With all the new token launches going to zero, principles to remember • A good project doesn't mean a good token • A project has 2 products: the product and the token • Project with revenue doesn't necessarily benefit token holders • Big names in the cap table + fomo-ed fundraising doesn't mean the token does well • Good product + narrative > tokenomics • Exchange listings are not catalysts anymore • Publicly published tokenomics information does not mean shit (if I have to explain to you...) • Low float + sky-high FDV ≠ real demand
What matters • Founders who pay attention to both the product and token • Teams who pay attention to a proper token launch (float, MMs, liquidity, CEX negotiations) • Founders that understand marketing, narrative, western + Asian GTM, KOL strategies • Founders that bother with IR and actively pitch to funds post TGE • Token flywheel, sinks and utility • Direct value-capture loop (fees, burns, buybacks) from the business • Effective community building • Low token inflation (token unlocks)
Robots are leaving the lab and coming on-chain. From @reborn_agi's “full-stack physical-AI enabler” to @PrismaXai “AWS for robot data".
I mapped 5 projects trying to own the machine economy, and possibly the trust gaps no one has solved yet.
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1. Market topology Infrastructure rails: @PrismaXai (data-validation & tele-op hub) and @reborn_agi (Humanoid Data Platform) are racing to become the “AWS + Unreal Engine” of embodied AI (we love this term now over "robotics").
Community-first flywheels: whereas the likes of @frodobots (@BitRobotNetwork + @SamIsMoving) and @xmaquinaDAO are playing more towards the retail co-ownership narratives (memes, DAO treasuries) to bootstrap robotic fleets.
Open collaboration layer: @openmind_agi positions itself as an OSS runtime + P2P network that any robotics project can plug into, using blockchain rails and natural-language buses for alignment.
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2. Competitive edges • Reborn AGI: hardware + sim moat • PrismaXAI: data is king; scale governance to oversee crowdsourced validators • Frodobots: viral growth, but hardware margins and safety liabilities (city regulations) loom • XMAQUINA: treasury diversification hedges risk, yet DAO execution (strategies/investments) will be decisive • OpenMind: wins mind-share with “shared intelligence” ethos, lowering integration friction via connectors
Projects still need to solve: • On-chain liability cover, safety scoring or compliance attestation • Inter-network liquidity and interoperability • Real revenue verticals
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Seeing a lot of narrative plays and demos online and at @superai_conf but the robotics-crypto stack is definitely maturing to (crypto) economic primitives.
With OpenMind adding an open runtime & identity fabric, the next breakthrough will come from whoever secures trust, liquidity and interoperability across these robotic fleets.
CEXes nehmen endlich Notiz und werden genehmigungsfrei: @coinbase, @binance und @Bybit_Official haben gerade einen "CEX-on-chain" Markt erobert: • Coinbase: DEX-Handel + Verifizierte Pools • Binance: Binance Alpha (kuratierte + sandboxed Tokens) • Bybit: Byreal RFQ+CLMM
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1. Coinbase | DEX-Handel + Verifizierte Pools • @base-native Routing für alle On-Chain-Token, umhüllt mit KYC-verifizierten Pools, die Institutionen tatsächlich berühren können. • Breite der DeFi + TradFi Regulierungsstandards, alles innerhalb der App, die Millionen bereits nutzen
2. Binance | Binance Alpha • Eine kuratierte Sandbox von frühen On-Chain-Token (über Ethereum, BSC, Solana, Sui, Sonic) • Entdeckungsplattform, auf der Nutzer diese kaufen können, ohne die Binance-App zu verlassen • Pre-Listing-Spotlight, da einige Tokens zu einer ordentlichen Spot-Listung aufsteigen werden
3. Bybit | Byreal • @solana-powered RFQ + CLMM-Router, der entwickelt wurde, um CEX-Spreads On-Chain zu replizieren • Fair-Launch-Vaults und Ertragslayer, die von Tag eins an eingebaut sind, um Kapital zu binden
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Abschluss Diese zeigen, wie sich CEXes anpassen: • Lösungen bauen, um CeFi und On-Chain-DeFi zu überbrücken • Verifizierungs-/Vertrauensschichten zu DeFi hinzufügen (häufige Bedenken für die meisten, insbesondere Hacks und Rug Pulls) --> Menschen On-Chain innerhalb des Komforts einer Web2-App bringen • Hybride Lösungen, die ihren Markenruf nutzen, während sie ihrer aktuellen Nutzerbasis zugutekommen • Können die Volumina und den Schwung, den @HyperliquidX hat, nicht ignorieren • Hält sich an die Internet Capital Market Thesis: Dezentralisierte, genehmigungsfreie Marktplätze, in denen Kapital direkt zu Bauherren, Kreativen und Ideen fließt --> das wird sofort und global sein • Token-Preisfindung findet On-Chain statt (sehen Sie sich einfach Ihre Memes, AI-Tokens an)
Bauer benötigen On-Chain-Schienen, um auffindbar zu bleiben; Händler benötigen sie, um liquide zu bleiben.
