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🚨 $BTC Macro Update | 🇺🇸 US CPI IS OUT
Here’s the quick breakdown 👇
📊 Core CPI
• MoM: 0.2% (unchanged, in line with forecast)
• YoY: 2.6% (flat, exactly as expected)
📈 Headline CPI
• MoM: 0.3% (slightly hot vs 0.2% forecast, but stable)
• YoY: 2.7% (unchanged, near trend lows)
🧠 What this really means:
This is not bad news going into the upcoming FOMC.
Inflation isn’t re-accelerating — it’s stable and cooling on a trend basis.
When you pair this with:
• Higher unemployment
• Slowing growth signals
👉 The Fed gets more flexibility. No panic. No rush to tighten further.
Yes, inflation still needs to drift lower — but today’s data keeps the soft-landing narrative alive and avoids any hawkish shock.
⚡ Market takeaway:
This CPI print supports patience, not fear — and that’s constructive for risk assets like BTC going forward.
Follow ME for more real-time macro & crypto updates 📉🚀
#US #CPIWatch #Fed #fomc #WriteToEarnUpgrade
Here’s the quick breakdown 👇
📊 Core CPI
• MoM: 0.2% (unchanged, in line with forecast)
• YoY: 2.6% (flat, exactly as expected)
📈 Headline CPI
• MoM: 0.3% (slightly hot vs 0.2% forecast, but stable)
• YoY: 2.7% (unchanged, near trend lows)
🧠 What this really means:
This is not bad news going into the upcoming FOMC.
Inflation isn’t re-accelerating — it’s stable and cooling on a trend basis.
When you pair this with:
• Higher unemployment
• Slowing growth signals
👉 The Fed gets more flexibility. No panic. No rush to tighten further.
Yes, inflation still needs to drift lower — but today’s data keeps the soft-landing narrative alive and avoids any hawkish shock.
⚡ Market takeaway:
This CPI print supports patience, not fear — and that’s constructive for risk assets like BTC going forward.
Follow ME for more real-time macro & crypto updates 📉🚀
#US #CPIWatch #Fed #fomc #WriteToEarnUpgrade
Williams From the Fed: Current Rates Are Right – Economy Headed Toward Stability and Full Employment
John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, expressed strong confidence that the current U.S. interest rates are well-calibrated for today's economic conditions. He believes they will support sustainable growth, job creation, and help the central bank reach its 2% inflation target.
"Our monetary policy is in a strong position," Williams stated during his speech at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York. He added that the Fed now has better control over the risks threatening its dual mandate of full employment and price stability.
After Rate Cuts, the Fed Plans a Cautious Approach
His comments came shortly after the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) decided to cut rates by 75 basis points in 2025. Williams is among those advocating a cautious strategy, suggesting the Fed should wait for more data before making further moves.
According to him, it's essential to monitor the labor market, which he said is returning to pre-pandemic levels:
“The recovery is gradual – without signs of mass layoffs or sudden economic downturns,” he assured.
He also added that unemployment will likely remain stable this year and gradually decline over the next few years.
Trump's Tariffs Seen as Temporary Inflation Spike
Williams also commented on the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, calling them a one-time price shock. He expects inflation to peak between 2.75% and 3% in the first half of the year, but then drop to 2.5% by year-end, with the economy maintaining above-average growth.
A Divided Fed: Not Everyone Supports Rate Cuts
The Fed's December meeting minutes revealed a split among committee members. Some favored a 25-basis-point rate cut, while others preferred keeping rates unchanged.
The minutes, released on December 30 in Washington, highlighted internal hesitation:
“Some participants who supported a rate cut said the decision was very close, or that they could have supported holding rates steady,” the document said.
Odds of a January Rate Cut Are Falling
Following the release of the minutes, the odds of a rate cut in January fell to just 15%.
Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at Santander US Capital Markets, noted:
“The near-even split in the vote underscores Jerome Powell’s continuing influence as Fed Chair.”
The Fed now finds itself at a delicate crossroads—seeking the right balance between supporting growth and controlling persistent inflation.
#Fed , #JeromePowell , #interestrates , #fomc , #TrumpTariffs
Stay one step ahead – follow our profile and stay informed about everything important in the world of cryptocurrencies!
Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“
"Our monetary policy is in a strong position," Williams stated during his speech at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York. He added that the Fed now has better control over the risks threatening its dual mandate of full employment and price stability.
After Rate Cuts, the Fed Plans a Cautious Approach
His comments came shortly after the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) decided to cut rates by 75 basis points in 2025. Williams is among those advocating a cautious strategy, suggesting the Fed should wait for more data before making further moves.
According to him, it's essential to monitor the labor market, which he said is returning to pre-pandemic levels:
“The recovery is gradual – without signs of mass layoffs or sudden economic downturns,” he assured.
He also added that unemployment will likely remain stable this year and gradually decline over the next few years.
Trump's Tariffs Seen as Temporary Inflation Spike
Williams also commented on the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, calling them a one-time price shock. He expects inflation to peak between 2.75% and 3% in the first half of the year, but then drop to 2.5% by year-end, with the economy maintaining above-average growth.
A Divided Fed: Not Everyone Supports Rate Cuts
The Fed's December meeting minutes revealed a split among committee members. Some favored a 25-basis-point rate cut, while others preferred keeping rates unchanged.
The minutes, released on December 30 in Washington, highlighted internal hesitation:
“Some participants who supported a rate cut said the decision was very close, or that they could have supported holding rates steady,” the document said.
Odds of a January Rate Cut Are Falling
Following the release of the minutes, the odds of a rate cut in January fell to just 15%.
Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at Santander US Capital Markets, noted:
“The near-even split in the vote underscores Jerome Powell’s continuing influence as Fed Chair.”
The Fed now finds itself at a delicate crossroads—seeking the right balance between supporting growth and controlling persistent inflation.
#Fed , #JeromePowell , #interestrates , #fomc , #TrumpTariffs
Stay one step ahead – follow our profile and stay informed about everything important in the world of cryptocurrencies!
Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“
Feed-Creator-90833fa9d:
But who will America believe? Williams, with the education, background and experience in financial markets, or self-proclaimed expert Trump on everything from finance to vaccines
🚨 FED WATCH UPDATE — JAN 28 FOMC 🇺🇸📉
Markets are now pricing in a 95% probability that the Fed HOLDS rates steady at the January 28 FOMC meeting, according to CME FedWatch.
That’s a big jump from ~70% last month, driven by the strong December jobs report, which pushed rate-cut expectations further out.
📊 What This Means
🟠 The “higher for longer” narrative is getting locked in
🟠 Near-term rate cuts continue to fade
🟠 Liquidity remains tight, keeping risk assets reactive
At this point, forward guidance matters more than the decision itself.
⚠️ Market Impact Watch
• Strong data = cuts delayed even more
• Weak data = recession fears spike
• Volatility likely around Fed communication
👀 Tickers to watch:
$CLO | $HYPER | $ZEREBRO
#Fed #fomc #markets #WriteToEarnUpgrade 📊🔥
Markets are now pricing in a 95% probability that the Fed HOLDS rates steady at the January 28 FOMC meeting, according to CME FedWatch.
That’s a big jump from ~70% last month, driven by the strong December jobs report, which pushed rate-cut expectations further out.
📊 What This Means
🟠 The “higher for longer” narrative is getting locked in
🟠 Near-term rate cuts continue to fade
🟠 Liquidity remains tight, keeping risk assets reactive
At this point, forward guidance matters more than the decision itself.
