$DOGE
🚨🚨 Liquidity pressures in the financial system spiked into year-end ⚡️📢
Demand for the Fed’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF) just jumped to $75 billion, the highest since the facility became permanent in 2021 📢
The SRF enables banks to borrow cash from the Fed, using government bonds as collateral, acting as a key source of liquidity support for the financial system.
The elevated stress stems from banks stepping back from private short-term funding markets to present stronger balance sheets at the end of the calendar year.
While seasonal pressures are typical at the end of December, the scale of Fed borrowing suggests underlying liquidity stress is more elevated than usual.
This is primarily because bank reserves at the Fed remain historically tight, near their 4-year lows of $2.9 trillion.
Meanwhile, the Fed began buying $40 billion of Treasury bills per month on December 12th in a move to ease short-term funding stress.
Market liquidity should soon improve 📢
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#USGovernment #Market_Update #CryptoMarketAnalysis
$BTC
🚨🇺🇲 The federal government is facing a massive spending problem 👀📢
Government spending is up to $7.0 trillion over the last 12 months, near the highest in history 📢
This is only below the ~$7.8 trillion on a 12-month rolling period seen during the 2020 Pandemic and 2021 recovery 📢
By comparison, before 2020, federal spending was running between $3.5 trillion and $4.5 trillion for 10 years 📢
Meanwhile, government revenue is up to a record $5.4 trillion over the last 12 months, rising nearly +$1.0 trillion since 2023 📢
Overall, the gap between federal spending and revenue has persisted for 23 consecutive years 📢
What’s the long-term plan here? 📢
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#USGovernment #Fed #US-EUTradeAgreement #CryptoMarketAnalysis #Market_Update
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
🚨🇺🇲 The U.S. has a HUGE problem but nobody wants to talk about it 👀📢
Everybody is ignoring it 📢
The massive red bar you see is the principal amount of US debt expiring in the next 12 months 📢
OVER $8 TRILLION DOLLARS.
Here’s why it matters:
The US Treasury made a FATAL MISTAKE.
They shortened the duration of their debt when rates were near zero.
NOW, THE BILL IS DUE.
We’re about to force a rollover of trillions in ZIRP-era paper (issued at ~0.5%) into a 4.5%+ rate environment.
Why this is a black swan:
This isn't about paying it off, it’s about repricing risk.
1: Debt Service Explosion: As this red bar rolls over, the Interest (Green) component on the budget will parabolic.
2: Liquidity problems: Who has the balance sheet to absorb this supply without yields spiking?
This is a mechanical squeeze on the US sovereign balance sheet.
It forces a choice: Austerity (Depression) or Yield Curve Control (Inflation).
Most analysts are looking at P/E ratios, but they should be looking at the structure.
Interest expense just hit $1 Trillion/year, consuming 19% of all federal tax revenue.
That’s not a projection, that’s today’s reality.
We are borrowing new debt just to pay the interest on old debt 📢
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#USGovernment #US-EUTradeAgreement #Fed #Market_Update #CryptoMarketAnalysis
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🚨 THE WORLDWIDE COLLAPSE IS COMING IN 2026
And it won’t start with a headline.
It will start with liquidity.
On Dec 31, the New York Fed had to pump a RECORD $74.6 BILLION overnight through the Standing Repo Facility.
Now read the detail that matters.
Banks posted $43.1B in MBS and only $31.5B in Treasuries.
That is not normal behavior in a “calm” market.
It tells you they needed cash, and the Fed had to take the collateral.
At the same time, lenders parked $106B in the Fed reverse repo.
So some desks were begging for cash, while other desks were hiding cash.
That is stress. Not bullish.
Now look at China.
PBOC injected 1.02 TRILLION yuan in 7 day reverse repos on Dec 31, right after 312.5B the day before.
Same week vibes, different flag.
Here is the simple takeaway.
When the US and China both have to inject liquidity, it is not “bullish”.
It is the plumbing failing quietly.
And when the plumbing tightens, the chain reaction is always the same.
Bonds move first.
Stocks react later.
Crypto gets the violent moves first.
This is not about price.
This is about funding.
When funding cracks, everything else becomes a trap
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#USGovernment #china #Fed #FOMCWatch #Market_Update
$FIL /تحليل USDT | Binance Square
$FIL
{future}(FILUSDT)
يتداول FiL عند 1,540، بانخفاض طفيف خلال اليوم (-0.19%). تظل الأسعار فوق المتوسطات المتحركة الرئيسية (MA7: 1,529، MA25: 1,461، MA99: 1,336)، مما يشير إلى هيكل لا يزال صعوديًا في الأطر الزمنية الأعلى.
المستويات الرئيسية
مقاومة بالقرب من 1,550–1,560 (ارتفاعات حديثة)
دعم عند MA7 (1,529) ومستوى نفسي عند 1,500
منطقة دعم أقوى 1,460–1,440 (MA25 + دمج سابق)
الحجم والمدى
يشير النطاق اليومي المنخفض (0.88%) إلى consolidation قبل الحركة التالية.
التوقعات
تساعد أسعار الاحتفاظ فوق MA7 في الحفاظ على الصفقات الطويلة قصيرة الأجل. قد تستهدف كسر فوق 1,560 1,600+.
الإغلاق أدنى 1,529 قد يختبر 1,500–1,460.
استخدم نقاط توقف ضيقة إذا كنت تدخل في صفقة طويلة. راقب إغلاق 4 ساعات للتغيرات في الهيكل.