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Christier Xu
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ترجمة
ترجمة
新账户押注美以本月打击伊朗 预测市场概率达60% 2026年1月12日消息,预测市场Polymarket上一则“美国或以色列本月打击伊朗”的盘口引发关注。该盘口创立仅三天,当前预测概率已升至60%,累计交易量达43.853万美元。 值得注意的是,一名无过往链上活动的新账户,11小时前从Bitstamp充值3枚以太坊后,全额投入该盘口,总开仓金额达9000美元。 近期地缘政治紧张为这一押注提供背景:特朗普称美国正考虑对伊朗采取“非常强硬的选择”,但美国国防部高级官员警告,军事打击需更多准备时间。伊朗则强硬回应,若遭美方打击,以色列及美国在中东的基地将成为合法攻击目标。 此次匿名新账户的大额押注,叠加地缘局势升温,使得该预测盘口的走向备受市场关注,后续相关各方动态或将影响概率变化。 #polymarket
新账户押注美以本月打击伊朗 预测市场概率达60%

2026年1月12日消息,预测市场Polymarket上一则“美国或以色列本月打击伊朗”的盘口引发关注。该盘口创立仅三天,当前预测概率已升至60%,累计交易量达43.853万美元。

值得注意的是,一名无过往链上活动的新账户,11小时前从Bitstamp充值3枚以太坊后,全额投入该盘口,总开仓金额达9000美元。

近期地缘政治紧张为这一押注提供背景:特朗普称美国正考虑对伊朗采取“非常强硬的选择”,但美国国防部高级官员警告,军事打击需更多准备时间。伊朗则强硬回应,若遭美方打击,以色列及美国在中东的基地将成为合法攻击目标。

此次匿名新账户的大额押注,叠加地缘局势升温,使得该预测盘口的走向备受市场关注,后续相关各方动态或将影响概率变化。
#polymarket
ترجمة
Polymarket is where narratives trade first. ▸ 250–500k monthly traders ▸ 17M+ monthly visits ▸ On track for ~$18B in volume in 2025 No KYC Just connect Phantom or MetaMask and start trading real-world outcomes across politics, AI, sports, culture, and more. People who understand events early can outperform. #polymarket
Polymarket is where narratives trade first.

▸ 250–500k monthly traders
▸ 17M+ monthly visits
▸ On track for ~$18B in volume in 2025

No KYC
Just connect Phantom or MetaMask and start trading real-world outcomes across politics, AI, sports, culture, and more.

People who understand events early can outperform.

#polymarket
C Y R O N:
Smart money hub.
ترجمة
𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐲𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐬 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐍𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 - ​Polymarket has evolved into the ultimate real-time information layer, capturing the pulse of every major global event before it hits mainstream news. It transforms headlines into liquid markets where users directly capitalize on their understanding of unfolding narratives. From high-stakes geopolitical shifts to viral pop culture moments, the platform aggregates diverse signals into a single, tradable ecosystem. This is where news turns into price action, allowing traders to profit from their foresight on critical topics. ​The platform's true power lies in monetizing specific knowledge across any vertical, whether it is AI advancements, sports outcomes, or economic policy. Users are not limited to standard financial assets; they can leverage deep expertise in niche sectors to gain a distinct trading edge. This flexibility creates a unique environment where a music industry insider or a tech enthusiast can outperform by trading on what they know best. With millions of visitors and high liquidity, the platform proves that specialized insight is valuable. #poly #polymarket
𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐲𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐬 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐍𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬
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​Polymarket has evolved into the ultimate real-time information layer, capturing the pulse of every major global event before it hits mainstream news. It transforms headlines into liquid markets where users directly capitalize on their understanding of unfolding narratives.
From high-stakes geopolitical shifts to viral pop culture moments, the platform aggregates diverse signals into a single, tradable ecosystem. This is where news turns into price action, allowing traders to profit from their foresight on critical topics.
​The platform's true power lies in monetizing specific knowledge across any vertical, whether it is AI advancements, sports outcomes, or economic policy. Users are not limited to standard financial assets; they can leverage deep expertise in niche sectors to gain a distinct trading edge.
This flexibility creates a unique environment where a music industry insider or a tech enthusiast can outperform by trading on what they know best. With millions of visitors and high liquidity, the platform proves that specialized insight is valuable.
#poly #polymarket
ترجمة
𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐲𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐬 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐍𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 - ​Polymarket has evolved into the ultimate real-time information layer, capturing the pulse of every major global event before it hits mainstream news. It transforms headlines into liquid markets where users directly capitalize on their understanding of unfolding narratives.  From high-stakes geopolitical shifts to viral pop culture moments, the platform aggregates diverse signals into a single, tradable ecosystem. This is where news turns into price action, allowing traders to profit from their foresight on critical topics.  ​The platform's true power lies in monetizing specific knowledge across any vertical, whether it is AI advancements, sports outcomes, or economic policy. Users are not limited to standard financial assets; they can leverage deep expertise in niche sectors to gain a distinct trading edge.  This flexibility creates a unique environment where a music industry insider or a tech enthusiast can outperform by trading on what they know best. With millions of visitors and high liquidity, the platform proves that specialized insight is valuable.  #poly #polymarket
𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐲𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐬 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐍𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬

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​Polymarket has evolved into the ultimate real-time information layer, capturing the pulse of every major global event before it hits mainstream news. It transforms headlines into liquid markets where users directly capitalize on their understanding of unfolding narratives.

 From high-stakes geopolitical shifts to viral pop culture moments, the platform aggregates diverse signals into a single, tradable ecosystem. This is where news turns into price action, allowing traders to profit from their foresight on critical topics. 

​The platform's true power lies in monetizing specific knowledge across any vertical, whether it is AI advancements, sports outcomes, or economic policy. Users are not limited to standard financial assets; they can leverage deep expertise in niche sectors to gain a distinct trading edge. 

This flexibility creates a unique environment where a music industry insider or a tech enthusiast can outperform by trading on what they know best. With millions of visitors and high liquidity, the platform proves that specialized insight is valuable. 

#poly #polymarket
ترجمة
🚫В Україні заблокували Polymarket. Офіційно ‼️ 🇺🇦 Україна приєдналася до списку країн, де Polymarket визнали нелегальним сервісом. 📆 10 грудня 2025 року регулятор ухвалив рішення про блокування платформи. 📆 12 січня 2026 року інформація стала публічною та з'явилась у медіа. 🔍 Офіційна причина, Polymarket класифікували як платформу з елементами азартних ігор, яка працює без ліцензії в Україні. Не має дозволу на організацію ставок/прогнозних ринків. На цій підставі провайдерам наказали обмежити доступ до домену. 〽️ Прогнозні ринки дедалі частіше прирівнюють до гемблінгу. Навіть "децентралізований" формат не рятує від регуляцій. 💬 Як на мене Polymarket і Kalshi дійсно не відрізняються від казино, але скажу чесно я і не користувався ними... 💬 В кого є досвід, хто робив ставки? #Polymarket #BinanceUkraine #ukraine #CryptoNews #news $DUSK $PROM $LUMIA {future}(LUMIAUSDT) {future}(PROMUSDT) {future}(DUSKUSDT)
🚫В Україні заблокували Polymarket. Офіційно ‼️

🇺🇦 Україна приєдналася до списку країн, де Polymarket визнали нелегальним сервісом.

📆 10 грудня 2025 року регулятор ухвалив рішення про блокування платформи.
📆 12 січня 2026 року інформація стала публічною та з'явилась у медіа.

🔍 Офіційна причина, Polymarket класифікували як платформу з елементами азартних ігор, яка працює без ліцензії в Україні.
Не має дозволу на організацію ставок/прогнозних ринків. На цій підставі провайдерам наказали обмежити доступ до домену.

〽️ Прогнозні ринки дедалі частіше прирівнюють до гемблінгу. Навіть "децентралізований" формат не рятує від регуляцій.