⚠️ Market Impact Watch
• Strong data = cuts delayed even more
• Weak data = recession fears spike
• Volatility likely around Fed communication
👀 Tickers to watch:
$CLO | $HYPER | $ZEREBRO
#Fed #fomc #markets #WriteToEarnUpgrade 📊🔥
🚨 Next Week = Absolute Market Madness! 😵💫
🗓️ Monday: FOMC Powell Speech
🗓️ Tuesday: CPI Inflation Print
🗓️ Wednesday: PPI Numbers
🗓️ Thursday: Jobless Claims
🗓️ Friday: Fed Balance Sheet Update
Every single day hits the markets hard — rates, inflation, jobs, and liquidity all back-to-back. No hiding from volatility! ⚡
The biggest bull run in history? Might just be starting… 🚀
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#fomc #USNonFarmPayrollReport #US #Fed #WriteToEarnUpgrade
🗓️ Monday: FOMC Powell Speech
🗓️ Tuesday: CPI Inflation Print
🗓️ Wednesday: PPI Numbers
🗓️ Thursday: Jobless Claims
🗓️ Friday: Fed Balance Sheet Update
Every single day hits the markets hard — rates, inflation, jobs, and liquidity all back-to-back. No hiding from volatility! ⚡
The biggest bull run in history? Might just be starting… 🚀
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#fomc #USNonFarmPayrollReport #US #Fed #WriteToEarnUpgrade
🚨 Next Week’s Macro Schedule Is INSANE 😵💫📊
Heads up — markets are walking straight into a full-blown volatility zone. Every single day has a major trigger:
🗓️ Monday → FOMC Powell speech
🗓️ Tuesday → CPI inflation print
🗓️ Wednesday → PPI data
🗓️ Thursday → Jobless Claims
🗓️ Friday → Fed balance sheet update
That’s basically rates, inflation, jobs, and liquidity all hitting back-to-back. No breathing room. No hiding. 👀
If the data lines up just right, liquidity narratives flip fast and risk assets can move violently. If it doesn’t… expect chaos. Either way, volatility is almost guaranteed.
Big expectations. Big reactions.
Some are calling it noise — others are calling it the setup before something massive. 🚀
👀 Watching closely:
$BTC | $ETH | $BNB
#fomc #USNonFarmPayrollReport #US #Fed #WriteToEarnUpgrade
Heads up — markets are walking straight into a full-blown volatility zone. Every single day has a major trigger:
🗓️ Monday → FOMC Powell speech
🗓️ Tuesday → CPI inflation print
🗓️ Wednesday → PPI data
🗓️ Thursday → Jobless Claims
🗓️ Friday → Fed balance sheet update
That’s basically rates, inflation, jobs, and liquidity all hitting back-to-back. No breathing room. No hiding. 👀
If the data lines up just right, liquidity narratives flip fast and risk assets can move violently. If it doesn’t… expect chaos. Either way, volatility is almost guaranteed.
Big expectations. Big reactions.
Some are calling it noise — others are calling it the setup before something massive. 🚀
👀 Watching closely:
$BTC | $ETH | $BNB
#fomc #USNonFarmPayrollReport #US #Fed #WriteToEarnUpgrade
Corrine Grumbach MNal:
So what can we expect . Bullish or bearish market ?
🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 US inflation remains at 2.7%, signaling continued pressure on prices and consumer spending. What’s next for rates? 📉📈$DASH
$IP
$UAI
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
#USTradeDeficitShrink
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
#Fed
#fomc
$IP
$UAI
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
#USTradeDeficitShrink
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
#Fed
#fomc
🚨 TODAY’S SCHEDULE IS EXTREMELY VOLATILE!!
08:30 AM → CPI & CORE CPI
10:00 AM → U.S. HOUSING DATA
1:00 PM → BOND AUCTION
2:00 PM → FEDERAL BUDGET BALANCE
4:00 PM → FOMC PRESIDENT SPEECH
ALL EYES ON THE MACRO DATA 👀
$PLAY $DASH $BTC
#CPIWatch #fomc #UShousingdata #Bondauction #Fed
08:30 AM → CPI & CORE CPI
10:00 AM → U.S. HOUSING DATA
1:00 PM → BOND AUCTION
2:00 PM → FEDERAL BUDGET BALANCE
4:00 PM → FOMC PRESIDENT SPEECH
ALL EYES ON THE MACRO DATA 👀
$PLAY $DASH $BTC
#CPIWatch #fomc #UShousingdata #Bondauction #Fed
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 LATEST: Trump is leaning toward possible strikes on Iran, while VP Vance is still pushing diplomacy final decision expected after senior meetings tomorrow. $PLAY
Iran says it’s “ready for negotiations” but also “fully prepared for war,” a clear mixed signal as internal unrest grows and proxies weaken.
This kind of geopolitical uncertainty usually boosts volatility risk assets chop, while safe havens and defensive plays quietly attract capital. Traders should expect sudden moves, headline-driven spikes, and fake breakouts until clarity hits.
