Confirmed: U.S. Government Shutdown Is Now Underway
It’s no longer speculation—the U.S. government has officially shut down. This isn’t just headline noise anymore. We’ve moved from “if” to “now.”
Polymarket odds reflected the sudden shift in sentiment, spiking hard to 84% just before the confirmation hit. That kind of move on a prediction market doesn’t happen without serious momentum behind it. Traders clearly saw something shift in real time.
This isn’t just a political story. It’s a market story too. Federal workers face furloughs or delayed pay, government services begin to pause, and economic uncertainty gets another layer of friction it really didn’t need. Historically, shutdowns don’t always tank markets outright, but they introduce volatility—and right now, sentiment is fragile enough that this could add meaningful pressure.
What’s different this time? We’re coming off a period where rate expectations and inflation data have already kept investors on edge. A shutdown injects fresh chaos into an already twitchy system. It also delays key economic data releases, which means the Fed and markets will be flying a bit more blind until funding is restored.
We’ll be watching how long this lasts—and how risk assets respond when trading opens.
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