💬 Як на мене Polymarket і Kalshi дійсно не відрізняються від казино, але скажу чесно я і не користувався ними...
💬 В кого є досвід, хто робив ставки?
#Polymarket #BinanceUkraine #ukraine #CryptoNews #news $DUSK $PROM $LUMIA
ترجمة
一个挺有意思的数据。 去年在 Polymarket 上,居然有用户围绕「耶稣基督是否会再次降临」这个问题,累计下注了 330 万美元。 更离谱的是收益结果: 4 月份选择“不会发生”的那一侧,最后算下来,年化收益大约 5.5%。 你说这是信仰问题吧,它又被做成了金融产品; 你说是玩笑吧,参与的人还真不少,收益也不算低。 预测市场有时候就是这样: 看起来荒诞,但本质上,大家押的从来不是答案本身,而是共识的方向。#polymarket
一个挺有意思的数据。

去年在 Polymarket 上,居然有用户围绕「耶稣基督是否会再次降临」这个问题,累计下注了 330 万美元。

更离谱的是收益结果:
4 月份选择“不会发生”的那一侧,最后算下来,年化收益大约 5.5%。

你说这是信仰问题吧,它又被做成了金融产品;
你说是玩笑吧,参与的人还真不少,收益也不算低。

预测市场有时候就是这样:
看起来荒诞,但本质上,大家押的从来不是答案本身,而是共识的方向。#polymarket
ترجمة
"Polymarket Traders Go Bullish on Bitcoin 🚀 {spot}(FXSUSDT) {spot}(PROMUSDT) {spot}(KAITOUSDT) Polymarket traders are showing strong bullish sentiment, with 63% odds predicting Bitcoin (BTC) will hit $95K in January. Meanwhile, $PROM has 31% odds of reaching $100K. These predictions are based on real-money bets, updating expectations in real-time. 🔍 Coins to Watch: - $FXS - $PROM - $KAITO Market sentiment is shifting, and opportunities are emerging. Stay ahead of the curve! 📈" #Polymarket #BTCVSGOLD #promvalidators #FedOfficialsSpeak
"Polymarket Traders Go Bullish on Bitcoin 🚀


Polymarket traders are showing strong bullish sentiment, with 63% odds predicting Bitcoin (BTC) will hit $95K in January. Meanwhile, $PROM has 31% odds of reaching $100K. These predictions are based on real-money bets, updating expectations in real-time.

🔍 Coins to Watch:
- $FXS
- $PROM
- $KAITO

Market sentiment is shifting, and opportunities are emerging. Stay ahead of the curve! 📈"

#Polymarket #BTCVSGOLD #promvalidators #FedOfficialsSpeak
ترجمة
ELON MUSK INTERACTS WITH POLYMARKET 25 TIMES ON X, INCLUDING 9 INTERACTIONS OVER THE PAST MONTHAccording to data tracked by crypto KOL, Musk @elonmusk owner of X, Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI—has repeatedly engaged with #Polymarket on the X, highlighting his growing visibility around #prediction markets. #ElonMusk #CryptoMarket

ELON MUSK INTERACTS WITH POLYMARKET 25 TIMES ON X, INCLUDING 9 INTERACTIONS OVER THE PAST MONTH

According to data tracked by crypto KOL, Musk @elonmusk owner of X, Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI—has repeatedly engaged with #Polymarket on the X, highlighting his growing visibility around #prediction markets.
#ElonMusk #CryptoMarket
ترجمة
#POLY #crypto #Polymarket has entered into an exclusive partnership with Dow Jones Media and will now provide forecast market data to publications such as Barrons, WSJ
#POLY #crypto
#Polymarket has entered into an exclusive partnership with Dow Jones Media and will now provide forecast market data to publications such as Barrons, WSJ
ترجمة
Dubai bans privacy coins and tightens regulations on #Stablecoins Caixin: Southeast Asian gambling tycoon She Lunkai's blockchain project is linked to Fincy, a BCB-based payment app QCP Capital: Controversy over Federal Reserve independence triggers market risk aversion, BTC surges and then falls SlowMist: #Truebit security incident caused by lack of overflow protection mechanism in contract #Polymarket is developing a Chinese version #CoinRank #GNT $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $VIC {future}(VICUSDT) $X {alpha}(560x0510101ec6c49d24ed911f0011e22a0d697ee776)
Dubai bans privacy coins and tightens regulations on #Stablecoins

Caixin: Southeast Asian gambling tycoon She Lunkai's blockchain project is linked to Fincy, a BCB-based payment app

QCP Capital: Controversy over Federal Reserve independence triggers market risk aversion, BTC surges and then falls

SlowMist: #Truebit security incident caused by lack of overflow protection mechanism in contract

