ethbreaks3k

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On July 10, 2025, Shiba Inu (SHIB), a flagship memecoin in the crypto space, broke through key technical resistance levels, sparking renewed optimism among investors. While short-term indicators signal the potential for a rally, medium- and long-term charts advise caution.

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📈 Bullish Breakout: Price Crosses 50-Day EMA

SHIB has successfully broken above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.00001228, marking a significant bullish shift in market sentiment. This level has historically acted as a major resistance zone.

📊 Key Technical Targets:

$0.00001294 – 0.382 Fibonacci resistance level

$0.00001450 – 200-day EMA

$0.00001500 – Critical Fibonacci "Golden Ratio"

$0.00001765 – Previous 2024 high

A gradual breakout through these levels could trigger a broader bullish trend for SHIB.

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🔍 Technical Indicator Overview

✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

Bullish crossover confirmed.

Histogram trending upward, indicating strengthening momentum.

⚠️ RSI (Relative Strength Index)

Neutral on the daily timeframe.

Overbought on the 4-hour chart, signaling potential for a short-term pullback.

❌ EMA Benchmarks

A Death Cross persists on the daily chart, suggesting that medium-term bearish pressure has not yet been fully resolved.

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🕒 4-Hour Chart: Bulls Gaining Momentum

Short-term indicators present a favorable outlook:

A Golden Cross appears imminent, confirming potential short-term upside.

MACD remains in positive territory.

RSI is in overbought range — traders should be alert for minor pullbacks.

This setup is particularly encouraging for scalpers and swing traders seeking short-term opportunities.

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📉 Weekly Chart: A Mixed Picture

EMAs are nearing a Death Cross, hinting at possible continued medium-term resistance.

MACD remains bullish, with the histogram rising steadily for the past three weeks.

RSI is neutral, offering room for further movement in either direction.

Investors have driven a 25% price increase over the past three weeks, indicating strong buy-the-dip behavior and sustained market interest.

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📉 Monthly Chart: Long-Term Bearish Bias Persists

The longer-term outlook remains cautious:

MACD lines remain in bearish territory, with a negative crossover.

Histogram is declining.

RSI is neutral, signaling a lack of clear upward momentum.

For a confirmed long-term trend reversal, SHIB must break and sustain levels above $0.000015 and $0.00001765 with strong trading volume.

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📌 Conclusion: Is SHIB Gearing Up for a Breakout?

Short-Term Outlook:

✅ Bullish momentum confirmed via EMA breakout and MACD.

⚠️ RSI warrants caution in overbought zones.

Medium-Term Outlook:

🔄 Mixed signals – bullish MACD vs. bearish EMA formation.

Long-Term Outlook:

📉 Bearish trend still dominates; key resistance levels must be breached for a reversal.

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🐕‍🔥 Investor Takeaways

Short-term traders may find favorable conditions amid bullish momentum.

Medium-term investors should monitor upcoming EMA crossovers and RSI trends.

Long-term investors are advised to remain cautious until major resistance levels are decisively broken.

As SHIB navigates critical resistance zones, the coming weeks may reveal whether this meme-fueled asset can evolve into a sustained rally or faces renewed consolidation.
#USCryptoWeek #ETHBreaks3k

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$BTC

From late 2024 till now, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) was consolidating within a broad sideways range between well-defined support and resistance levels on the 4H Renko chart. During this time, market indecision was obvious as neither bulls nor bears could establish dominance.

Recently, BTC has decisively broken out above the major resistance zone at ~$108,000 — as seen with my custom Renko + Decision Tree + S/R Channel script ([strategy code by cryptoonchain, see script details below]). This breakout above resistance technically suggests the end of range-bound price action and the potential start of a new bullish trend, especially when confirmed by on-chain data.

On-Chain Netflow Confirmation
As I originally highlighted in my CryptoQuant Netflow analysis (published under the username ‘cryptoonchain’ on CryptoQuant platform):

Total Exchange Netflow for Bitcoin has recently dropped to its lowest level since February 16, 2023 — at which point the last bullish cycle began.
Negative Netflow means more BTC is being withdrawn from exchanges than deposited, indicating reduced selling pressure and strong holder conviction.
Binance-specific Netflow also confirms massive outflows, a sign whales and large traders are accumulating and withdrawing funds from trading venues.
Historically, this combination — a technical breakout (Renko) and deep negative on-chain netflow (dataset: CryptoQuant) — has preceded major bull runs.

Summary
Based on both my Renko model and current on-chain flows:
The breakout above 108,000 resistance marks the start of a likely new uptrend for BTC (now 119,000).
On-chain data via CryptoQuant strongly supports the bullish scenario.
Invalidation
If BTC returns below $108,000 and consolidates there, this bullish outlook is invalidated and a reassessment is required.

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