Smart money doesn’t predict headlines — it positions around volatility and protects downside.$DOLO
$DASH
#TRUMP
#US
#Fed
#FOMC
#fomc
Iran says it’s “ready for negotiations” but also “fully prepared for war,” a clear mixed signal as internal unrest grows and proxies weaken.
This kind of geopolitical uncertainty usually boosts volatility risk assets chop, while safe havens and defensive plays quietly attract capital. Traders should expect sudden moves, headline-driven spikes, and fake breakouts until clarity hits.
Smart money doesn’t predict headlines — it positions around volatility and protects downside.$DOLO
$DASH
#TRUMP
#US
#Fed
#FOMC
#fomc
BREAKING🚨: $PLAY
$DOLO
Today's schedule is packed with market-moving events 08:30 AM - CPI & Core CPI data release 10:00 AM - US housing data release 1:00 PM - Bond auction 2:00 PM - Federal budget balance release 4:00 PM - FOMC President speech. The CPI is expected to be around 2.7%. Are you ready for the market volatility?$DASH
#FedRateDecisions
#Fed
#fomc
#FedRateCut25bps
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
$DOLO
Today's schedule is packed with market-moving events 08:30 AM - CPI & Core CPI data release 10:00 AM - US housing data release 1:00 PM - Bond auction 2:00 PM - Federal budget balance release 4:00 PM - FOMC President speech. The CPI is expected to be around 2.7%. Are you ready for the market volatility?$DASH
#FedRateDecisions
#Fed
#fomc
#FedRateCut25bps
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
🚨 CPI DATA BOMB DROPPING TONIGHT! MACRO SHOCKWAVE IMMINENT! 🚨
The market is holding its breath for the US December CPI print. Don't get caught sleeping in this data trap!
• Analysts warn of potential misdirection in the numbers post-November surprise drop.
• Recent jobs data already crushed rate cut hopes for January—the Fed is NOT blinking.
• This macro uncertainty is spiking volatility across the board. Prepare for fireworks.
Your portfolio needs to be positioned NOW before the official release moves the needle. Expect big swings. This is pure alpha territory if you read the tea leaves right.
#CPI #MacroTrading #FOMC #CryptoVolatility
The market is holding its breath for the US December CPI print. Don't get caught sleeping in this data trap!
• Analysts warn of potential misdirection in the numbers post-November surprise drop.
• Recent jobs data already crushed rate cut hopes for January—the Fed is NOT blinking.
• This macro uncertainty is spiking volatility across the board. Prepare for fireworks.
Your portfolio needs to be positioned NOW before the official release moves the needle. Expect big swings. This is pure alpha territory if you read the tea leaves right.
#CPI #MacroTrading #FOMC #CryptoVolatility
🚨 USD CPI DATA | 6:30 PM (PKT) 🚨
Today’s Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m & CPI y/y are coming — high-impact news for the market ⚠️
📊 Why it matters:
CPI measures inflation. This data can move $BTC , $ETH
, Gold, USD & overall crypto market very fast.
📉 If CPI comes LOWER than forecast:
→ Inflation cooling
→ USD weakens
→ Crypto & risk assets 📈 (Bullish)
📈 If CPI comes HIGHER than forecast:
→ Inflation still hot
→ USD strengthens
→ Crypto may dump 📉 (Bearish)
⚠️ Trader Tip:
• Avoid over-leverage
• Expect high volatility
• Best time for scalp traders, risky for beginners
👀 Market will decide direction after 6:30 PM — trade safe, not emotional.
#cpi #fomc #MarketUpdate #CryptoNews
Today’s Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m & CPI y/y are coming — high-impact news for the market ⚠️
📊 Why it matters:
CPI measures inflation. This data can move $BTC , $ETH
, Gold, USD & overall crypto market very fast.
📉 If CPI comes LOWER than forecast:
→ Inflation cooling
→ USD weakens
→ Crypto & risk assets 📈 (Bullish)
📈 If CPI comes HIGHER than forecast:
→ Inflation still hot
→ USD strengthens
→ Crypto may dump 📉 (Bearish)
⚠️ Trader Tip:
• Avoid over-leverage
• Expect high volatility
• Best time for scalp traders, risky for beginners
👀 Market will decide direction after 6:30 PM — trade safe, not emotional.
