🔥JPMorgan's major statement: The AI panic sell-off is nearing its end, and the software stock bottom-fishing window has opened!
The AI panic tide of "sell first, ask questions later" is finally coming to an end!
JPMorgan's trading desk latest report on February 17 states: The market's extreme fear of "AI replacement" is close to its end, and the oversold software stocks are about to rebound.
📊 Key data reveals extreme divergence:
• The semiconductor sector's position crowding has reached +4 times standard deviation (+4z)
• The software sector's position is deep in -3.5 times standard deviation (-3.5z)
• The position difference between these two industries has reached a historical extreme
🔍 Which fields are overly panicked?
1. Wealth management: Underestimating the core value of "interpersonal relationships," AI becomes a tool to enhance profit margins
2. Logistics and transportation: AI struggles to overcome physical integration barriers, with excessive panic about "disintermediation"
3. Japanese IT services: Under a talent shortage structure, AI becomes a powerful tool to alleviate outsourcing pressures
💎 Fields truly facing risks:
The life sciences tools sector—pharmaceutical clients using AI to enhance productivity may reduce the demand for outsourcing, which is one of the few sectors where negative AI logic may hold.
🎯 Strategies being executed by JPMorgan:
• Long positions: Oversold software stocks that are immune to AI disruptions
• Bets: Large tech stocks rebounding
• Hedging: Geopolitical risks (long positions in oil/energy stocks) + momentum risks (shorting momentum factors)
Core theme: Continuously optimistic about AI/TMT, global growth restart, and the US dollar depreciation trade.
The bottom-fishing moment has quietly begun. How far do you think this rebound can go? Let’s talk in the comments!
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