$BTC The bullish leg on the left is already confirmed, but everything that follows the breakdown zone is a forward-looking scenario built on structure and historical behavior, not on execution.
The premise of the projection is that the higher-timeframe uptrend has transitioned into distribution. Price has lost the ability to sustain higher highs, and rallies are becoming less efficient, which opens the door for a broader corrective or bearish phase. However, that phase has not fully played out yet.
The consolidation area after the initial breakdown is a key decision zone. If price accepts below this range, downside expansion becomes structurally valid. If not, the bearish scenario is delayed or invalidated, and the market may re-enter a broader range or form a different continuation.
The lower consolidation and subsequent recovery shown are not predictions of timing or magnitude. They represent one possible resolution path based on how markets typically unwind after a distribution phase.
This framework should be read as a conditional roadmap, not a forecast. It defines what becomes likely only if specific structural conditions are met.