#cpi #fomc #MarketUpdate #CryptoNews
🚨 BREAKING: FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL FACES CRIMINAL INDICTMENT THREAT! 🚨$IP
In an unprecedented escalation, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has confirmed that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) served the Fed with grand jury subpoenas on Friday, threatening him with a criminal indictment.
What’s Happening?
The Allegation: The DOJ is investigating Powell’s June 2025 testimony regarding the $2.5 billion renovation of the Federal Reserve’s headquarters, alleging potential "mismanagement" or "deception" regarding cost overruns.
Powell’s Defense: In a blistering Sunday night statement, Powell called the investigation a "pretext." He claims the real motive is political pressure from the Trump administration to force aggressive interest rate cuts.
Independence Under Fire: Powell stated, "The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Fed setting interest rates based on evidence, rather than following the preferences of the President."
📊 Potential Market Implications:
USD: This internal war may shake confidence in the Dollar, causing unpredictable swings in the DXY as institutional trust is tested.
Gold & Silver: Investors may rush to precious metals as a hedge against systemic breakdown and the loss of Fed autonomy.
Bitcoin: Despite its "Digital Gold" status, BTC may face a "risk-off" sell-off as traders liquidate assets for cash in the short term.
Equities: S&P 500 and Nasdaq may see heavy pressure due to "policy paralysis"—the market hates not knowing who is steering the ship.
Economic Risk: This may mark the end of an independent Fed, which may force a total re-evaluation of US financial stability.
⚠️ Warning: Expect extreme volatility. Price action may be driven entirely by headlines over the next 24 hours.$XMR
$CLO
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
#USJobsData
#Fed
#fomc
#Powell
In an unprecedented escalation, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has confirmed that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) served the Fed with grand jury subpoenas on Friday, threatening him with a criminal indictment.
What’s Happening?
The Allegation: The DOJ is investigating Powell’s June 2025 testimony regarding the $2.5 billion renovation of the Federal Reserve’s headquarters, alleging potential "mismanagement" or "deception" regarding cost overruns.
Powell’s Defense: In a blistering Sunday night statement, Powell called the investigation a "pretext." He claims the real motive is political pressure from the Trump administration to force aggressive interest rate cuts.
Independence Under Fire: Powell stated, "The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Fed setting interest rates based on evidence, rather than following the preferences of the President."
📊 Potential Market Implications:
USD: This internal war may shake confidence in the Dollar, causing unpredictable swings in the DXY as institutional trust is tested.
Gold & Silver: Investors may rush to precious metals as a hedge against systemic breakdown and the loss of Fed autonomy.
Bitcoin: Despite its "Digital Gold" status, BTC may face a "risk-off" sell-off as traders liquidate assets for cash in the short term.
Equities: S&P 500 and Nasdaq may see heavy pressure due to "policy paralysis"—the market hates not knowing who is steering the ship.
Economic Risk: This may mark the end of an independent Fed, which may force a total re-evaluation of US financial stability.
⚠️ Warning: Expect extreme volatility. Price action may be driven entirely by headlines over the next 24 hours.$XMR
$CLO
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
#USJobsData
#Fed
#fomc
#Powell
CPI SHOCKER: INFLATION STAYS HOT!
Entry: 70000 🟩
Target 1: 72000 🎯
Stop Loss: 69500 🛑
US CPI data just dropped. Core CPI is holding steady at 0.2% MoM and 2.6% YoY. Headline CPI climbed to 0.3% MoM and 2.7% YoY. This is NOT the dovish signal the market wanted. Inflation is sticky, giving the Fed less room to maneuver. The window for rate cuts is narrowing. Prepare for volatility. This is a critical moment.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#BTC #CPI #FOMC 🔥
Entry: 70000 🟩
Target 1: 72000 🎯
Stop Loss: 69500 🛑
US CPI data just dropped. Core CPI is holding steady at 0.2% MoM and 2.6% YoY. Headline CPI climbed to 0.3% MoM and 2.7% YoY. This is NOT the dovish signal the market wanted. Inflation is sticky, giving the Fed less room to maneuver. The window for rate cuts is narrowing. Prepare for volatility. This is a critical moment.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#BTC #CPI #FOMC 🔥
CPI BOMBSHELL! FED SHOCKED.