Statt das Wachstum von DeFi zu bekämpfen, positionieren sie sich als (potenzielle) Tore zum ständig wachsenden On-Chain-Ökosystem.
1. Die @wardenprotocol Thesis • Verifizierbare KI auf der Basisebene: ermöglicht Smart Contracts, Black-Box-Modelle aufzurufen und die Integrität ohne ZK- oder TEE-Überhead zu beweisen • Intent-zentrierte UX + Any-Chain-Reichweite: Asynchrone verifizierbare Ressourcen verwandeln jede API oder Blockchain in ein aufrufbares Element, während duale EVM/CosmWasm-VMs und IBC/Hyperlane-Routing Ergebnisse überall hin pushen • Wachstumsflywheel: Protokoll mintet PUMPS für jede Aktion eines Benutzers, wodurch der persönliche Token jedes Benutzers aufgebläht wird und ihr WARD-Airdrop-Anteil skaliert wird. Aktivität treibt Volumen → Agenten verdienen Gebühren → WARD erfasst Wert • Ausgerichtete Token-Ökonomie: $WARD regiert das Protokoll und wird als Gasgebühren + Staking verwendet • Partnerschaften gesichert mit @MessariCrypto und @mementoresearch
2. Was dich erwartet a) Verdiene PUMPS, unterstütze deinen eigenen Token • Jede Aktion in der Warden-App, vom Chatten mit dem Agenten, über Swaps, Stacking-Streaks bis hin zur Empfehlung echter Benutzer, mintet PUMPS • Jeder PUMP hebt deinen persönlichen On-Chain-Token über seinen Startpreis von 1,00 $ und skaliert deinen Anteil am bevorstehenden WARD-Token-Airdrop • Mehr Inhalte, mehr Transaktionen, mehr aktive Frens → größere Zuteilung für dich
b) Was zu tun ist • Öffne die App, beginne zu interagieren, führe einen Handel aus und lade 3 Freunde ein, die es tatsächlich benutzen werden. • Beobachte deinen PUMPS-Zähler (und deinen Token) in Echtzeit • Frühe Benutzer werden wahrscheinlich den fettesten WARD-Drop sichern
A few @base ecosystem projects have been doing well lately
Think the reason for this IMO: • Compared to Solana, definitely fewer tokens = concentrated on things with fundamentals • Lesser attention + liquidity dilution • Projects will try to align with base = @coinbase listing hopium • People's edge in the Solana casino seems to be eroded, pivot to the Base casino with more PVE coins • @pumpdotfun token https://t.co/8SxFsVtNP9 which will cause a liq vacuum on Solana
Did a few minutes of research to keep up to date with the eco, some projects that are doing well: • @KeetaNetwork ($KTA)--> Visa-speed payment layer, wrapped in a KYC-ready L1 • @gizatechxyz ($GIZA) --> “Plug-in ML agents that trade, rebalance on-chain, use zkML for proves and trust-minimisation • @tigfoundation ($TIG) --> Turns hard optimisation puzzles into open bounties where the best algorithm wins (+ gets paid) • @Mamo_agent ($MAMO by @MoonwellDeFi) --> park USDC, grow yield, win prizes • @ReiNetwork0x ($REI) --> Bridges AI to on-chain (hard logic; verifiable intelligence) • @noicedotso ($NOICE) --> Attention is money, where every engagement (like, reply, or follow) becomes tokenised; social tipping
These are of course projs apart from the @virtuals_io ecosystem which I covered separately:
Two new (credit line) money markets have recently made headlines
• @3janexyz --> FICO-style consumer credit by @_yakovsky • @WildcatFi --> toolbox for sophisticated trading desks to offer private credit by @functi0nZer0
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3Jane --> “Borrow Against the Future” • Credit-based money market allowing U.S. retail users instant, unsecured credit lines • Zero on-chain collateral • Proprietary 3Jane Credit Algorithm (CA) underwriting engine analyses on-chain assets, off-chain cash flows and VantageScore data to estimate the credit line line • Depositors supply USDC and receive USD3 (senior) or stake it for sUSD3 (junior, first-loss), while idle cash farms sweet @aave yield • If a borrower defaults, the “Credit Slasher” slashes their score, redistributes late interest to healthy borrowers and auctions off the non-performing loan
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Wildcat --> “Build-Your-Own Private-Credit Market” • Targets trading desks and funds that want bespoke on-chain credit terms. • A whitelisted borrower deploys a vault, setting its reserve ratio , fixed APR, withdrawal cycle, grace period up-front • Lenders deposit and receive a rebasing debt token • If reserves dip below the floor past the grace period, a penalty APR kicks in until the borrower pays or lenders pursue off-chain enforcement • Wildcat takes 0–10% of the base APR as protocol rev and lets borrowers determine KYC, size-minimums or other role-provider “hooks” for access control • Largest under-collateralised credit protocol
TLDR: 3Jane imports consumer credit into DeFi while Wildcat offers instis a way to spin up custom credit lines. If both protocols are well managed, they can scale very fast (overcoming the traditional over-collat model in crypto)
• @stayloudio von @0x_ultra --> Handelsvolumen = tokenisierte Aufmerksamkeit --> Belohnungen für KOLs verdienen $LOUD • @noise_xyz von @lucacseth @notgabo --> Handelsnarrative wie Perps
Die gleiche These: Aufmerksamkeit ist Kapital, aber unterschiedliche Ausführung
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Loud ist ein reines Aufmerksamkeit-Flow-System • Nutzer reden über $LOUD • Kaito misst ihren Mindshare • Die 25 aktivsten Nutzer der Woche verdienen SOL aus Handelsgebühren des Tokens • Spekulanten handeln den Token --> dies finanziert die Auszahlungen • Bringt unser geliebtes 3,3 zwischen KOLs und Händlern zurück • Aufmerksamkeit ist das Ziel --> "Wer kann den meisten Hype erzeugen?"
