cpi_data

The trend is bullish, but chasing green candles before CPI data is how traders get wrecked. Let’s break down the technicals like a pro:
​what the 4H Chart tells us:
We are seeing a classic Regular Bullish Divergence on $BTC . The momentum is shifting to the upside, supported by a strong rejection from the Fibonacci Golden Pocket.
​⚠️ The Risk (Invalidation):
If we close a 4H candle below $89,900, the bullish structure is broken. The "Safe Zone" for buyers is only valid as long as we hold the $90,400 wicks.
​💰 The Strategy:
I am sitting on my hands until the volatility settles. I’m looking for a "Sweep and Reclaim" setup.
​Buy Zone: $91,300 area.
​Invalidation: $90,800.
​Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
​Don't gamble on the news. Trade the reaction TO the news. Stay safe, legends!
​#Bitcoin #TechnicalAnalysis #Education #CPI_Data

What does CPI mean?
CPI stands for Consumer Price Index which measures how much prices for everyday goods and services (like food, rent, fuel, and clothing) are changing over time. It’s the broadest gauge of inflation as experienced by consumers.
Why CPI Matters
• It tells traders whether inflation is rising or falling. Rising CPI typically means inflation is picking up.
• Central banks watch CPI closely. If inflation is high, policymakers may keep interest rates higher. If inflation cools, rate cuts become more likely.
• Markets often move sharply around CPI prints because of this impact on monetary policy expectations and risk assets.
CPI EFFECT TO CRYPTO MARKET
When CPI comes in lower than expected, markets assume interest rate cuts are closer. Cheaper money means more risk-taking. That’s when Bitcoin and altcoins usually catch a bid. When CPI comes in hot, the opposite happens. Tighter policy expectations, less liquidity, and risk assets feel the pressure.
Bitcoin reacts first. Altcoins react harder.
That’s why CPI days often bring sharp moves, fake breakouts, and sudden liquidations. The market is not reacting to the data itself, but to how that data changes the Fed narrative.
Important detail most miss: A “good” CPI number does not guarantee a pump. If the market already priced it in, you can still get a sell-off. Expectations matter more than the headline.
This is also why volatility spikes around CPI. Leverage builds up before the release, and the number decides who stays and who gets wiped.
Bottom line: CPI day is not for prediction. It’s for risk management.
If you don’t know where your invalidation is, CPI will find it for you.
Watch expectations, not opinions. The chart will tell you who was wrong.
#Write2Earn #CPI_DATA