$BTC Bitcoin (
$BTC ) has officially shifted into a downtrend, and history may be repeating itself once again.
๐ฐ BTC Price: $76,087
๐ 24H Change: โ2.85%
๐ Why the 4-Year BTC Cycle Still Matters
In my view, Bitcoinโs famous 4-year cycle is still very much alive, driven by one key event: the Halving โ๏ธ
๐น Every halving reduces new BTC supply
๐น Reduced supply creates long-term scarcity
๐น Scarcity historically leads to a strong bull run
๐น After the peak โ a deep corrective downtrend
๐ Historical Proof (No Emotions, Just Data)
โ
2012 Halving โ 2013 BTC Peak โ 2014 Major Downtrend
โ
2016 Halving โ 2017 BTC Peak โ 2018 Bear Market
โ
2020 Halving โ 2021 BTC Peak โ 2022 Crash
โ
2024 Halving โ 2025 BTC Peak at $126K ๐
โก๏ธ 2026 โ BTC breaks the uptrend & enters decline โ
History doesnโt repeat exactly โ but it rhymes ๐ต
๐ง โETFs Changed Everythingโโฆ Or Did They?
Many believe Bitcoin ETFs have killed the 4-year cycle.
๐ก My take:
The cycle still exists โ but volatility may be softer than past crashes.
Institutional money may reduce extremes, not remove cycles.
โ ๏ธ What Traders Should Do Now
๐ซ Avoid chasing short-term pumps
๐ Temporary bounces โ trend reversal
๐ฐ๏ธ Deeper downside is still possible in 2026
๐ฏ Smart money waits for true accumulation zones
Patience > Emotion.
๐งฉ Final Thoughts
๐ In my opinion, BTCโs downtrend is already confirmed in 2026 โ something I forecasted back in late 2025.
๐ The market now rewards discipline, risk management, and patience.
๐ฌ Question for You:
Do you believe Bitcoin has officially entered a new downtrend, or is this just another shakeout before the next rally? ๐๐
๐ Drop your thoughts in the comments!
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