btcrebound

Cena Bitcoinu se dívá na průlom, protože uvolnění napětí obchodní války a zhoršující se trh s americkými dluhopisy podporují optimismus investorů. Wall Street se ostře zotavuje, zatímco analytici předpovídají další krok BTC uprostřed makroekonomické nejistoty.Americké akcie rostou, protože se mění tržní sentimentV pátek 11. dubna se americké akciové trhy zotavily po volatilním týdnu poznamenaném obavami z inflace a rostoucími obchodními napětími mezi USA a Čínou.S&P 500 vzrostl o 1,81%,Nasdaq Composite zakončil den o 2,0% výše,Dow Jones Industrial Average vzrostl o více než 1,5%.

Bitcoin Price Rebound Window Opens Mid-January 2026 as Trump’s 10% Credit Cap Proposal Eyes Macro Catalyst Role
Industry analysts identify a potential Bitcoin price rebound window starting in mid-to-late January 2026, driven by a convergence of technical "miner-cost" floors and new macroeconomic catalysts, including President Donald Trump's proposed 10% credit card interest rate cap.
The Rebound Window: Analysts' Views
Willy Woo's "Short-Term Rebound": On-chain analyst Willy Woo notes that investor inflows into Bitcoin bottomed on December 24, 2025. He anticipates a potential rebound over the coming weeks as spot inflows strengthen, though he remains cautious about sustained upside for the remainder of 2026.
Miner Cost Floor: Bitcoin has recently traded around $90,580, which is below the estimated miner production cost of roughly $101,000. Analysts like Wimar.X observe that trading below this cost historically acts as a "temporary floor," as miners slow production rather than sell at a loss.
Immediate Forecasts: Some technical models project Bitcoin could reach $97,410 by January 13, 2026, and nearly $99,000 by January 20.
Could Trump’s 10% Credit Cap Trigger It?
Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% for one year (effective January 20, 2026) is viewed as a "macro catalyst" for crypto adoption.
Push to DeFi: Analysts suggest that a 10% cap might lead traditional banks to offload "risky" customers with lower credit scores (below 780) to maintain profit margins. These displaced borrowers may move toward DeFi lending platforms (e.g., Aave, Compound), potentially increasing demand for Bitcoin and stablecoins.
The "Adoption Cycle" Narrative: Some theorists believe this could create a "seamless adoption cycle," where government-restricted traditional credit drives users toward decentralized alternatives, benefiting Bitcoin’s liquidity.
Skepticism: Critics and industry groups like the Bank Policy Institute warn the policy could simply reduce credit availability and hurt GDP, which might dampen broader risk appetite for assets like Bitcoin.
Broader 2026 Outlook
While a short-term rebound is possible, long-term 2026 predictions are highly polarized:
Bull Case: Firms like Grayscale and Bitwise argue that institutional ETF inflows have broken traditional cycles, projecting prices between $120,000 and $170,000.
Bear Case: Traditional cycle theorists at Fidelity suggest 2026 could be an "off-year" or "crypto winter" with potential support as low as $65,000 following the 2025 peak.
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