Entry: 67000 🟩
Target 1: 68500 🎯
Target 2: 70000 🎯
Stop Loss: 66000 🛑
US CPI data just dropped. Core CPI MoM at 0.2%. YoY at 2.6%. Headline CPI MoM at 0.3%. YoY at 2.7%. Inflation is sticky but stable. This gives the Fed breathing room. The market is reacting NOW. Don't miss this move. Get in before it's too late.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk.
#BTC #FOMC #CPI 🚀
Entry: 67000 🟩
Target 1: 68500 🎯
Target 2: 70000 🎯
Stop Loss: 66000 🛑
US CPI data just dropped. Core CPI MoM at 0.2%. YoY at 2.6%. Headline CPI MoM at 0.3%. YoY at 2.7%. Inflation is sticky but stable. This gives the Fed breathing room. The market is reacting NOW. Don't miss this move. Get in before it's too late.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk.
#BTC #FOMC #CPI 🚀
🚨 CPI DATA DROPS: FED IS GETTING CAUGHT! 🚨
$BTC reaction incoming! Inflation numbers are holding steady, slightly hotter YoY but flat MoM. This gives the Fed breathing room, NOT a reason to hike aggressively.
• Core CPI MoM: 0.2% (MATCH)
• Headline CPI MoM: 0.3% (Slightly hotter than expected 0.2%)
This is NOT a disaster. It keeps the dovish pivot narrative alive, especially with labor market weakness. Whales are watching this closely.
Expect volatility, but the path remains clear: lower inflation = easier Fed. We are loading up on dips if the market overreacts. DON'T MISS THE MOVE.
#CryptoAlph #FOMC #Bitcoin #MarketData #Trading
$BTC reaction incoming! Inflation numbers are holding steady, slightly hotter YoY but flat MoM. This gives the Fed breathing room, NOT a reason to hike aggressively.
• Core CPI MoM: 0.2% (MATCH)
• Headline CPI MoM: 0.3% (Slightly hotter than expected 0.2%)
This is NOT a disaster. It keeps the dovish pivot narrative alive, especially with labor market weakness. Whales are watching this closely.
Expect volatility, but the path remains clear: lower inflation = easier Fed. We are loading up on dips if the market overreacts. DON'T MISS THE MOVE.
#CryptoAlph #FOMC #Bitcoin #MarketData #Trading
$BTC Update 🟠
Bitcoin tapped 91,317.75, cooling off after a strong run 📉
Despite the pause, price is still holding above 90,938, keeping the bullish structure intact 🚀
Volatility is part of the game — consolidation after expansion is healthy.
Eyes on macro catalysts as momentum resets.
#BTC #Binance #CryptoMarket
#FOMC #USNonFarmPayroll
Bitcoin tapped 91,317.75, cooling off after a strong run 📉
Despite the pause, price is still holding above 90,938, keeping the bullish structure intact 🚀
Volatility is part of the game — consolidation after expansion is healthy.
Eyes on macro catalysts as momentum resets.
#BTC #Binance #CryptoMarket
#FOMC #USNonFarmPayroll
#stack
#fomc
Хорошая рамка для фильтрации шума вокруг «независимости ФРС».
Самый простой и наглядный индикатор здесь не риторика, а отклонение от Taylor Rule. Пока ставка ФРС плюс-минус соответствует тому, что диктуют инфляция и безработица, можно говорить о технократической политике. Как только ставка системно уходит ниже модели при всё ещё липкой инфляции, это уже не про данные. Это про давление.
Исторически рост спрэда между фактической Fed Funds Rate и ставкой по Taylor Rule почти всегда предшествовал инфляции активов. Деньги становятся дешевле, чем «разрешает» экономика, и это мгновенно уходит в мультипликаторы, риск и финансовые пузыри.
Если тема с давлением на ФРС продолжит развиваться, именно этот разрыв станет ранним сигналом того, что независимость трещит не на словах, а в цифрах. И рынок это отыграет быстрее, чем выйдут очередные заявления.
