enduring than expected and surpass the 2.6% forecast, it may lead to a decline in cryptocurrency prices.

#CryptoMarkets #PCE #MarketSentimentToday #Market_Update #CryptoNewss