Noise nimmt einen anderen Weg • Kaito streamt Echtzeit-Trendindizes • Nutzer gehen long/short auf den Trend, wie sie es mit einer Perp-Position tun würden • Mindshare wird jetzt zu einem handelbaren, gerichteten Markt • Aufmerksamkeit ist der zugrunde liegende Vermögenswert --> "Kannst du den Hype/Trend handeln, bevor er ausbricht?"
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InfoFi wächst von einem Protokoll zu einem Ökosystem
Kaito wird nicht mehr nur als Datenebene betrachtet --> es ist ein Oracle, das neue Märkte und Lego-Blocks für interessante Primitives antreibt
Was Uniswap für Liquidität getan hat, macht Kaito jetzt für Aufmerksamkeit
Narratives move faster than capital Enter InfoFi --> the primitive that lets you bet on both
TLDR InfoFi focuses on monetising attention, influence, and info, probably one of the more compelling narratives in crypto now.
Below I compare a few protocols: @KaitoAI, @cookiedotfun, @ethos_network, and @elfa_ai, each approaching the financialisation of digital mindshare from different angles.
These are platforms that structure and index high-signal info with an emphasis on measurable influence, data provenance, and actionable insights.
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1. Kaito ($KAITO) • The Bloomberg Terminal for crypto narratives, using AI to process thousands of CT, Reddit, and Telegram posts into searchable summaries ("Yaps") • Leaderboard system identifies top-performing accounts/wallets based on alpha calls • Creates a powerful social filter for crypto research
2. Cookie ($COOKIE) • Modular data layer for the agentic economy --> https://t.co/FVmBL8fOCG, tracks 1,500+ AI agents and their performance, powered by a backend called the Cookie DataSwarm. • This infra feeds into Agent Cookie, a super-agent providing social + on-chain intelligence
3. Ethos • Introduces a reputation graph for crypto, based on: Review, Vouch, Slash, and Influence. • Aim is to create a social trust layer that DAOs, protocols, and community mods can use to filter credible contributors or defend against Sybil attacks
4. Elfa • Sentiment engine indexing token mentions, KOL shills, and project/community updates in real time • Token mindshare is tracked hourly and Smart Accounts are analysed which is filtered by alpha potential
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Personal Take • Kaito dominates structured research workflows and integrations with projects • Cookie leads in infra for AI agents • Ethos builds foundational social trust infra for Web3 (reputation) • Elfa captures narrative volatility and CT pulse
Same with DEXes/L1s/L2s, all will have competition as protocols imitate and try to one up each other.
Useless - As absurd as fartcoin ("just a useless coin") - "I cant believe this useless coin went to $100m" is like akin fartcoin ripping - Orginial lore/meta - Letsbonk team incentivized to pump it + BonkGuy shilling it (main character arc)
@letsbonkdotai - AI/MCP exposure + working terminal with a prompt - Easy narrative: ai16z of Bonk eco - Intuitive chat interface + agent-managed wallet
Emerging meme and narrative tied to Believe (@believeapp) —> platform that enables internet-native fundraising and token launches.
TLDR • Decentralized fundraising and liquidity directly from internet-native companies/communities, without the need for VCs • Launching tokens instantly via social platforms (like how projects are now launching on Believe with one click) • A cultural shift where meme, momentum, and distribution > pitch decks and months of VC calls
Could spark the formation of a new asset class or market structure if traction picks up —> crypto-native, internet-native capital formation is now fast, public, and memetic.
Developments - Probably found a bottom at $2.6 after a huge retrace - Valuation hovering at the last round fundraise - No new supply hitting the market in the next 9 months - The large overhang is done (Boyco) - More projects to TGE + vibrant ecosystem (@InfraredFinance, @puffpaw_xyz, @EdenWeb3_Global, @KodiakFi) - As more activity takes place on-chain, bribes and fees increase --> compounds --> accrues back to main token - Smokey and team still actively on the ground talking to educate funds + strike partnerships with various teams - Always seem to get max attention, be it from a satire video to some contrarian project the team onboards
Think some things the team have to work: - Changing $BERA token narrative from just a pure farming token (pool 2) to getting it integrated more within the eco dApps - Still quite complicated for retails to understand as there are many yield sources - Potentially kingmake certain dApps and make sure they do well
Bought + invested in some projs mentioned above
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