#fomc
Хорошая рамка для фильтрации шума вокруг «независимости ФРС».
Самый простой и наглядный индикатор здесь не риторика, а отклонение от Taylor Rule. Пока ставка ФРС плюс-минус соответствует тому, что диктуют инфляция и безработица, можно говорить о технократической политике. Как только ставка системно уходит ниже модели при всё ещё липкой инфляции, это уже не про данные. Это про давление.
Исторически рост спрэда между фактической Fed Funds Rate и ставкой по Taylor Rule почти всегда предшествовал инфляции активов. Деньги становятся дешевле, чем «разрешает» экономика, и это мгновенно уходит в мультипликаторы, риск и финансовые пузыри.
Если тема с давлением на ФРС продолжит развиваться, именно этот разрыв станет ранним сигналом того, что независимость трещит не на словах, а в цифрах. И рынок это отыграет быстрее, чем выйдут очередные заявления.
FED BOMBSHELL: RATE CUTS DELAYED! $USDC
NY Fed President John Williams crushed hopes for immediate interest rate cuts. He sees a strong US economy in 2026. Monetary policy is shifting neutral. Inflation is heading back to 2%. GDP growth is projected at 2.5% - 2.75% this year. Unemployment stays stable. Inflation peaks in H1, hits 2% by 2027. The Fed is holding a hawkish stance. No immediate economic life support needed. Cheap money is NOT coming soon to fuel a Q1 boom.
News is for reference, not investment advice.
#FOMC #InterestRates #USD #Economy 🚀
NY Fed President John Williams crushed hopes for immediate interest rate cuts. He sees a strong US economy in 2026. Monetary policy is shifting neutral. Inflation is heading back to 2%. GDP growth is projected at 2.5% - 2.75% this year. Unemployment stays stable. Inflation peaks in H1, hits 2% by 2027. The Fed is holding a hawkish stance. No immediate economic life support needed. Cheap money is NOT coming soon to fuel a Q1 boom.
News is for reference, not investment advice.
#FOMC #InterestRates #USD #Economy 🚀
BREAKING: Economic Decider Tomorrow.. Here Are the Numbers the World Is Watching! 🚨
Global investors are fixated on tomorrow's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December, which will dictate the path of the Dollar and markets. The most crucial figure is the "Core CPI YoY", which excludes volatile food and energy prices.
⏰ Release Time: 4:30 PM (Jordan & KSA Time).
📊 Forecast vs. Previous CPI Readings:
Core CPI (YoY) - The Most Important:
Previous: 4.0%
Forecast: 3.8% (Slight Decrease)
Headline CPI (YoY):
Previous: 3.1%
Forecast: 3.2% (Slight Increase)
Core CPI (MoM):
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.3% (Unchanged)
💡 What Does This Mean for Markets? If the actual numbers come in higher than forecast, it will strengthen the Dollar (DXY) and pressure high-risk assets. If they come in lower than forecast, expect a weaker Dollar and a strong market rally.
✅ Follow my account for instant results as they are released and live coverage of their impact.
$BTC ,$ETH ,$BNB
#fomc ,#USNonFarmPayrollReport ,#BinanceSquareTalks
Global investors are fixated on tomorrow's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December, which will dictate the path of the Dollar and markets. The most crucial figure is the "Core CPI YoY", which excludes volatile food and energy prices.
⏰ Release Time: 4:30 PM (Jordan & KSA Time).
📊 Forecast vs. Previous CPI Readings:
Core CPI (YoY) - The Most Important:
Previous: 4.0%
Forecast: 3.8% (Slight Decrease)
Headline CPI (YoY):
Previous: 3.1%
Forecast: 3.2% (Slight Increase)
Core CPI (MoM):
Previous: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.3% (Unchanged)
💡 What Does This Mean for Markets? If the actual numbers come in higher than forecast, it will strengthen the Dollar (DXY) and pressure high-risk assets. If they come in lower than forecast, expect a weaker Dollar and a strong market rally.
✅ Follow my account for instant results as they are released and live coverage of their impact.
$BTC ,$ETH ,$BNB
#fomc ,#USNonFarmPayrollReport ,#BinanceSquareTalks
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