#Polymarket is developing a Chinese version

#CoinRank #GNT
$BTC
$VIC
$X
ترجمة
UKRAINE JUST SHUT DOWN POLYMARKET. $PMKTURGENT: Ukraine authorities have blocked Polymarket, citing unlicensed gambling. Millions in bets are now in limbo. Access is inconsistent, some users are locked out, others can still get in. Over $410 million in Ukraine-related bets are affected. This is a seismic event for prediction markets. The dominoes are falling. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. #Polymarket #CryptoNews #Ukraine #MarketCrash 💥
UKRAINE JUST SHUT DOWN POLYMARKET. $PMKTURGENT: Ukraine authorities have blocked Polymarket, citing unlicensed gambling. Millions in bets are now in limbo. Access is inconsistent, some users are locked out, others can still get in. Over $410 million in Ukraine-related bets are affected. This is a seismic event for prediction markets. The dominoes are falling.

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.

#Polymarket #CryptoNews #Ukraine #MarketCrash 💥
ترجمة
Deep Analysis: Prediction Markets as the Next Web3 Growth SectorPrediction markets are quietly emerging as one of the most important long-term tracks in Web3. While still small in absolute size compared to DeFi or derivatives, their growth is tightly correlated with real-world uncertainty—elections, geopolitics, macroeconomics, and major global events. Unlike traditional financial products, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information and individual judgments into probabilistic signals. As information becomes abundant but reliable judgment remains scarce, this mechanism is gaining relevance. The sector’s potential lies not in short-term speculation, but in becoming a form of cognitive infrastructure—a way to quantify collective expectations and trend momentum. Web3 enables this by making judgments transparent, verifiable, and incentive-aligned. Challenges remain, including regulatory ambiguity, fragmented liquidity, and user education. Still, the direction is clear. Current market leaders reflect different paths: Polymarket leads in liquidity and outcome-focused markets. ForeGate emphasizes creator-driven markets and long-term judgment value. Kalshi prioritizes regulation and institutional structure. Augur and Gnosis represent early decentralized experimentation and infrastructure layers. As prediction shifts from guessing outcomes to understanding trends, this sector may define the next decade of Web3 evolution. #prediction #Polymarket #ForeGate

Deep Analysis: Prediction Markets as the Next Web3 Growth Sector

Prediction markets are quietly emerging as one of the most important long-term tracks in Web3. While still small in absolute size compared to DeFi or derivatives, their growth is tightly correlated with real-world uncertainty—elections, geopolitics, macroeconomics, and major global events.
Unlike traditional financial products, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information and individual judgments into probabilistic signals. As information becomes abundant but reliable judgment remains scarce, this mechanism is gaining relevance.
The sector’s potential lies not in short-term speculation, but in becoming a form of cognitive infrastructure—a way to quantify collective expectations and trend momentum. Web3 enables this by making judgments transparent, verifiable, and incentive-aligned.
Challenges remain, including regulatory ambiguity, fragmented liquidity, and user education. Still, the direction is clear.
Current market leaders reflect different paths:
Polymarket leads in liquidity and outcome-focused markets.
ForeGate emphasizes creator-driven markets and long-term judgment value.
Kalshi prioritizes regulation and institutional structure.
Augur and Gnosis represent early decentralized experimentation and infrastructure layers.
As prediction shifts from guessing outcomes to understanding trends, this sector may define the next decade of Web3 evolution.

#prediction #Polymarket #ForeGate
ترجمة
Polymarket Multilingual Launch Imminent $BTC This is HUGE. Polymarket is going global. Internal testing is nearly complete. Get ready for massive expansion. This changes everything for crypto betting. Don't get left behind. The future is multilingual. Disclaimer: Not financial advice. #Polymarket #Crypto #Web3 🚀
Polymarket Multilingual Launch Imminent $BTC

This is HUGE. Polymarket is going global. Internal testing is nearly complete. Get ready for massive expansion. This changes everything for crypto betting. Don't get left behind. The future is multilingual.

Disclaimer: Not financial advice.

