fomcwatch

#PPI #CPIWatch

WHAT DOES PPI MEAN?
PPI stands for Producer Price Index which measures price changes at the producer level, not what consumers pay. It tracks how much businesses receive for their goods and services before those goods reach retailers or end users.
Think of it as inflation at the factory gate.
If CPI answers “How expensive is life getting for consumers?”, PPI answers “How expensive is it getting to produce stuff?”
PPI is where everything beginning before we reach CPI data so as to guage what will happen to the CPI data.
TYPES OF PPI DATA
Core PPI vs Headline PPI
Headline PPI includes everything, especially volatile items like energy and food.
Core PPI removes food and energy to show underlying inflation trends.
Markets care more about core PPI because it reflects persistent inflation, not short-term noise.
EFFECT OF PPI ON CRYPTO MARKET
PPI does not move crypto by itself. Expectations do. PPI matters only because of what it does to inflation and rate bets.
THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM
PPI → Inflation expectations → Interest rate expectations → Liquidity → Crypto
Break any link and the reaction changes.
When PPI comes in HOT (higher than expected)
What it signals:
Rising producer costsInflation pressure building upstreamHigher chance CPI stays elevated
Impact on crypto:
Short-term risk-offBTC and alts often dipHigh-beta alts get hit hardest
When PPI comes in COOL (lower than expected)
What it signals:
Producer cost pressure is easingInflation trend may cool aheadCentral banks get policy flexibility
Impact on crypto:
Risk-on toneBTC usually reacts firstAlts follow if the move sticks
This is why soft PPI prints often lead to fast green candles.
ONE-LINE TAKEAWAY
PPI affects crypto by shaping inflation and rate expectations. If it points to tighter policy, crypto suffers. If it points to easier policy, crypto benefits.
PPI is a macro compass, not a buy or sell button.
ALWAYS UNDERSTAND THE DATA BEFORE MARKING MARKET DECISIONS!!
#FOMCWatch #Write2Earn