#Polymarket #Crypto #Web3 🚀
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ترجمة
Market Pulse _ Major Project Updates The entire Zcash developer team leaves Electric Coin Company, the company supporting the development of Zcash, after a board dispute, with the team forming a new company to continue the development. #Polymarket partners up with Dow Jones and the Wall Street Journal, expanding the reach of their partnerships with traditional media outlets. Tether Gold introduces Scudo, a smaller unit of XAU₮ to represent 1/1000 XAU₮, enabling more intuitive and accessible transfers of Gold on-chain. #PhantomWallet integrates prediction markets directly into the wallet interface, powered by Kalshi. #Stripe L1, Tempo, unveils TIP-20, their native token standard desiged for payments and stablecoin use cases. Source: Binance News / Bitdegree / Coindesk / #CoinMarketCap / Cointelegraph / Decrypt "Place a trade with us via this post mentioned coin's & do support to reach maximum audience by follow, like, comment, share, repost, more such informative content ahead" $ZEC $XAU {future}(ZECUSDT) {future}(XAUUSDT)
Market Pulse _ Major Project Updates

The entire Zcash developer team leaves Electric Coin Company, the company supporting the development of Zcash, after a board dispute, with the team forming a new company to continue the development.

#Polymarket partners up with Dow Jones and the Wall Street Journal, expanding the reach of their partnerships with traditional media outlets.

Tether Gold introduces Scudo, a smaller unit of XAU₮ to represent 1/1000 XAU₮, enabling more intuitive and accessible transfers of Gold on-chain.

#PhantomWallet integrates prediction markets directly into the wallet interface, powered by Kalshi.

#Stripe L1, Tempo, unveils TIP-20, their native token standard desiged for payments and stablecoin use cases.

Source: Binance News / Bitdegree / Coindesk / #CoinMarketCap / Cointelegraph / Decrypt

"Place a trade with us via this post mentioned coin's & do support to reach maximum audience by follow, like, comment, share, repost, more such informative content ahead"

$ZEC $XAU
ترجمة
🚨 Polymarket $POLY TGE引爆预测市场狂潮!🚨 作为链上预测市场龙头,Polymarket总交易量已突破200亿美元,覆盖选举、体育、房地产等多元场景——2026年1月更携手Parcl推出实时房价预测市场,成行业新增长点。$POLY 代币TGE及空投计划已官方确认,5%-10%总供应量将定向回馈真实活跃用户,杜绝投机 farming!叠加AI预言机优化,平台短期事件预测准确率超90%,体育类事件更是高达99.7%。 机构资金争相布局,ICE等巨头已注资,平台估值剑指150亿美元!Web3年度财富机遇已至,谁将抢占空投红利?🔥 #Web3 #Polymarket #poly #crypto $BTC $ETH $BNB
🚨 Polymarket $POLY TGE引爆预测市场狂潮!🚨

作为链上预测市场龙头,Polymarket总交易量已突破200亿美元,覆盖选举、体育、房地产等多元场景——2026年1月更携手Parcl推出实时房价预测市场,成行业新增长点。$POLY 代币TGE及空投计划已官方确认,5%-10%总供应量将定向回馈真实活跃用户,杜绝投机 farming!叠加AI预言机优化,平台短期事件预测准确率超90%,体育类事件更是高达99.7%。

机构资金争相布局,ICE等巨头已注资,平台估值剑指150亿美元!Web3年度财富机遇已至,谁将抢占空投红利?🔥

#Web3 #Polymarket #poly #crypto $BTC $ETH $BNB
ترجمة
Polymarket x Coinmarketcap - Coinmarketcap Just Announced They're integrating Polymarket Data into their Feed. > What's Big Deal 1 . 🔷 Data on liquidity, traders, and open interest 2. 🔷 Broad coverage: Crypto, Politics, Sports, and more 3. 🔷 Real-time monitoring of outcome probabilities 4. 🔷 Seamless one-click transition to live markets And that too without leaving Coinmarketcap . That's some Awesome tech. ✅ If You aren't Aware of Polymarket , well, it's the biggest crypto Consumer app right now and it let you bet on everything . yes, Everything . #poly #Polymarket
Polymarket x Coinmarketcap

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Coinmarketcap Just Announced They're integrating Polymarket Data into their Feed.

> What's Big Deal

1 . 🔷 Data on liquidity, traders, and open interest
2. 🔷 Broad coverage: Crypto, Politics, Sports, and more
3. 🔷 Real-time monitoring of outcome probabilities
4. 🔷 Seamless one-click transition to live markets

And that too without leaving Coinmarketcap . That's some Awesome tech.

✅ If You aren't Aware of Polymarket , well, it's the biggest crypto Consumer app right now and it let you bet on everything . yes, Everything .

#poly #Polymarket
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